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The 2019 season is fast upon us and while there still some impact free agents available, the Manny Machado and Bryce Harper sweepstakes are in the rearview mirror, spring training camps are already starting to narrow down to players with a legitimate shot at making the team, and fans and bettors alike are already looking to project what the season will look like come October.
Part of that is projecting division, league and World Series winners and with that comes the World Series odds. BookMaker.eu has been keeping the odds all winter, but with spring training well underway we finally have a glimpse on what these teams might look like in 2019.
You can bet on MLB odds and props—including all the World Series odds—at BookMaker.eu.
WORLD SERIES ODDS
Arizona Diamondbacks +12000
Atlanta Braves +2500
Baltimore Orioles +100000
Boston Red Sox +635
Chicago Cubs +1350
Chicago White Sox +27500
Cincinnati Reds +10000
Cleveland Indians +1285
Colorado Rockies +2744
Detroit Tigers +50000
Houston Astros +595
Kansas City Royals +60000
Los Angeles Angels +5500
Los Angeles Dodgers +822
Miami Marlins +100000
Milwaukee Brewers +1742
Minnesota Twins +4350
New York Mets +2250
New York Yankees +560
Oakland Athletics +3800
Philadelphia Phillies +975
Pittsburgh Pirates +9500
St. Louis Cardinals +1665
San Diego Padres +9000
San Francisco Giants +13500
Seattle Mariners +22500
Tampa Bay Rays +5500
Texas Rangers +23500
Toronto Blue Jays +17500
Washington Nationals +1150
ODDS BREAKDOWN
It’s been nearly two decades since the last repeat World Series winner. The Boston Red Sox took the crown in 2018 and are looking for another ring. Are they the team to snap the streak?
It’s certainly possible. The Sox rank with the third best odds in the game, but they’re coming into the season with largely the same team as last year sans a few key bullpen arms. Without Craig Kimbrel or Joe Kelly, Ryan Braiser and company will be asked to take on a bigger role. That’s certainly concerning given Alex Cora’s need to use guys like Rick Porcello and Nate Eovaldi out of the pen throughout the playoffs last year.
Given those issues with the Sox, it makes sense why they’d fall behind the New York Yankees and Houston Astros in the odds. The Yankees have beefed up their bullpen and added several infielders to completely a stacked outfield alignment. The Astros, meanwhile, have seen the starting staff take a hit with players leaving, but still have Justin Verlander and Gerrit Cole at the top of the rotation with a plethora of quality mid and bottom of the rotation options along with a strong bullpen and lineup.
In the American League, the favorites are the teams that were there last year. The Yankees, Red Sox and Astros were all in the mix as were the Cleveland Indians and Oakland Athletics. All but the Athletics are highly favored to return while experts still undervalue the A’s based on the rotation.
Oakland still has the fifth best odds amongst AL teams though the Los Angeles Angels and Tampa Bay Rays aren’t far behind. Tampa Bay was a 90-win team last year by smoke and mirrors. They’ve improved while the Angels still have the best player in baseball and added pitching depth even if they’re still missing a top-of-the-rotation option.
Beside those seven, the other eight AL teams have extremely long odds according to BookMaker and for good reason. The AL is loaded with rebuilding teams, at least two per division.
As for the senior circuit, the odds are a bit less divided. In the NL, there are really on a handful of teams that don’t have much of a shot to compete. The Miami Marlins are still tearing down. The San Diego Padres have the game’s best farm system and did sign Manny Machado, but the pitching staff is still a couple years away. The San Francisco Giants are another heavy longshot as they’re in a period of transition.
Beyond that, however—and the possible expectations of the Arizona Diamondbacks, Pittsburgh Pirates and Cincinnati Reds who all consider themselves more of contenders than the rest of the industry—the league is wide open.
With more parity in the NL, it makes getting to the playoffs—and then the series—more difficult, in theory, than in the AL. As a result, the Los Angeles Dodgers have the best odds at +822. The Philadelphia Phillies are next at +975 with bettors highly encouraged by their offseason moves. The Bryce Harper signing in particularly tipped them as the favorites in the NL East per these odds.
Of course, there’s still plenty of options in that division. The reigning division champion Atlanta Braves have a plethora of young pitching that is a year older and more mature along with the addition of Josh Donaldson. The New York Mets are completely remade with Robinson Cano, Edwin Diaz and a slew of others added to the bullpen and offense in hopes of taking advantage of a dynamic group of starting pitchers already in house.
The NL Central is similarly deep with talents given even the Cincinnati Reds added in the offseason to be more competitive. Given the depths of the East and Central, it makes sense the Dodgers would be favorites to get to the World Series—again. Of course, the back-to-back NL champion hasn’t nabbed a World Series title in the last two years and is arguably in no better position to do so in 2019 compared to the last two seasons.
INTERESTING LONGSHOTS
The St. Louis Cardinals made their big splash early in the offseason, trading for Paul Goldschmidt. The move has seen been overshadowed by the Harper and Machado sweepstakes, but Goldschmidt could still be the biggest acquisition of the offseason.
The Cardinals currently sit with their odds at +1665. They’re not the biggest longshots, but the team has missed the playoffs the last few seasons. St. Louis’s biggest issues of late, however, has been defense and the lack of a true middle-of-the-order bat. Goldy helps in both respects. Meanwhile, the Cardinals bulked up their rotation with Andrew Miller and have a nice defense up the middle now with Yadier Molina, Kolten Wong and Harrison Bader all well above average with the glove.
Digging a bit deeper, the A’s are at +3800, largely because most feel Oakland cannot replicate last year’s success without better starting pitching. The formula worked in 2018. Can it do so again in 2019? This is largely the same team and that team could make things interesting. They might not be getting enough credit going into 2019, making them an interesting pick.
The Minnesota Twins, on the other hand, are the opposition of Oakland. The team struggled in 2018, but they reached the Wild Card in 2017 after selling off pieces at the deadline. The Twins just need some players already in house to improve, most notably Byron Buxton and Miguel Sano, although the latter will be delayed due to injury.
ANALYSIS AND PREDICTION
Opportunity is key and the American League playoff teams look a lot more set compared to a wide open National League. Baring something major, the Yankees, Astros, and Red Sox look like locks to secure a playoff spot. Not surprisingly, those are the three favorites. New York is the chalkiest pick, though having gone a decade since their last title, they’ll be the most motivated of the three.
The Indians are a bit less chalky and their only real competition in the AL Central is a Twins team that struggled last year. Cleveland is in position to waltz to a playoff berth, but their outfield and bullpen will need overhauls in July to make a deep run in October realistic.
If you’re looking for most likely to pay out, the Yankees or Astros may be the best options.
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