Starting for the first time since his triumph at the Masters earlier this month, world No. 1 Jon Rahm is a huge favorite to repeat at the Mexico Open at Vidanta. The field has thinned out from previous tournaments with Tony Finau and Wyndham Clark the next favorites on the outright betting board. That doesn’t mean the rest of the full field doesn’t have a chance, but the way Rahm is playing it could be a foregone conclusion. His win in Mexico last year started a run of five titles in his last 20 PGA Tour starts. While this is only the second PGA sanctioned tournament, the event has been played since the 1940’s as the country’s national open with Vidanta Vallarta hosting for the first time in 2022. Rahm finished one swing better than a trio of players at 17-under and is a massive favorite to repeat in a matchup between the two favorites. Visit BookMaker.eu for an updated list of matchup betting odds when you’re ready to place a wager.
Mexico Open at Vidanta Matchup Odds
Jon Rahm -200 vs. Tony Finau +165
Tony Finau -184 vs. Wyndham Clark +152
Patrick Rodgers -110 vs. Gary Woodland -110
Patrick Rodgers-144 vs. Maverick McNealy +120
Gary Woodland -144 vs. Maverick McNealy +120
Alex Noren +112 vs. Nicolai Hojgaard -134
Alex Noren -134 vs. Emiliano Grillo +112
Nicolai Hojgaard -160 vs. Emiliano Grillo +133
Byeong Hun An -115 vs. Beau Hossler -105
Byeong Hun An -115 vs. Stephan Jaeger -105
Beau Hossler -127 vs. Aaron Rai +106
Taylor Pendrith +112 vs. Alex Smalley -134
Andrew Putnam +130 vs. Stephan Jaeger -157
Will Gordon -122 vs. Ben Martin +102
S.H. Kim -127 vs. Brandon Wu +106
Garrick Higgo -105 vs. MJ Daffue -115
Matt Wallace -134 vs. David Lipsky +112
Lee Hodges -144 vs. Harry Hall +120
Lanto Griffin +120 vs. Luke List -144
Chez Reavie +120 vs. Akshay Bhatia -144
Eric Cole -132 vs. Nate Lashley +110
Dylan Wu -138 vs. Doug Ghim +115
Francesco Molinari -110 vs. Matthias Schwab -110
Kevin Streelman +112 vs. Patton Kizzire -134
Andrew Novak -110 vs. Greyson Sigg -110
Erik Van Rooyen +115 vs. Charley Hoffman -138
Vincent Norrman -163 vs. Henrik Norlander +135
Lucas Glover -120 vs. Aaron Baddeley +100
Harry Higgs -110 vs. Ryan Gerard -110
Austin Eckroat -134 vs. Austin Smotherman +112
Cameron Champ -120 vs. Kevin Chappell +100
Need to Know
Hosting a PGA Tour event for the first time last year, Vidanta Vallarta offered little resistance to the field with 23 golfers finishing double digits under par. There were changes made to the layout ahead of the Tour’s arrival with additional yardage tacked on and bunkers added and reshaped. The course stretches to 7,456 yards at par-71 and is similar to other seaside resort courses we see on Tour. Wide fairways open it up to big hitters, which could be advantageous. The layout for a par 71 is a little different with four par-5s and five par-3s. Bombers will have an edge on five par-4 holes that measure 475 yards or longer. The pros usually devour resort courses and Vidanta Vallarta wasn’t much different last year despite several holes ranking among the most difficult on Tour last season.
Mexico Open at Vidanta Matchup Picks
Gary Woodland -110 vs. Patrick Rodgers
I reluctantly backed Woodland for the outright but I feel much better about him in this matchup. He hasn’t been in contention that often but he has been consistent playing the weekend in 10 of 14 starts with a WD. His best finish was a T9 twice and he recently placed among the top 15 at Augusta, sparking memories of his U.S. Open triumph a few years ago. That’s actually the last time he won on Tour so maybe he’s due.
Brandon Wu +106 vs. S.H. Kim
His best finish during his rookie campaign was right here when Wu finished one swing behind Rahm tied with a pair of golfers. He pressured the leaders with a closing 63 so I would think Wu would be eager to return. He’s been solid in his sophomore season racking up three top 20s, including a co-runner-up at Pebble Beach, in his last nine starts.
Beau Hossler -105 vs. Byeong Hun An
It’s been a roller-coaster ride for Hossler this season and right now he’s enjoying one of his highs. He had a pair of top 15s in February before a run of four consecutive MCs. He’s back in a groove with three straight paydays, including a disheartening third with partner Wyndham Clark at the Zurich where they had at least a share of the lead after each of the first three days. In all he has six top 25s and since he’s playing well he’s worth the risk.
Emiliano Grillo +112 vs. Alex Noren
An excellent ball striker, Grillo hasn’t fared as well as would like lately due in large part to struggles with the putter. Extra work appeared to pay off last time out with flat stick metrics improved leading to T7 at the RBC Heritage. It was Grillo’s third top 10 of the season but first since last October. Continued strong putting, along with his other attributes, makes Grillo an inviting pick at his price.
Chez Reavie +120 vs. Akshay Bhatia
I’m almost always looking for value picks and they are out there when it comes to matchups. A month ago I wouldn’t have given Reavie the time of day let alone place a bet on him. However, two solid outings following a string of six straight MCs have me paying closer attention to his price. The disastrous run ended earlier this month at the Texas Open when a closing 65 vaulted Reavie to a share of sixth. He followed with a T11 at Harbour Town giving him a much needed jolt of confidence.
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