As Major League Baseball heads into the stretch run towards the playoffs, the wild-card race is on fire. And two of the marquee franchises are in the thick of it. The Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees are ancient rivals who are fighting for the top wild card spot in the American League. And on Sunday Night from historic Fenway Park in Boston, they will go at it in the final game of a weekend series. Both teams are in good recent form, but falling further behind the Toronto Blue Jays for the lead in the American League East.
Few baseball matchups attract more betting interest and handle at Bookmaker than the Red Sox and Yankees. These two iconic brands generate the most activity at the betting window, especially in high-stakes matchups.
MLB Betting Lines
New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox Betting at Bookmaker
Iconic Fenway Park in Boston, MA, is the venue for the ESPN Sunday Night Baseball matchup between the Boston Red Sox and visiting New York Yankees. Game time is 7:10 p.m. ET.
The probable starters are right-hander Will Warren for the Yankees and left-hander Garrett Crochet for the Red Sox.
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Yankees Find the Extra Gear
Late in the season, the Yankees secured the money in 13 of their most recent 19 games. Six of their last ten games went over the total. New York is 80-64 and 69-70-5 under the total. The Yankees are 37-34 on the road and 19-23 in division games. New York is -973 units on the money line and -729 on the road. The Yankees are -615 units with the run line.
On the diamond, the Yankees rank 1st for run production and home runs. However, New York ranks 16th for earned run average, 24th for fewest errors committed, and 22nd for bullpen ERA.
Probable starter Will Warren is 8-6 with a 4.22 earned run average and 1.35 WHIP. In his last three starts, he is 2-1 with a 2.97 ERA and 1.13 WHIP.
The Yankees do not have a specific closer, calling the situation “fluid.” Their subpar bullpen has been the key factor in their struggles.
Aaron Judge leads the Yankees with 115 runs, 44 home runs, and 98 runs batted in with a 1.102 OPS.
Consistent Red Sox Closing Well as Chapman Closes their Case
The Red Sox got the cash in 13 of their most recent 19 games. Boston went over the total in six of its last ten games. The Red Sox are the 5th most profitable MLB team on the board with +795 moneyline units and are +872 units at home. Boston is +492 units on the run line. Overall, Boston is 81-65, 44-28 at home, and 27-16 in division games. The Red Sox are 71-72-3 under the total.
Boston has MLB metrics of 5th for run production and 13th for home runs. The Red Sox rank 5th for earned run average and 2nd for quality starts. Boston ranks 30th for the fewest errors committed. Boston ranks 3rd for bullpen ERA.
Probable starter Garrett Crochet is the ace of the staff. Crochet is 15-5 with a 2.57 earned run average and 1.05 WHIP. He has 228 strikeouts in 185.1 innings of work. In his last seven starts, Crochet is 3-1 with a 3.68 earned run average and 0.93 WHIP.
Closet Aroldis Chapman is dominating with a 4-2 record, 0.98 earned run average, 29 saves in 31 chances, a 0.64 WHIP, and 81 strikeouts in 55 innings.
Yankees at Red Sox Betting Trends
Specifically at Fenway Park, Boston paid out in ten of their most recent 16 games against New York. Only three of the last ten games between the Yankees and Red Sox at Fenway Park went over the total.
Yankees at Red Sox Bookmaker Best Bets
To summarize, the Red Sox have the stronger pitching and bullpen and handle the Yankees at Fenway Park. New York’s bullpen remains a liability. New York’s brand popularity will keep the price reasonable for Boston.
Main Pick: Boston Red Sox
Over/Under Pick: Under the Total
Player Prop Picks: Garrett Crochet over the strikeout total
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