The Minnesota Timberwolves face the Boston Celtics on Sunday night at TD Garden in a high-stakes cross-conference NBC matchup featuring two of the league's top teams.
Minnesota enters this contest as the sixth seed in the Western Conference, while Boston holds the second seed in the Eastern Conference. The Timberwolves won the only prior meeting between these teams this season on November 29, 2025, with a 119-115 victory at Target Center.
A major storyline for this game is the health of Timberwolves star Anthony Edwards, who is expected to be sidelined with right knee inflammation. Edwards, who averages 29.5 points per game, was recently given a recovery timeline of 10 to 14 days, which likely keeps him out of this matchup. Without their primary scoring threat, Minnesota will rely heavily on Julius Randle, who is averaging over 32 points in recent outings, and the defensive anchoring of Rudy Gobert.
The Celtics have been dominant at home and boast the NBA's top-scoring defense. Their offensive efficiency ranks second in the league, led by the duo of Jaylen Brown and Jayson Tatum, who combine for nearly 60 points per game.
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Minnesota Timberwolves at Boston Celtics Betting at Bookmaker
The Minnesota Timberwolves and Boston Celtics matchup on Sunday, March 22, 2026, with a scheduled tipoff at 8:00 PM ET. This matchup is being broadcast nationally on NBC and Peacock.
Sharps believe that Minnesota faces a significant challenge in overcoming the absence of Edwards against a Boston defense that excels at limiting opponent scoring.
While the Timberwolves frontcourt of Gobert and Randle provides a size advantage that could exploit Boston's lack of interior depth, the Celtics superior perimeter play and home-court advantage make them the favorites.
Minnesota Timberwolves
The Minnesota Timberwolves currently hold a straight-up record of 42 wins and 27 losses. Their performance against the spread has been less successful, with a 27-39 record. For over-under totals, the over has hit 34 times, while the under has hit 35. This suggests the team has struggled to cover spreads lately and has trended toward the under in seven of their last nine contests.
The Timberwolves currently rank among the top twelve teams in the league for both offensive and defensive efficiency during the 2025-2026 season.
Their offensive rating of 117.6 is tied for the ninth-highest in the NBA, while their defensive rating of 112.9 ranks ninth overall.
Boston Celtics
The Boston Celtics currently hold a straight-up record of 45 wins and 23 losses. They are seeded second in the Eastern Conference and lead the Atlantic Division. The Celtics have a record of 39-28-1 against the spread. Their over-under record stands at 24 overs and 44 unders, indicating a strong tendency for their games to stay under the projected point total, which aligns with their league-leading scoring defense that allows only 107.1 points per game.
The Boston Celtics maintain elite status as a top-five team in both offensive and defensive efficiency throughout the 2025-2026 season. Their unadjusted offensive rating of 120.4 ranks third in the NBA, while their defensive rating of 112.7 ranks fifth. This combined performance has resulted in a net rating of 7.7, the second-highest overall.
Timberwolves at Celtics Betting Trends
Over their last ten meetings, both teams have split 5-5 against the spread. The Timberwolves covered in three of their last four games against Boston when receiving points from oddsmakers. The over has hit in four of the last five head-to-head games, including the last three consecutive meetings.
Timberwolves at Celtics Bookmaker Best Bets
Wise Guys like the under as a strong consideration for this matchup. Boston features the league's top scoring defense. Minnesota offensive production is expected to decline significantly without star guard Anthony Edwards.
Boston holds a significant advantage in efficiency and depth, especially with Jayson Tatum recently returning to the lineup, while Minnesota has lost four of its last five games.
Julius Randle stands out as a primary target for points and rebounds, as he has averaged over 32 points per game in recent outings.
Main Pick: Boston Celtics
Over/Under Pick: Under the Total
Player Prop Picks: Julius Randle Over Total Points and Rebounds
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