Israel Adesanya will defend his UFC middleweight title against Marvin Vettori on Saturday night in Glendale, Arizona. These two met in 2018 and it was Adesanya winning a split decision. Adesanya is coming off the first loss of his career, as he was beaten by Jan Blachowicz for the UFC light heavyweight title in March, while Vettori has won his last five fights since losing to Adesanya. There are a total of five fights on the main pay-per-view card and nine fights on the preliminary card on ESPN, ESPN+ and UFC Fight Pass. Let’s look at the bout between Adesanya and Vettori and UFC picks.
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 takes place at Gila River Arena on Saturday, June 12 with five fights on the main pay-per-view card and nine preliminary bouts, with four on ESPN and ESPN+ and five on ESPN+ and UFC Fight Pass.
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori II Betting
Israel Adesanya (20-1, 9-1 UFC)
Adesanya came into the UFC with a record of 11-0 and he has nine wins and one loss in the UFC. In his last five fights he is 4-1. He is coming off a unanimous decision loss to Blachowicz in March. Adesanya won by TKO against Paulo Costa in September of last year, won a unanimous decision against Yoel Romero in March of last year, knocked out Robert Whittaker in October of 2019 and won a unanimous decision against Kelvin Gastelum in April of 2019. Adesanya has been a pro since 2012 and he has 15 wins by TKO/KO. He has seven first round finishes.
Marvin Vettori (17-4-1, 7-2-1 UFC)
Vettori came into the UFC with a record of 10-2 and he has seven wins, two losses and one draw in the UFC. He is 5-0 in his last five fights. He won a unanimous decision against Kevin Holland in April, won a unanimous decision against Jack Hermansson in December of last year, won by submission against Karl Roberson in June of last year, won a unanimous decision against Andrew Sanchez in October of 2019 and won a unanimous decision against Cezar Ferreira in July of 2019. Vettori has been a pro since 2012 and he has two wins by TKO/KO and nine by submission. He has 11 first round finishes.
Strikes landed per minute: Adesanya 3.95/ Vettori 4.14
Striking Accuracy: Adesanya 49% / Vettori 44%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Adesanya 2.63/ Vettori 2.90
Defense: Adesanya 61% / Vettori 66%
Takedown average: Adesanya 0.00 / Vettori 2.22
Takedown Accuracy: Adesanya 0% / Vettori 53%
Takedowns defended: Adesanya 82% / Vettori 78%
Submission average: Adesanya 0.3 / Vettori 0.8
How will Adesanya respond to the first loss of his career? Is Vettori really good enough to win the title? We’ll get our answers on Saturday night in this rematch. The first fight between the two was very close and there is no doubt Vettori won the third round of that fight. This time around the fight is scheduled for five rounds and I don’t know that Vettori can win three rounds against Adesanya. I am not thrilled about laying more than 2-1, although I do think Adesanya will get the win. I think the better choice is to simply play the rounds to go over the total.
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori II Card & Odds
Middleweight: Marvin Vettori +201 vs. Israel Adesanya -260
Flyweight: Brandon Moreno +179 vs. Deiveson Figueiredo -230
Light Heavyweight: Paul Craig +221 vs. Jamahal Hill -290
Welterweight: Demian Maia +179 vs. Belal Muhammad -230
Welterweight: Nate Diaz +405 vs. Leon Edwards -600
Heavyweight: Jake Collier +139 vs. Carlos Felipe -175
Lightweight: Fares Ziam -145 vs. Luigi Vendramini +115
Featherweight: Hakeem Dawodu +186 vs. Movsar Evloev -240
Women's Flyweight: Joanne Calderwood -150 vs. Lauren Murphy +120
Lightweight: Frank Camacho +168 vs. Matt Frevola -215
Lightweight: Drew Dober -140 vs. Brad Riddell +110
Featherweight: Steven Peterson -120 vs. Chase Hooper -110
Light Heavyweight: Eryk Anders -145 vs. Darren Stewart +115
Women's Bantamweight: Alexis Davis +165 vs. Pannie Kianzad -210
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