The COVID pandemic hasn’t affected the playing of the 3M Open, which operates this week on its originally scheduled dates. Following the doubleheader at Muirfield Village the PGA Tour heads to Minnesota for the second edition of this event, contested at TPC Twin Cities in Blaine. There is a drop in the talent pool from last week’s Memorial with many high-profile golfers gearing up for the WGC and PGA Championship coming up. This is a good time for Dustin Johnson and Brooks Koepka to get back in the swing of things. They sit atop the odds board with defending champ Matthew Wolff a little further down the chart. BookMaker.eu has a complete updated list of betting odds for this week’s 3M Open.
Odds to Win 3M Open at BookMaker.eu
Dustin Johnson +1055
Brooks Koepka +1308
Tony Finau +1408
Tommy Fleetwood +1608
Paul Casey +1834
Matthew Wolff +2286
Lucas Glover +2770
Harris English +2831
Bubba Watson +3035
Russell Henley +3343
Erik Van Rooyen +3545
Doc Redman +3545
Ryan Moore +4109
Sam Burns +4500
Luke List +5000
Henrik Norlander +5500
Brian Harman +5500
Max Homa +5750
Patrick Rodgers +6000
Sepp Straka +6600
Carlos Ortiz +6600
Will Gordon +7000
Jhonattan Vegas +7000
Si Woo Kim +7500
Charley Hoffman +8000
Troy Merritt +8000
Ryan Armour +8000
Rafa Cabrera Bello +8000
Scott Stallings +8000
Sam Ryder +8000
Chris Kirk +8000
Dylan Frittelli +8000
Alex Noren +8000
Kristoffer Ventura +8000
Branden Grace +8500
Vaughn Taylor +8950
Odds Analysis
Sam Burns +4500
Going with the favorites in a field like this is tempting, but when they’ve struggled it’s hard to justify backing them. So, let’s take a look down the odds list for golfers that have better value. Burns has the type of game that can be successful at TPC Twin Cities – he can drive the ball and usually putts effectively. The combo resulted in a T7 last year. A T17 at the Workday was his best since the restart and he appears to be recovering from a wrist injury that stunted his progress.
Harris English +2831
Following his T17 at the RBC Heritage, English took some additional time off. The tactic paid off when he shared 13th at the Memorial. This is as high up the odds board I go and it’s because English has been a model of consistency with nine top-20s, five of those among the top-10. He’s been solid with every stick in his bag and wielding them all expertly is something that the winner needs to do.
Jhonattan Vegas +7000
There are value plays in the field, but I’m not going further down the list than what Vegas is priced at. The field is strong enough to see someone higher up take the trophy. That being said Vegas fits the profile of what can work on this layout. He ranks 17th on Tour in driving distance and his work with the flat stick has improved. He hasn’t lost strokes off the tee since October and he’s looking to make up for a MC at the Workday.
Henrik Norlander +5500
Norlander was on fire with the flat stick last week leading to a T6 at the Memorial. Now, if he can just save strokes getting to the green he might be in contention. It’s not a stretch to believe that can happen. Norlander has always been known as a superlative ball-striker and he should stay out of trouble with accurate tee shots.
Erik Van Rooyen +3545
A mainstay on the Euro circuit since turning pro, Van Rooyen returns to his old stomping grounds so to speak. He played collegiately at the University of Minnesota and received a sponsor invite, but he isn’t a charity case. Looking to make the jump to the PGA Tour, the South African put himself in a good spot with last week’s T22 at the Memorial. He ranked among the 10 best in GIR and strokes gained: tee to green at Muirfield Village.
Course: TPC Twin Cities – 7,431 yards, Par 71
The course received a facelift a few years ago ahead of the Tour’s arrival, stretching it out to 7,431 yards. TPC Twin Cities was a longtime stop on the Champions Tour with that agreement expiring in 2018. Opened in 2000, it was considered by many to be one of that Tour’s top courses. Even with the additional yardage the layout is straightforward. There are a number of water hazards spread around the property, but considering the landing areas are large by Tour standards, the water becomes a non-factor. If players stay dry there is a chance to go low. Matthew Wolff won the inaugural version at 21-under tying the round and setting the tournament record score. In the end the golfer with the hottest putter will have the best chance.
TV Coverage: Golf Channel, CBS
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