PGA Tour Picks – Odds to Win PGA Championship

Odds to Win PGA Championship

The PGA Championship shows off its new timeslot as the season’s second major, getting underway May 16 at Bethpage State Park Black Course in Farmingdale, New York. And for the first time at a major, every player in the OWGR top 100 will tee off. That makes for a loaded field and a bunched top of the odds board at Tiger Woods hasn’t taken a competitive swing since slipping on the green jacket at Augusta last month, yet he’s the co-second favorite along with defending champion Brooks Koepka at +1215. World No. 1 Dustin Johnson and Rory McIlroy came off as the betting favorites with odds of +1015.

Odds to Win PGA Championship at

Dustin Johnson +1015

Rory McIlroy +1015

Tiger Woods +1215

Brooks Koepka +1215

Jon Rahm +1615

Rickie Fowler +1615

Justin Thomas +1816

Justin Rose +2151

Jason Day +2217

Tommy Fleetwood +2617

Francesco Molinari +2852

Xander Schauffele +3287

Tony Finau +4015

Patrick Cantlay +4250

Bryson DeChambeau +4650

Hideki Matsuyama +4850

Sergio Garcia +5235

Patrick Reed +6050

Webb Simpson +6050

Paul Casey +6550

Adam Scott +6550

Jordan Spieth +6650

Gary Woodland +7050

Matt Kuchar +7050

Bubba Watson +7550

Henrik Stenson +8050

Louis Oosthuizen +9050

Phil Mickelson +9050

Marc Leishman +9050

Ian Poulter +9050

Jason Kokrak +9050

Kevin Kisner +10050

Matt Wallace +10050

Lucas Glover +10050

Jhonattan Vegas +10250

Charles Howell +10250

Aaron Wise +10250

Keith Mitchell +12050

Rafael Cabrera Bello +12050

CT Pan +12550

J.B. Holmes +13250

Matthew Fitzpatrick +15050

Haotong Li +15050

Emiliano Grillo +15050

Tyrell Hatton +15050

Sung Kang +15050

Max Homa +15250

Joost Luiten +15250

Sungjae Im +15250

Thorbjorn Olesen +15250

Luke List +15250

Cameron Champ +15250

Justin Harding +17250

Ryan Moore +17250

Brandt Snedeker +17250

Shane Lowry +17250

Thomas Pieters +17250

Keegan Bradley +17250

Si Woo Kim +17250

Cameron Smith +17250

Charley Hoffman +17250

Alex Noren +17250

Kyle Stanley +17250

Branden Grace +17250

Scott Piercy +17250

Jason Dufner +18050

Eddie Pepperell +18050

Kiradech Aphibarnrat +18250

Byeong Hun An +18250

Beau Hossler +18250

Odds Analysis

Tiger Woods +1215

He hasn’t played a competitive round since his Masters title, but you have to like his chances after getting the elusive 15th major championship of his career. Woods elected to rest in between starts and it makes me believe he’s going all out for another title in his pursuit of Jack Nicklaus. One of his major titles was here at Bethpage Black when he won the 2002 U.S. Open. During his career Woods has gone major to major six times, finishing outside the top 25 on three occasions with a MC. He also won twice.

Brooks Koepka +1215

One of a few players to compete at the Byron Nelson last week, Koepka finished strong ahead of his title defense. His play in recent majors also bodes well for his chances. Since 2014 he’s more than one-quarter of a shot per round better than any player. However, while most of the field didn’t play last week, Koepka had sponsor commitments and was solo fourth in Dallas. He scored all four rounds in the 60s and his ball striking was strong, giving backers plenty of hope.

Phil Mickelson +9050

Recent form hasn’t been strong, but don’t count Mickelson out of any major. And considering his history at Bethpage Black, it’s hard not to drop a few bucks on Lefty at his current price. He was runner-up at both U.S. Opens held on this course and he’s gained multiple strokes over the field in 12 of 16 career rounds played on this track. “I really do love Bethpage. I love golf in this area,” Mickelson said. He also expressed similar thoughts about Pebble Beach back in February and we know how that turned out for him.

Jordan Spieth +6650

Could the possibility of winning the career Grand Slam be enough to break Spieth out of his slump? It’s his third attempt at becoming the sixth player to win all four major championships and this may be the least likely given his recent poor play. There were signs last week that maybe Spieth’s game has returned. He scored three rounds in the 60 at the Byron Nelson before a final 71 moved him to T29, leaving him without a top-20 finish this year.

Course: Bethpage State Park Black Course – 7,432 yards, Par 70

One of the finest public courses in the country, Bethpage Black stretches out to nearly 7,450 yards and plays at par 70. The course is long so golfers better bring their drivers and be dialed in on their irons. Three par 3s are distanced at over 200 yards and seven par 4s will play over 460 yards. There are narrow driving lanes off the tee and the elevated greens are guarded by a number of sand traps. It’s better to attack through the air, but everyone is going to experience some time on the beach, that’s just what happens on this layout. There is a sign near the first tee box that warns only “highly skilled” golfers should play the Black Course.

TV Coverage: CBS, TNT

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