Novak Djokovic is listed as the odds-on favorite to win the 2021 Wimbledon Championship on the men’s side. Djokovic defeated Roger Federer in an epic final two years ago but last year the tournament was cancelled due to COVID. Djokovic is coming off his 19th major win in the French Open, so he needs to win one more major to tie him with Federer and Rafael Nadal for the most majors of all-time with 20. Let’s look at Wimbledon on the men’s side, Wimbledon odds and Wimbledon picks.
2021 Wimbledon Odds (Men)
Novak Djokovic -127
Stefanos Tsitsipas +675
Daniil Medvedev +800
Roger Federer +1050
Matteo Berrettini +1150
Alexander Zverev +1400
Andrey Rublev +3200
Denis Shapovalov +4000
Marin Cilic +4500
Reilly Opelka +5000
John Isner +5000
Alex De Minaur +5000
Felix Auger Aliassime +5000
Cameron Norrie +6000
Nick Kyrgios +6000
Dominic Thiem +6500
Aslan Karatsev +7500
Andy Murray +7500
Jannik Sinner +7500
All other players are listed with odds of +10000 or more or they are part of the field.
Djokovic is the top choice, the defending champion and the number one ranked player in the world. He will be looking to win his sixth Wimbledon title. There is no reason not to like Djokovic, as he is coming off a win at the French Open and he would like to get his record-tying 20th major at Wimbledon. The only question is how much the grueling French Open took out of him, but you can’t argue with him as the big favorite to win Wimbledon.
There are five other contenders to win Wimbledon. They are Stefanos Tsitsipas, Daniil Medvedev, Federer, Matteo Berrettini and Alexander Zverev.
Federer has been great at Wimbledon in his career, but he is 39 years old and there are questions as to how much he has left. He had two match points against Federer two years ago, but it remains to be seen just how fit he is for Wimbledon this year. He pulled out of the French Open so that he could rest up for Wimbledon and it does make some sense, as Federer has a much better chance to win this major than he would have had at the French Open. Federer has won the Wimbledon title eight times and if he is fit, he is definitely a threat.
Tsitsipas is on the way up and he showed at the French Open that he is now a threat. He was two sets up on Djokovic before crumbling. The question is whether his game is suited for the grass at Wimbledon and he has never gone past the fourth round before, so he could be overvalued.
Medvedev is ranked No. 2 in the world and he has shown in the past that he can make it to the final, as he lost to Djokovic at the U.S. Open and Australian Open. He should do well on the grass at Wimbledon, but he has yet to advance past the third round.
Zverev has made the final or semifinal of the last three Grand Slams, but he has never had much success at Wimbledon in the past. Perhaps he can make some noise, but I need to see it first.
The player who is getting a lot of attention and may be the biggest threat to Djokovic is Berrettini. His nickname is Boom Boom because of his big serve and he is coming off a win at Queen’s. He is getting a lot of attention from the oddsmakers and is a definite contender.
There are no real longshots that are exciting in terms of Wimbledon odds. Perhaps you can look at Marin Cilic who made the Wimbledon final in 2017 or Felix Auger-Aliassime who has played well on grass in the past. Another player to take a look at could be Denis Shapovalov who won a junior title at Wimbledon.
I can’t see anyone who can seriously challenge Djokovic on grass except for Federer and perhaps Berrettini. The problem with Federer is that we don’t know how healthy he is, but he is the only one who has any value, so I will take him at +1050 along with Djokovic.
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