PGA Tour Picks – Odds to Win 3M Open

PGA Tour Picks – Odds to Win 3M Open

The PGA Tour is hitting some overlooked spots with a trip this week to Minnesota for the inaugural 3M Open, which will be held at the TPC Twin Cities in Blaine. Last week the Tour stopped in Michigan for the first time in a decade and it’s been a half-century since Minnesotans enjoyed a regular PGA Tour visit. The maiden 3M Open has attracted a strong field with world No. 1 Brooks Koepka the betting favorite at online sportsbooks. The field also includes 11 of the top 30 in the latest FedEx Cup standings. has a complete list of odds for this week’s 3M Open.

Odds to Win 3M Open at

Brooks Koepka +765

Hideki Matsuyama +1100

Jason Day +1100

Bryson DeChambeau +1400

Patrick Reed +2500

Viktor Hovland +2800

Tony Finau +3000

Sungjae Im +3300

Rory Sabbatini +3300

Joaquin Niemann +3300

Keegan Bradley +3500

Phil Mickelson +4000

Kevin Na +4000

Kevin Streelman +4000

Charles Howell III +4000

Ryan Moore +4500

Scott Piercy +4500

Adam Hadwin +5000

Jimmy Walker +6600

Kyle Stanley +6600

Nate Lashley +6600

Collin Morikawa +6600

Daniel Berger +6600

J.J. Spaun +7000

Lucas Glover +7000

Nick Watney +7500

Charley Hoffman +7500

Cameron Tringale +7500

Brian Harman +7500

Pat Perez +8000

Mackenzie Hughes +8000

Jason Dufner +8000

Danny Lee +8000

Keith Mitchell +8500

Sung Kang +8500

Talor Gooch +9000

Peter Malnati +9000

Martin Laird +10000

Luke List +10000

Kyoung-Hoon Lee +10000

Jonas Blixt +10000

John Chin +10000

Jim Herman +10000

Sepp Straka +10000

Bud Cauley +10000

Cameron Champ +10000

Odds Analysis

Brooks Koepka +765

We know the drill on Koepka. This isn’t a major so the chances of him winning are slim. But, he is No. 1 in the OWGR and there’s only one first-time winner in any event. Could that be enough motivation? If not, a top-7 finish would lift him past Matt Kuchar into the FedEx Cup points lead. That should be inspiring. His last two non-major starts saw him finish outside the top-40, but he didn’t have the added incentive he has this week. Koepka will have plenty of birdie and even some eagle chances this week and I like him to take advantage of them.

Tony Finau +3000

This could be just what Finau needs to break out of his slump. Since a near win at the Charles Schwab Challenge he’s missed three straight cuts, but he heads to a venue that he’s played a number of times. He has family in the area, “So when I visited them I would play and practice there (TPC). I enjoy the area and look forward to that one,” he said. Finau has slipped down the odds board, but he’s too good a player to be scuffling for long. He’s a good pick at a great price.

Keegan Bradley +3500

Going with Bradley is definitely a gamble, but you have to take a risk every now and then to get a payoff. He’s been hit or miss recently and hasn’t made the cut in back-to-back tournaments since April. However, he easily had his best outing of the year at the Travelers Championship with four sub-70 rounds leading to a runner-up showing. When he’s good, he’s really good and that momentum could carry over to a strong showing this week. Or he could miss the cut again.

Hideki Matsuyama +1100

Is there anyone on Tour hotter than Matsuyama? He hasn’t missed a cut since last year’s Open and has placed among the top-25 in 11 of his 14 starts this season. He’s coming off a T13 at the Rocket Mortgage Classic last week where he gained 3.6 strokes on approach. We saw this from Rory McIlroy earlier in the season where he was blistering hot and just hadn’t won. Well, Mac finally did and it’s only a matter of time for Matsuyama.

Phil Mickelson +4000

This is another high risk-high reward pick, but the odds are enticing. Mickelson has been all over the place lately and this isn’t the ideal layout to solve his accuracy problems. The length does play into his style and avoiding the traps will set up numerous scoring opportunities. If Lefty takes advantage of those chances he could get on a roll and challenge for the top spot. He’s too good to continue playing so poorly and with the Open just around the corner he needs to get his swing ironed out.

Course: TPC Twin Cities – 7,468 yards, Par 71

The course was recently upgraded to accommodate the arrival of the PGA Tour and lengthened to nearly 7,500 yards. TPC Twin Cities was a longtime stop on the Champions Tour with that agreement expiring last year. Opened in 2000, it was considered by many to be one of that Tour’s top courses. Even with the additional yardage the layout is straightforward. There are a number of water hazards spread around the property, but considering the landing areas are large by Tour standards, the water becomes a non-factor. In each of the past seven years the course ranked first or second in birdies on the Champions Tour, so we can expect to see some low numbers this week.

TV Coverage: Golf Channel, CBS

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