Tennis Odds - Rolex Paris Masters Preview


The top two players in the world, Rafael Nadal and Roger Federer, lead the field for the Rolex Paris Masters which begins on Monday. This is the last tournament before the season-ending ATP Finals next week in London. It is a top-heavy field in Paris, as Federer is listed as the favorite at odds of +160, while Nadal is +200. No one else in the field is listed with odds of less than +1100. Let’s look at the event, odds and picks.

Rolex Paris Masters Odds

Roger Federer +160

Rafael Nadal +200

Marin Cilic +1100

Alexander Zverev +1100

Juan Martin del Potro +1200

Jo-Wilfried Tsonga +1600

Grigor Dimitrov +2000

Dominic Thiem +2000

Roberto Bautista Agut +3300

David Goffin +3300

Gael Monfils +3300

Lucas Pouille +3300

Kevin Anderson +4000

Richard Gasquet +4000

John Isner +4000

Adrian Mannarino +5000

Sam Querrey +5000

Diego Schwartzman +5000

Denis Shapovalov +5000

Jack Sock +5000

Pablo Carreno Busta +6600

Kyle Edmund +6600

David Ferrer +6600

Steve Johnson +6600

Karen Khachanov +6600

Feliciano Lopez +6600

Andrey Rublev +6600

Julien Benneteau +8000

Hyeon Chung +8000

Nicolas Mahut +8000

Benoit Paire +8000

Robin Haase +10000

Albert Ramos-Vinolas +1000

Gilles Simon +10000

Yuichi Sugita +10000

Viktor Troicki +10000

Mischa Zverev +10000

Pierre-Hugues Herbert +12500

Pablo Cuevas +15000

Ryan Harrison +15000

Fernando Verdasco +15000

Paolo Lorenzi +20000

Top Contenders

This event should be all about Nadal and Federer, as Novak Djokovic, Andy Murray and Stan Wawrinka are not participating. Nadal is returning to action after dealing with some knee soreness, while Federer won last week in Switzerland. Federer could move past Nadal in the race for the No. 1 ranking if he wins this week in Paris and next week in London.


  1. Rafael Nadal
  2. Roger Federer
  3. Marin Cilic
  4. Alexander Zverev
  5. Dominic Thiem
  6. Grigor Dimitrov
  7. David Goffin
  8. Pablo Carreno Busta
  9. John Isner
  10. Sam Querrey
  11. Jo-Wilfried Tsonga
  12. Kevin Anderson
  13. Juan Martin del Potro
  14. Roberto Bautista Agut
  15. Albert Ramos Vinolas
  16. Jack Sock

Matchups to Watch

There is no question that Nadal vs. Federer is the key matchup to watch, but the race for the last couple of spots at the ATP Finals in London is in the spotlight as well. In the top half of the draw it could be Pablo Carreno Busta taking on Sam Querrey, and Querrey is just 80 points behind Carreno Busta for the No. 11 spot. It would be the first-ever meeting between the two players.

Juan Martin del Potro has been moving up quickly in the race for the last spot in London. He played well in Basel last week before falling in the final to Federer. Del Potro will play the winner of Sousa and Lorenzi in his opening match and he could be up against Zverev in the third round. Del Potro won their only previous meeting earlier this year against Zverev.

If it ends up being Nadal vs. Federer in the final, then the edge would have to go to Federer. He is playing at a very high level right now and he has won each of their last five meetings.

Event Notes

A number of top players withdrew from this event. Four-time winner Novak Djokovic and defending champion Andy Murray will not play. Other players of note who will not be in action include Tomas Berdych, Fabio Fognini, Nick Kyrgios, Philipp Kohlschreiber, Gael Monfils, Gilles Muller, Kei Nishikori, Milos Raonic and Stan Wawrinka. It has been either Djokovic or Murray winning this title in the last four years.

Tennis Picks

As I said last week about the event in Switzerland, I see no reason to go against Federer. I did give del Potro a chance last week and he made the final. I think it could be a similar outcome in Paris, although the path for del Potro to the final is much tougher this week, but at least he is on the opposite side of the draw to Federer.

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