Two of the most improved teams in the NBA will clash on Wednesday night in the renewal of an intrastate rivalry showdown when the San Antonio Spurs host the Houston Rockets on ESPN.
San Antonio is finally starting to take off with their young superstar, Victor Wembanyama, the first overall pick of the 2023 NBA Draft. Wembanyama arrived with a hero’s welcome and immediately became the face of the franchise. While improvement took longer than expected, the Spurs are emerging as a Western Conference power and are fighting the Denver Nuggets for second place.
The Houston Rockets became a serious contender again when they acquired Kevin Durant from the Phoenix Suns this past offseason. Durant is a 2-time NBA Finals MVP, and that championship pedigree was considered essential for a franchise renaissance.
Interest and betting traffic will be unusually high for a matchup that is one of the best national TV offerings of the season.
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San Antonio Spurs at Houston Rockets Betting at Bookmaker
Toyota Center in Houston, TX, hosts the matchup between the San Antonio Spurs and the Houston Rockets on Wednesday, January 28, 2026. Tipoff time is at 9:30 p.m. ET with television coverage on ESPN.
Oddsmakers will open with a relatively honest line as both teams are respected, and Houston, while not quite as good as the Spurs this season, is the home team, which will draw casuals.
Both teams have plenty of star power, with veteran Kevin Durant the marquee man for the Rockets and emerging superstar Victor Wembanyama the main man for the Spurs.
With Houston at home, this matchup looks even to squares, and the betting line will attract money evenly on both sides and from casuals and squares alike.
San Antonio Spurs
The San Antonio Spurs are 31-15 straight up, 23-22-1 against the spread, and 17-29 over/under the total.
Late on, San Antonio has covered one out of their last five games. At the same time, the Spurs have gone under the total in nine of their previous ten matchups.
San Antonio is 2nd in the Western Conference playoff standings. San Antonio is 5.5 games behind the Oklahoma City Thunder in the Western Conference playoff race.
San Antonio ranks 8th in scoring offense, 12th in field goal percentage, 23rd in 3-point field goal percentage, 12th in free throw percentage, and 8th in offensive rebounding.
The Spurs rank 7th in scoring defense, 4th in field goal percentage allowed, 10th in 3-point field goal percentage allowed, and 6th in defensive rebounding.
Houston Rockets
The Houston Rockets are 27-16 straight up, 21-22 against the spread, and 20-23 over/under the total.
Houston has covered three of its last 10 games. At the same time, the Rockets have gone under the total in eight of its previous ten matchups.
Houston is 4th in the Western Conference playoff standings. Houston is eight games behind the Oklahoma City Thunder in the Western Conference playoff race.
Houston ranks 13th in scoring offense, 6th in field goal percentage, 6th in 3-point field goal percentage, 27th in free throw percentage, and 1st in offensive rebounding.
The Rockets rank 4th in scoring defense, 9th in field goal percentage allowed, 7th in 3-point field goal percentage allowed, and 1st in defensive rebounding.
Spurs at Rockets Betting Trends
San Antonio covered the spread in eight of their last 13 away games. The Spurs went under the total in 11 of their last 12 away games.
Houston failed to cover five of their last seven home games. The Rockets went under the total in nine of their last 12 home tilts.
Specifically in Houston, the Spurs covered the spread in eight of their last 19 decisions against the Rockets. The Rockets and Spurs went under the total in four of their last five games at the Toyota Center.
Spurs at Rockets Bookmaker Best Bets
In this situation, San Antonio offers more value as the quality road team getting the more favorable price. Houston is spilling too much red ink at home while the Spurs have shown reliable profitability on the road.
Main Pick: San Antonio Spurs
Over/Under Pick: Under the Total
Player Prop Picks: Kevin Durant under the Scoring Total
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