On Thursday night, Mitch Marner and his new Vegas Golden Knight teammates will host the Toronto Maple Leafs. Specifically, it is one of the biggest games of the regular season. ESPN will be on hand to televise the proceedings, and both teams will be motivated.
From the 2016-17 season through 2024-25, Mitch Marner has been a regular forward in the National Hockey League. His career began with the Toronto Maple Leafs, where he was a regular season star and a playoff failure. At least that is how Maple Leaf fans see it.
Following another playoff flop in 2025, the Maple Leafs raised the white flag of surrender. Now, Marner is with the Vegas Golden Knights, as his former team is fighting to make the playoffs.
Certainly, Toronto’s playoff problems went far deeper than Marner. And Marner was a major factor in the Leafs' playoff appearances from 2017 through 2025. But as one of the Maple Leaf marquee men, he paid the price with scorn.
Following a strong start, the Golden Knights have hit a rough patch. Still, Vegas remains one of the favorites to win the Western Conference. Of great concern is that the Golden Knights have not gotten consistent goaltending. Former starter Aidin Hill is on injured reserve, and nobody else has filled the void.
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Toronto Maple Leafs at Vegas Golden Knights Betting at Bookmaker
T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV, hosts the matchup between the Vegas Golden Knights and the Toronto Maple Leafs on Thursday, January 15, 2026. Faceoff time is at 9:30 p.m. ET with television coverage on ESPN.
The Maple Leafs and Golden Knights will draw vastly more interest and betting traffic than most other NHL games, especially with an ESPN telecast.
Vegas will be a popular pick as the home team wanting to deliver for Marner against the ex-club. By contrast, the Maple Leafs will want to stick it to their old teammate.
Toronto Maple Leafs
The Toronto Maple Leafs are 23-15-7 straight up and 25-19 over/under the total.
Toronto is 6th in the Eastern Conference playoff standings. Toronto is seven points behind the Carolina Hurricanes in the Eastern Conference playoff race.
Toronto has covered eight out of its last ten games. While the Maple Leafs have gone under the total in three of their previous four matchups.
Toronto ranks 5th in goals scored and 24th in power-play efficiency. In comparison, on defense, the Maple Leafs rank 22nd in goals against and 3rd in penalty killing.
Vegas Golden Knights
The Vegas Golden Knights are 21-11-12 straight up and 23-20 over/under the total.
Vegas is 4th in the Western Conference playoff standings. Vegas is 20 points behind the Colorado Avalanche in the Western Conference playoff race.
Vegas has covered four of its last five games. At the same time, the Golden Knights have gone over the total in three of their previous four matchups.
Vegas ranks 10th in goals scored and 4th in power play efficiency. Defensively, the Golden Knights rank 15th in goals against and 9th in penalty killing.
Maple Leafs at Golden Knights Betting Trends
Toronto failed to cover their last 20 away games. Also, Toronto went under the total in only one of its last four games.
Meanwhile, Vegas has dropped four of its last seven home games. The Golden Knights went over the total in five of their last seven games.
In this series between the Maple Leafs and Golden Knights, Vegas got the cash in four of the most recent six meetings. Four of the last five games between the Maple Leafs and Golden Knights went over the total.
Specifically in Vegas, the Golden Knights got the money in four of their last seven meetings against the Maple Leafs. The Knights and Leafs went over the total in five of their last seven meetings in Vegas.
Maple Leafs at Golden Knights Bookmaker Best Bets
In this situation, the Golden Knights will face a Toronto team that has not performed well on the road or in Sin City. Toronto’s defensive metrics are among the worst in the NHL.
Main Pick: Vegas Golden Knights
Over/Under Pick: Over the Total
Player Prop Picks: Mitch Marner Over the Total Points Total
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