Naoya Inoue vs. David Picasso Boxing Betting
Naoya Inoue will defend his undisputed super bantamweight title against David Picasso on Saturday, December 27. The fight will take place at Mohammed Abdo Arena in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. The fight is scheduled for 12 rounds and can be seen on DAZN pay-per-view. Inoue is unbeaten in his career at 31-0 with 27 knockouts. He is coming off a unanimous decision win against Murodjon Akhmadaliev in September. Picasso is 32-0-1 in his career with 17 knockouts. He is coming off a majority decision win against Kyonosuke Kameda in July. Inoue is listed as a huge favorite in boxing odds to win this fight against Picasso.
Boxing Odds – Super Bantamweight Title Fight
When: Saturday, December 27, 2025
Where: Mohammed Abdo Arena, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
Why: Super Bantamweight Title Fight
On Saturday, December 27, 2025, Naoya Inoue (31-0, 27 knockouts) will face David Picasso (32-0-1, 17 knockouts) in a 12-round super bantamweight title bout. Specifically, Mohammed Abdo Arena in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia is the venue.
Boxing Betting Lines
Naoya Inoue -5000
David Picasso +1916
Inoue is listed as a -5000 favorite in this fight. That means you would bet $5000 to win $100 on Inoue or the 50-1 equivalent. Picasso is the boxing betting underdog at a price of +1916 and that means you would risk $100 to win $1916 on Picasso.
Total Rounds Betting
The fight is scheduled for 12 rounds. The total rounds boxing betting line might be listed at 10.5 rounds with the over at -130. That means that if you think the fight is going to go to at least 10.5 rounds (over), for you to win your bet you would need to bet $130 to win $100. The under 10.5 rounds would mean you would need to risk $100 to win $100 on the fight to go under 10.5 rounds.
Naoya Inoue vs. David Picasso
Inoue is a huge favorite in boxing odds against Picasso but he needs to avoid looking ahead to a possible matchup against Junto Nakatani next year. Inoue is aware that everyone wants to see him fight against Nakatani but he first needs to take care of Picasso. “I’m going to show you Picasso’s style; my style to adjust to Picasso," Inoue said at the press conference. "My impression is he’s a very aggressive fighter, so it’s not going to be an easy fight, but I’ll do my best. First, I need to concentrate on the upcoming match with Picasso. Then, followed by the big match scheduled next year. Then, after that, I need to talk to my team about what we’re gonna do next – step by step, we’ll discuss that within the team.”
Super Bantamweight Title Bout
Naoya Inoue, age 32, is 31-0 in his career with 27 knockouts. He stands five feet and five inches tall and fights from an orthodox stance. He was born in Zawa, Kanagawa, Japan. He is 6-0 in his last six fights. He is coming off a unanimous decision win against Murodjon Akhmadaliev in September. Inoue won by 8th round TKO against Ramon Cardenas in May, won by 4th round knockout against Kim Ye-joon in January, won by 7th round TKO against TJ Doheny in September of last year, won by 6th round knockout against Luis Nery in May of last year and won by 10th round knockout against Marlon Tapales in December of 2023.
David Picasso, age 25, is 32-0-1 in his career with 17 knockouts. He stands five feet and eight inches tall and fights from an orthodox stance. He was born in Mexico City, Mexico. He is 6-0 in his last six fights. He is coming off a majority decision win against Kyonosuke Kameda in July. Picasso won by 3rd round knockout against Yehison Cuello in December of last year, won by unanimous decision against Diego Alberto Ruiz in October of last year, won by unanimous decision against Azat Hovhannisyan in August of last year, won by 5th round TKO against Damien Vazquez in May of last year and won by Erik Ruiz in January of last year.
A Champion’s Precision. A Challenger’s Fearlessness. One Night That Defines a Division.
Naoya Inoue enters the ring with ruthless accuracy, elite speed, and the calm dominance of a pound-for-pound great at the peak of his powers. Across from him stands David Picasso — young, hungry, and unafraid, carrying the ambition and belief of a rising contender ready to seize his moment.
Will Inoue’s flawless technique, devastating power, and championship experience prove too much once again, or can Picasso’s courage, pressure, and refusal to be intimidated spark the upset that reshapes the super bantamweight landscape?
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