With major season behind us and just a few tournaments remaining before the season-ending playoffs, don’t be surprised if the atmosphere is a little subdued at this week’s 3M Open. A number of players looking to improve their status or make a late run in the FedExCup standings have a shot to do that on the TPC Twin Cities layout. Tony Finau opened as the betting favorite with Hideki Matsuyama second. They are the only players with shorter than 20/1 odds on the opening line. Surviving a difficult final day last year, Cameron Champ is back to defend his title with 2020 champ Michael Thompson also scheduled to compete. Coming off his win last week at the Barracuda Championship, Chez Reavie is positioned in the second tier of favorites. Visit BookMaker.eu for a complete updated list of betting odds when you’re ready to place a wager.
Odds to Win 3M Open
Tony Finau +1500
Hideki Matsuyama +1800
Adam Hadwin +2000
Davis Riley +2000
Sahith Theegala +2000
Cameron Davis +2200
Sungjae Im +2200
Maverick McNealy +2500
Brendan Steele +2800
Cameron Tringale +3000
Christopher Gotterup +3000
Mark Hubbard +3000
Rickie Fowler +3000
Adam Long +3300
Charles Howell III +3300
Chez Reavie +3300
J.T.Poston +3300
Brendon Todd +3500
Martin Laird +3500
Ryan Palmer +3500
Wyndham Clark +3500
Nick Hardy +4000
Adam Svensson +4500
Cameron Champ +4500
Dylan Frittelli +5000
Jason Day +5000
Matthew NeSmith +5000
Lanto Griffin +5500
Emiliano Grillo +6000
Lucas Glover +6000
Troy Merritt +6000
Austin Smotherman +6600
C.T.Pan +6600
Odds Analysis
Tony Finau +1500
I don’t always back the favorite, but it’s not every tournament where that player has odds like Finau. Outside of a MC at the U.S. Open, we’ve seen consistency over the past few months that made him one of the best players on Tour. Since April he’s 9 of 10 with two runners-up and a T4, and he closed The Open with a 66 to climb into the top-30. He has a history in this event playing all three previous editions with a podium finish in 2020 and two other top-30s, making him a decent pick in alternate markets as well if the price is right.
Adam Long +3300
The veteran Long has been good enough to play a lot of golf recently but hasn’t entered the main stream sitting just outside the fringe of noteworthiness. He has five top-25s in his last nine tournaments, including the last three, but hasn’t been better than T12 in any of those starts. This is a joint that can and has produced good numbers with Long boasting a scoring average of 67.17 over his last six rounds at TPC Twin Cities. And he’s on the verge of a breakthrough.
Maverick McNealy +2500
I have to think McNealy is ready to settle a score at this event. Just one shot off the lead tied for second entering the final round last year, McNealy proceeded to shoot a 73 taking him out of contention. And he will use a run of strong form to make up for that collapse. A pair of top-10s in his last three starts has the Stanford product in a good spot. He opened the run with a T8 at the Deere Classic and was T9 at the Barracuda last week. In between he posted a T16 at the Scottish Open.
J.T.Poston +3300
If the good Poston shows up he’s worth the risk. He’s missed the cut in half of his previous 10 starts, that’s the bad. The good is that he has three podium finishes, including a win, among four top-10s in the other five. Prior to his MC at The Open, Poston opened with a blistering 62 en route to a win at the Deere Classic. He also had a 62 in his previous start that resulted in a runner-up at the Travelers. This is a field to his liking and his strengths are accuracy and putting, which are key components to success at TPC Twin Cities.
Adam Svensson +4500
He has yet to win on Tour, but Svensson appears to be getting better as the season progresses. Starting at the Byron Nelson in May, he’s 7 for 7 with four consecutive top-25 finishes. His best showing of the season came at the Barbasol Championship a few weeks ago with a solo sixth that included an opening 62. That could have been the breakout performance that takes Svensson to new heights, and at his price he’s definitely worth dropping a few bucks on.
Course: TPC Twin Cities – 7,431 yards, Par 71
Located a few miles north of Minneapolis/St. Paul, TPC Twin Cities received a facelift a few years ago ahead of the Tour’s arrival, stretching it out to 7,431 yards. The joint was a longtime stop on the Champions Tour with that agreement expiring in 2018. Opened in 2000 it was considered by many to be one of that Tour’s top courses. Even with the additional yardage the layout is straightforward. There are a number of water hazards spread around the property, but considering the landing areas are large by Tour standards, the water becomes a non-factor. If players stay dry there is a chance to go low, though scores have progressively gotten worse in three previous editions. Matthew Wolff was 21-under to win the inaugural event in 2019 with Thompson at 19-under two years ago. Champ won by 2-shots at -15 last year. In the end, though, the hottest putter will have the best chance.
TV Coverage: Golf Channel, CBS
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