On Saturday, December 27, 2025, the Mohammed Abdo Arena in Riyadh will host one of the year’s most anticipated nights of boxing.
Naoya “The Monster” Inouedefends his undisputed super-bantamweight titles against undefeated MexicanAlan David “El Rey” Picasso. Both fighters arrive unbeaten.
Bargain hunters are choosing Picasso as a challenger because he brings an element that rarely emerges.
Specifically, Picasso has a more impressive physical build than the champion. Picasso is taller and possesses a greater reach than many of the super-bantam opponents Inoue has faced. These are features that can affect two technical aspects central to the matchup.
Inoue is traditionally a fighter who excels at angled movement, tempo changes, and exploiting tight spaces to land powerful, rapid shots. His effectiveness stems from the ability to close the distance and create attacking opportunities in confined ranges.
Picasso’s more elongated frame and longer reach could force Inoue to work more frequently at open range. Such proximity is where distance management becomes decisive.
Betting interest is high for this unified super bantamweight title bout in Riyadh. The fight will be one of the most heavily trafficked at the betting window this year.
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David Picasso vs. Naoya Innoue Betting at Bookmaker
On Saturday, December 27, 2025, David Picasso will challenge defending champion Naoya Inoue for the unified Super Bantamweight championship at the Mohammed Abdo Arena in Riyadh. The IBF, WBC, and WBO title belts are on the line. DAZN will cover this championship bout.
Naoya Inoue opened as a -4500 favorite with Alan Picasso at +1600.
Inoue is +700 to win by points or decision and -1100 to win by knockout or TKO.
Picasso is +5000 to win by points or decision and +1900 to win by knockout or TKO.
The fight to end in a draw is +3500.
The fight is +630 to go the distance and -1250 not to go the distance.
Picasso vs. Innoue Fight Overview
If Picasso manages to keep Inoue quickly outside his comfort zone, he could win key rounds without dominating in raw power or technical flair. This dynamic is particularly relevant given Inoue’s profile.
In his recent title defense against Murodjon Akhmadaliev, Inoue demonstrated a rare ability to control the fight’s pace while preserving high-impact power.
However, none of his recent opponents displayed a reach advantage as pronounced as Picasso's. Thus, this encounter is a fresh challenge for the champion.
Saturday’s bout is notable not only for what is at stake but also because it represents Inoue’s first appearance in Saudi Arabia. It is his fifth defense of the undisputed super-bantamweight championship.
For Picasso, facing an all-belt superstar is a life-changing opportunity. A win would immediately catapult him into the upper echelons of world boxing. It would have major implications for ranking and global profile.
Accordingly, Inoue will try to force exchanges where his angle-changing and timing are maximized.
Picasso will aim to use his reach advantage to limit Inoue’s entries and extend the distance, forcing the champion to work harder to find effective spaces.
Ultimately, the outcome will determine who rules the 122-pound division. Additionally, it will determine whether distance control, rhythm, and reach are becoming even more decisive in top-level matchups.
David Picasso
David Picasso, age 25, is a native of Mexico. Overall, his career record is 32-0-1 with 17 knockout wins. Picasso stands at five feet, eight inches tall, with a reach of 70 inches, and fights from an orthodox stance. The fight with Inoue is his first championship bout.
Naoya Inoue
Naoya Inoue has a career record of 31-0. Specifically, Inoue has 27 knockout wins. Inoue, age 32, is a native of Japan. He stands at five feet, five inches tall with a reach of 67.5 inches and fights from an orthodox stance. Concurrently, he holds the IBF, WBC, and WBO world super bantamweight titles.
Picasso vs. Inoue Best Bets
As mentioned earlier, this is Picasso’s first championship fight. Inoue has an impeccable and vastly superior resume. The price is high on Inoue, but it's the right price.
Main Pick: Naoya Inoue
Over/Under Pick: Fight to Finish Under the Rounds Total
Player Prop Picks: Naoya Inoue to Win by Knockout or TKO
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