Since taking over as head coach of the Georgia Bulldogs in 2016 Kirby Smart has methodically used the Alabama Crimson Tide blueprint. Smart coached under Alabama legend Nick Saban for nine seasons as he absorbed everything in the ultimate powerhouse championship football laboratory. Most essential was the lesson that recruiting is the lifeblood of College football dominance. And Smart recruits as well as any coach in the land. Smart has never beaten Saban, but had two close calls. Most believe Georgia should have won the 2017 national championship and 2018 SEC title against Alabama.
Georgia Bulldogs at Alabama Crimson Tide
When: Saturday, October 17, 2020, 8 p.m. ET
Where: Bryant Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, Alabama
TV: CBS
Bookmaker Odds: Georgia Bulldogs +5 at Alabama Crimson Tide -5, over under 56.5
Georgia Bulldogs at Alabama Crimson Tide Bookmaker Wagering Analysis
Gambling action should show an even sportsbook split as squares will lean with Alabama at home while sharps will love Georgia as quality power dogs.
Georgia Showing Who is Boss in SEC East
Georgia humbled Tennessee on Saturday winning 44-21 as 13-point home chalks with the game going over the total of 43.5. Georgia is 3-0 straight up, 2-1 against the spread, and 1-2 under the total. UGA has offensive metrics of 29th overall and 23rd for scoring. Overall, defensively the Bulldogs rank second overall and fifth for points allowed. UGA’s win over Tennessee was critical because the Volunteers have shown rapid improvement. Tennessee had plenty of wagering support and appeared ready to challenge Georgia for SEC East supremacy. However, the Volunteers were exposed as not ready for prime time.
Alabama Lit Up in Win at Ole Miss
Saturday saw Alabama beat Ole Miss 63-48 as 24-point road chalks as over the total of 74 soared to victory. Alabama is 3-0 straight up, 1-2 against the spread with three overs. Offensively the Crimson Tide ranks third overall and first for scoring. Defensively the Crimson Tide has hit new lows in the Nick Saban era. To show they are 66th overall and 44th for points allowed. Saban’s team is coming off its worst defensive performance of his tenure.
Georgia Bulldogs at Alabama Crimson Tide Against the Spread
On the road the Bulldogs have covered six of their last nine matchups. Georgia is 8-5 against the spread vs. ranked opponents. Smart’s program has 17 payouts in their last 30 overall games. Georgia has gone over the total in six of their last nine games. Only 10 of their last 30 games went over. Four of their last 13 games against ranked opponents went over. And Georgia has only six overs in their last 20 SEC games.
As a home favorite Alabama covered eight of their last 15 games. The Crimson Tide is 10-9 with the odds in SEC matchups. Against ranked opponents the Tide has five payouts in their last 11 games. As home chalk Alabama has gone under in only five of their last 15 games. Against ranked opponents the Tide has gone over in seven of their last 11 games. Alabama is 12-7 over the total in SEC games.
In the last four meetings in this series Alabama has covered just one time. In the last eight meetings between Alabama and Georgia seven games went over. Georgia got the money in their last two games at Alabama. Also did both games go over the total.
Georgia Bulldogs at Alabama Crimson Tide Bookmaker Free Pick
In the past it was defense that was considered essential at winning national championships. Kirby Smart himself lived that as defensive coordinator at Alabama under Saban. But it’s a new age in college football. However, in this situation the Bulldogs defense should prove decisive. Georgia’s defense is good enough to still be a difference maker in a powerhouse game. There’s not another one like it in the country.
Bulldogs at Crimson Tide Bookmaker Best Bet: Georgia Bulldogs
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