As the regular season winds down, the playoff push pressure is on full blast. The Chicago Cubs are in the top National League wild card position and fighting to maintain it for home field advantage. On the other hand, the New York Mets are trying to lock down the final National League wild card spot. Of great concern is a recent slump that put the Mets' playoff prospects in doubt. Of major concern is that the Mets are splashing gamblers with red ink. Meanwhile, the Cubs have been a more consistent team down the stretch.
Explore the latest MLB betting lines, odds, and predictions for this week.
MLB Betting Lines
New York Mets at Chicago Cubs Betting at Bookmaker
Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL, is the venue for the ESPN Wednesday night showdown between the Chicago Cubs and New York Mets. The September 24, 2025, matchup is at 8:05 p.m. ET.
The Mets are fighting to gain the final wild card spot in the National League.
Of great concern is that the Mets have been one of the worst values on the MLB board.
New York is -1397 units on the moneyline and -1752 units on the road.
The Mets are -859 on the run line and are trending slightly under the total.
The Cubs are barely above breaking even in 2025 at +75 moneyline units and +9 units at home.
Chicago is -966 run line units and is trending slightly under the total.
New York Mets
Overall, the Mets have MLB Metrics of 10th for runs per game, 6th for OPS, and 5th for home runs. New York ranks 18th for earned run average, 23rd for WHIP, 9th for fewest errors committed, and 14th for bullpen ERA. The New York Mets are 80-75 and 31-44 on the road. New York holds the final National League wild card spot, one game ahead of the Cincinnati Reds.
Also, the Mets are 73-74-8 under the total. New York lost ten of its last 14 games. Four of its last seven games went under the total.
Few teams get more hype and public love than the Mets. But that usually translates into overlay prices and disappointment.
Following a strong start to the 2025 campaign, the Mets faltered in the second half.
Chicago Cubs
In sum, the Cubs rank 8th for run production, 8th for OPS, 7th for home runs, and 3rd for stolen bases.
By contrast, the Cubs rank 7th in earned run average, 2nd in WHIP, 4th in fewest errors committed, and 12th in bullpen ERA.
The Chicago Cubs are 88-67 and 46-29 at home. Correlate that the Cubs hold the first National League wild card spot.
The Cubs are 69-73-13 under the total.
Late on, the Cubs have four wins in their most recent seven games.
So far, the Cubs are getting what they bargained for with the big managerial move they made after the 2023 season.
Manager Craig Counsell was hired away from his hometown Milwaukee Brewers to deliver a championship to the North Side.
Counsell produced the first playoff berth since 2020 this year, but there is a sense that the Cubs are not quite where they expected to be.
However, the postseason berth has Chicago excited, and the Cubs will not be an easy out.
Mets at Cubs Betting Trends
At Wrigley Field, the Mets saw the payout window in six of their last ten games with the Cubs. New York and Chicago went over the total in only four of those ten games.
In the series between the Mets and Cubs, New York got the cash in nine of the most recent 15 meetings. Only two of the last seven games between the Mets and Cubs went over the total.
Mets at Cubs Bookmaker Best Bets
As mentioned earlier, the Mets are a good value against the Cubs. Both starting pitchers are slumping, so that is a wash. Despite the Mets' problems, they remain a capable team and probable playoff club.
Main Pick: New York Mets
Over/Under Pick: Over the Total
Player Prop Picks: Pete Alonso Over the Hit Total
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