Mackenzie Dern is favored against Xiaonan Yan at UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan on Saturday, October 1 in Las Vegas Nevada. This event is one of 13 fights on ESPN+. Dern is 12-2 in her career, while Yan is 15-3 in her career. There are a total of 13 fights, all on ESPN+ at UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan. Let’s look at the bout between Dern and Yan and UFC predictions.
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan takes place at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada on Saturday, October 1 with 13 fights, all on ESPN+.
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan Betting
Mackenzie Dern (12-2, 7-2 UFC)
Dern came into the UFC with a record of 5-0 and she has seven wins and two losses in the UFC. She defeated Ashley Yoder by split decision, Amanda Cooper by rear-naked choke submission, Hannah Cifers by kneebar submission, Randa Markos by armbar submission, Virna Jandiroba by unanimous decision, Nina Nunes by armbar submission, and Tecia Torres by split decision; while losing to Amanda Ribas by unanimous decision and Marina Rodriguez by unanimous decision. Dern has been a pro since 2016 and she has seven wins by submission and five by decision. She has six first round finishes.
Dern said this to lowkickmma.com about her upcoming fight against Yan, “She’s tough, man. She’s athletic. Her high volume from when I see her punches, they sting. It’s definitely a little bit better when I fight someone who engages more and that isn’t scared of the engagement or isn’t so strategic but I definitely see some holes [in] her on the ground. I think [I win] by submission for sure. Hopefully performance of the night, that’s the goal. I’m trying to make that record for the strawweight division. I have a long way to catch up to Charles “Do Bronx” (Oliveira) but I definitely am trying to get performance of the night…I see a submission coming.”
Xiaonan Yan (15-3, 6-2 UFC)
Yan came into the UFC with a record of 9-1 and she has six wins and two losses in the UFC. She defeated Kailin Curran by unanimous decision, Viviane Pereira by unanimous decision, Syuri Kondo by unanimous decision, Angela Hill by unanimous decision, Karolina Kowalkiewicz by unanimous decision, and Cláudia Gadelha by unanimous decision; while losing to Carla Esparza by TKO and Marina Rodriguez by split decision. Yan has been a pro since 2008 and she has seven wins by TKO/KO and eight by decision. She has six first round finishes.
Yan said this to asiamma.com about her upcoming fight against Dern, “If the fight stays on the feet I’m definitely faster than here. My punches are the biggest weapon I have (and I) can hurt her. If we exchange punches I believe I have the power to knock her out.”
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Dern 3.16 / Yan 5.66
Striking Accuracy: Dern 35% / Yan 42%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Dern 4.35 / Yan 3.77
Defense: Dern 54% / Yan 62%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Dern 0.46 / Yan 1.06
Takedown Accuracy: Dern 9% / Yan 66%
Takedowns defended: Dern 40% / Yan 65%
Submission average: Dern 2.0 / Yan 0.0
UFC Picks
Did you catch what these two fighters said about this fight? Dern expects to get a submission and Yan is looking for a knockout. I am definitely not laying the price with Dern and I don’t know that I want to take Yan, but there is some value in the rounds total. The rounds total listed at BookMaker is listed at 4.5 and the under is priced at -145. Dern and Yan have been good finishers in their careers and we know that each is looking to finish this fight. Also, keep in mind that this fight is scheduled for five rounds and these two fighters are normally going only three rounds. I think there is a good chance we get a finish one way or the other, so I will go under the rounds total.
| DATE | FIGHTERS | MONEY LINE |
| 10/01 | Xiaonan Yan | +186 |
| Mackenzie Dern | -240 |
| 10/01 | Francisco Trinaldo | +238 |
| Randy Brown | -315 |
| 10/01 | Trevin Jones | +181 |
| Raoni Barcelos | -233 |
| 10/01 | Daniel Santos | +158 |
| John Castaneda | -200 |
| 10/01 | Jessica Penne | +172 |
| Tabatha Ricci | -220 |
| 10/01 | Krzysztof Jotko | -125 |
| Brendan Allen | -105 |
| 10/01 | Aleksei Oleinik | +146 |
| Ilir Latifi | -185 |
| 10/01 | Guido Cannetti | +221 |
| Randy Costa | -290 |
| 10/01 | Julija Stoliarenko | -120 |
| Chelsea Chandler | -110 |
| 10/01 | Jesse Ronson | +118 |
| Joaquim Silva | -148 |
| 10/01 | Philipe Lins | +143 |
| Maxim Grishin | -180 |
| 10/01 | Viacheslav Borshchev | +135 |
| Mike Davis | -170 |
| 10/01 | Don Shainis | +641 |
| Sodiq Yusuff | -1150 |
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