So far, the Michigan Wolverines have been a force of nature brand against the oddsmakers. The Wolverines are battling with the Nebraska Cornhuskers and Purdue Boilermakers in the Big Ten Conference race. Additionally, the Maize and Blue is fighting for the top national ranking with the Arizona Wildcats. On Saturday, the Wolverines make a long road trip to face a faded power.
The Oregon Ducks were once regulars in the NCAA Tournament, appearing in five consecutive tournaments from 2013 through 2017, including a Final Four appearance in 2017. Since then, the pickings have been slimmer, with just four Big Dance invites and second round eliminations in the past two years. This year, Oregon is battling for its NCAA Tournament survival as the ultimate bubble team.
A Big Ten matchup of perennial contenders and one of the hottest brands this season assures a big TV audience on NBC and heavy betting traffic.
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Michigan Wolverines at Oregon Ducks Odds at Bookmaker
Matthew Knight Arena in Eugene, OR, will host the matchup between the Michigan Wolverines and the Oregon Ducks on Saturday, January 17, 2026. Tipoff time is at 4 p.m. ET with television coverage on NBC.
Michigan is a major brand with sharps and squares alike. On this occasion, they will receive a discount as part of the road team against a respected brand.
Oregon has not shown enough strength to convince casual gamblers that it can make a serious challenge to Michigan in this matchup.
But sharps see that Michigan is struggling to get the money in recent games as more public money floods in on them.
Michigan Wolverines
The Michigan Wolverines are 15-1 straight up, 9-7 against the spread, and 7-9 over/under the total. Late on, Michigan has covered one out of its last four games. While the Wolverines have gone under the total in three of their previous four matchups.
Michigan has NCAABB metrics of 6th for scoring offense, 10th for field goal percentage, 113th for 3-point field goal percentage, 151st for free throw percentage, and 7th for offensive rebounding. On defense, the Wolverines rank 52nd in scoring defense, 1st in field goal percentage allowed, 41st in 3-point field goal percentage allowed, and 76th in defensive rebounding.
Oregon Ducks
The Oregon Ducks are 8-9 straight up, 5-12 against the spread, and 9-8 over/under the total. Late on, Oregon has covered one out of their last four games. While the Ducks have gone under the total in four of their previous five matchups.
Oregon has NCAABB metrics of 251st in scoring offense, 286th in field goal percentage, 219th in 3-point field goal percentage, 230th in free throw percentage, and 150th in offensive rebounding. On defense, the Ducks rank 150th in scoring defense, 148th in field goal percentage allowed, 173rd in 3-point field goal percentage allowed, and 100th in defensive rebounding.
Michigan at Oregon Betting Trends
Michigan has been a terrible road value, with only 5 payouts in its last 20 road tilts. That includes a mark of 0-3 ATS this year. Six of the last eight Michigan away games went under the total.
Oregon covered the spread in six of its last 11 home games. The Ducks went over the total in five of their last six home tilts.
Oregon covered the spread in its last four games against Michigan. The Wolverines and Ducks went over the total in their last three meetings.
Specifically in Oregon, the Ducks covered the spread in their last two meetings with Michigan with a split over/under of 1-1.
Michigan at Oregon Bookmaker Best Bets
In this situation, Michigan’s brand has become quite expensive. As mentioned earlier, the Wolverines are not a good betting value on the road or at Oregon.
Main Pick: Oregon Ducks
Over/Under Pick: Under the Total
Player Prop Picks: Yaxel Lendeborg Under the Scoring and Rebounds Total
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