The defending NBA champion Oklahoma City Thunder have shown that they will not be going away as a viable championship threat. Without question, the Thunder are the team to beat for the 2026 NBA championship.
The Golden State Warriors used to be what they are now. The Warriors won four NBA titles from 2015 through 2022, with two additional NBA Finals appearances.
These days, the Warriors are a marginal playoff contender with a superstar lacking the strong supporting cast that he used to have.
Stephen Curry is averaging 28.4 points per game, but is not being supplemented effectively.
Jimmy Butler was touted as the perfect partner to Curry, but that has not materialized, at least so far.
As good as Curry is, he is no match for Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who will be the best player on the court. Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 32.1 points per game.
There will be tremendous interest and betting traffic for this game. Golden State, with Curry, remains a respected brand. At the same time, Oklahoma City has become the team to watch in the Association.
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Oklahoma City Thunder at Golden State Warriors Betting at Bookmaker
Chase Center in San Francisco, CA, is the venue for the matchup between the Oklahoma City Thunder and the Golden State Warriors on Friday, January 2, 2026. Tipoff time is at 10 p.m. ET with television coverage on Amazon Prime Video.
The public will split on this game, with some liking Oklahoma City as the powerful defending champion and Golden State as a capable home team.
Oklahoma City Thunder
The Oklahoma City Thunder are 28-5 straight up, 17-16 against the spread, and 18-15 over/under the total.
Oklahoma City has covered two out of their last six games. At the same time, the Thunder have gone over the total in three of its previous four matchups.
Oklahoma City is first in the Western Conference playoff standings. San Antonio is 4.5 games behind the Thunder in the Western Conference playoff race.
Oklahoma City ranks 2nd in scoring offense, 3rd in field goal percentage, 8th in 3-point field goal percentage, 2nd in free throw percentage, and 14th in offensive rebounding.
The Thunder rank 1st in scoring defense, 1st in field goal percentage allowed, 25th in 3-point field goal percentage allowed, and 11th in defensive rebounding.
Golden State Warriors
The Golden State Warriors are 17-16 straight up, 15-18 against the spread, and 19-14 over/under the total.
Golden State covered three of its last four games. At the same time, the Warriors have gone over the total in two of their previous three matchups.
Golden State is 8th in the Western Conference playoff standings. Golden State is 11 games behind the Thunder in the Western Conference playoff race.
Golden State ranks 22nd in scoring offense, 26th in field goal percentage, 14th in 3-point field goal percentage, 4th in free throw percentage, and 21st in offensive rebounding.
The Warriors rank 6th in scoring defense, 9th in field goal percentage allowed, 3rd in 3-point field goal percentage allowed, and 19th in defensive rebounding.
Thunder at Warriors Betting Trends
Oklahoma has covered only eight of its last 20 away games. The Thunder went over the total in five of their most recent seven away games.
Golden State covered the spread in only two of its most recent seven home games. The Warriors went over the total in five of their last six home tilts.
Golden State covered the spread in four of its last six games against the Thunder. Golden State and Oklahoma City went over the total in 12 of their most recent 13 meetings.
At Golden State, the Thunder got the money in three of their last five games against the Warriors. Oklahoma City and Golden State went over the total in six of their most recent seven games at Chase Center.
Thunder at Warriors Bookmaker Best Bets
Oklahoma City offers more value as the power defending champion, getting a road team discount.
Golden State does not match up well against Oklahoma City.
Main Pick: Oklahoma City Thunder
Over/Under Pick: Over the Total
Player Prop Picks: Stephen Curry Under the Total Points Total
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