European Tour Picks – Odds to Win Scottish Open

European Tour Picks – Odds to Win Scottish Open

The European Tour is off to Scotland this week with one final tune up before the Open Championship. An all-star field will gather at The Renaissance Club in North Berwick for the Aberdeen Standard Investments Scottish Open, the third Rolex Series event of the season. Headlining the field is Rory McIlroy, the highest ranked golfer in the field at No. 3 and the betting favorite at offshore sportsbooks. Rickie Fowler, Justin Thomas and Matt Kuchar are all ranked among the top-15 and are slotted at the top of the odds board. Defending champ Brandon Stone is further down the odds board to repeat.

Odds to Win Scottish Open at BookMaker.eu

Rory McIlroy +515

Rickie Fowler +1050

Justin Thomas +1250

Matt Kuchar +1550

Henrik Stenson +2350

Rafael Cabrera Bello +2550

Eddie Pepperell +2775

Matt Wallace +3050

Tyrrell Hatton +3050

Matthew Fitzpatrick +3250

Haotong Li +3675

Martin Kaymer +3850

Bernd Wiesberger +4050

Andy Sullivan +4450

Kevin Kisner +5450

Ian Poulter +5850

Erik Van Rooyen +5950

Mike Lorenzo-Vera +6050

Jorge Campillo +6050

Russell Knox +6550

Lee Westwood +6850

Thomas Detry +7750

Graeme McDowell +8850

Julian Suri +8850

Jordan Smith +9050

C.T. Pan +9250

Branden Grace +9550

Jimmy Walker +9550

Thomas Pieters +9550

Gavin Green +9850

Victor Dubuisson +9850

Dylan Frittelli +10000

Paul Waring +10000

Robert MacIntyre +10000

Andrew Putnam +10000

Joost Luiten +10000

Justin Harding +10250

Christiaan Bezuidenhout +10250

Kiradech Aphibarnrat +10550

Robert Rock +10550

Oliver Wilson +10550

Andrea Pavan +10550

Chris Paisley +11050

Lucas Bjerregaard +11550

Marcus Kinhult +11550

Edoardo Molinari +12050

Ryan Fox +12050

Brandon Stone +12550

Paul Dunne +13550

Alexander Bjork +13550

Field (Any Other Player) +265

Odds Analysis

Rory McIlroy +515

He is the prohibitive favorite and it’s hard to overlook what McIlroy has done as he gets ready for the Open Championship. I typically don’t lean towards favorites for obvious reasons, but like last week when Jon Rahm was a top pick, McIlroy has a lot going for him entering this event. He chose to play here instead of last week’s Irish Open, which had to be a difficult choice, so you know he’s going all in. He hasn’t teed it up since the U.S. Open, which came right after a win in Canada. McIlroy has been one of if not the most consistent golfer on any tour this season with 11 top-10s, so he has to be considered despite the low payout.

Matt Kuchar +1550

No stranger to the Scottish Open, Kuchar has used this event as a lead in to the Open Championship the last few years and he’s had solid results. He was runner-up in 2015 and fourth in 2017. He’s been strong this season with five top-10s in his last eight starts to go along with a pair of victories. He ranks highly in a number of stat categories proving he’s on top of his game. He missed the cut at Gullane last year, but that’s the exception and not the norm.

Rafael Cabrera Bello +2550

If he can overcome his meltdown from last week, RCB is a solid pick with a nice payout. He looked poised to win the Irish Open, setting the pace early in the final round before slipping to a T4. That followed a T3 at the BMW International, so we know he’s on top of his game. He’s a solid links player with a win at this event two years ago at Dundonald.

Eddie Pepperell +2775

A nice return from an injury was proof that Pepperell hasn’t lost a thing. He hadn’t played since missing the cut at the PGA Championship in May, but responded to the down time by claiming a T4 last week, which was his second top five in his last three starts. A strong links player, Pepperell has a second and a fourth at this event and was T6 in last year’s Open Championship at Carnoustie. The odds are favorable due to his time off, but he’s a risk worth exploring.

Bernd Wiesberger +4050

I’ve been praising Wiesberger for some time and it’s started to pay off. His return from a wrist injury was a matter of time for the talented Austrian and it continued with last week’s T2 at the Irish Open. He also has a win at the Made in Denmark and a T8 in his last five starts, so things are trending upward. Hasn’t had much success at the Scottish Open, but links play at the Alfred Dunhill proves he can translate his game.

Course: The Renaissance Club – 7,136 yards, Par 71

The Scottish Open gets a new venue this year, though there wasn’t much travel involved. Opened in 2008, The Renaissance Club is just a few miles from Gullane, where the 2018 tournament was held, and is another traditional links-style layout. There wasn’t much work done when the course was completed, carving the layout into the original landscape, which is typical of links golf in this part of the world. The length isn’t challenging, but there are obstacles for the players to contend with. The rough is up and trees are part of the landscape. And like with all links courses, wind can be a factor.

TV Coverage: Golf Channel

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