PGA Tour Picks – Odds to Win Dell Technologies Match Play

PGA Tour Picks

The PGA Tour takes a detour this week in more ways than one. The gang travels to Austin, Tex., to compete in the second of four World Golf Championships, this one being the Dell Technologies Match Play. The field of 64 players is divided into 16 groups of four going against each other over the first three days in a round-robin, match play format. The winner from each group advances to the elimination stage over the weekend. The event is played at the 7,128-yard, par-71 Austin Country Club. Defending champion Bubba Watson opened with odds of +3050 at BookMaker.eu. He’s playing behind betting favorite Rory McIlroy ( +775 ) and second favorite Dustin Johnson ( +950 ).

Odds to Win WGC Dell Technologies Match Play at BookMaker.eu

Rory McIlroy +775

Dustin Johnson +950

Justin Thomas +1325

Jon Rahm +1450

Justin Rose +2250

Tommy Fleetwood +2350

Brooks Koepka +2350

Paul Casey +2555

Tiger Woods +2555

Jason Day +2775

Francesco Molinari +2800

Bubba Watson +3050

Bryson DeChambeau +3400

Sergio Garcia +4050

Xander Schauffele +4125

Tony Finau +4125

Ian Poulter +4350

Louis Oosthuizen +4575

Matt Kuchar +5000

Hideki Matsuyama +5050

Patrick Reed +5625

Marc Leishman +6500

Patrick Cantlay +6500

Jordan Spieth +6875

Rafa Cabrera Bello +7000

Gary Woodland +7000

Webb Simpson +7050

Cameron Smith +7425

Kevin Kisner +7475

Matthew Fitzpatrick +7875

Henrik Stenson +8000

Phil Mickelson +8000

Tyrrell Hatton +8875

Charles Howell III +8875

Matt Wallace +9000

Alex Noren +9000

Brandt Snedeker +9250

Keegan Bradley +9500

Eddie Pepperell +9550

Keith Mitchell +9550

Billy Horschel +10000

Jim Furyk +10000

Kiradech Aphibarnrat +10000

Haotong Li +10550

Byeong Hun An +11500

Si Woo Kim +11500

Branden Grace +11500

Luke List +11500

Abraham Ancer +11500

Shane Lowry +11750

Thorbjorn Olesen +12050

Lee Westwood +12050

Emiliano Grillo +12500

Lucas Bjerregaard +12500

Russell Knox +12500

Justin Harding +12500

Kevin Na +13050

Tom Lewis +13250

J.B. Holmes +13500

Aaron Wise +13500

Kyle Stanley +13500

Chez Reavie +13500

Andrew Putnam +14500

Satoshi Kodaira +14500

Odds Analysis

Rory McIlroy +775

Taking last week off to relish his victory at TPC Sawgrass, McIlroy is set to go back at it and he’s loaded with confidence. McIlroy won this event when it was played at Harding Park in California back in 2015 and he grabbed a runner-up finish at Dove Mountain in Arizona in 2012. He also reached the semifinals when Austin CC hosted the event for the first time in 2016. And we all know how comfortable McIlroy is in the match play format. He hasn’t made it past the group stage in his last two starts, but his form is too good to look over.

Xander Schauffele +4125

The X-man comes in a run of good form with 15th or better in five of his last seven starts, and that includes victories at the Sentry TOC and WGC-HSBC Champions. One area Schauffele is proficient is ball-striking, and that will serve him well at this layout. He ranks among the top 15 in scoring this season and his 4.4 birdies per round is among the best. That will also allow him to climb the leaderboard very quickly while not falling behind during the round-robin portion of the event.

Ian Poulter +4350

Some golfers are built better for match play than stroke play, and Poulter is one of them. He’s built a strong match play reputation with his outstanding performances in the Ryder Cup and at this event. Poulter won this tournament in 2010 when it was contested at Dove Mountain and he made the semis on two other occasions. His first start at Austin CC saw him go 3 for 3 in the group stage before being knocked out in the quarterfinal round. Recent form is solid as well with four worldwide top-10s this year.

Bubba Watson +3050

For a guy who doesn’t like the match play format and votes every year to cancel match play events, Watson has done exceptionally well. Watson beat Kevin Kisner 7 & 6 in last year’s championship round, and he’s reached the quarterfinals five times and the final four twice. When he starts liking the event he’ll probably do worse. But he hasn’t changed his stand on the match play style yet, so he has to be considered among the favorites.

Course: Austin Country Club – 7,128 yards, Par 71

It’s as if the field will be playing two different courses seeing how the layout is divided. The front nine plays on higher ground with a typical Texas setting, while the back nine “lowlands” runs alongside Lake Austin. Different elements at different parts of the course force players to think about their shots and manage the course. The front nine has issues with crosswinds and the back nine plays a lot of into and downwind shots. The wind definitely has an effect on how players attack the course. We’ve seen big hitters win here in the past, suggesting some players can overpower the track. But given the elements, strategy and the ability to play the wind are equally important.

TV Coverage: Golf Channel, NBC

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