The Michigan Wolverines are having an outstanding year under second-year head coach Dusty May. They're the new No. 1 team in the AP Poll (first time since January 2013, claiming 60 of 61 first-place votes after Arizona's losses). They moved to the top spot after dominating performances.
Meanwhile, the Duke Blue Devils continue to dominate under head coach Jon Scheyer. Duke is ranked No. 3 in the AP Poll (and coaches poll), with an elite record and strong positioning for the ACC title and a top NCAA Tournament seed.
The matchup between #1 Michigan and #3 Duke on Saturday, February 21, 2026, is the premier game of the college basketball regular season. Known as the Duel in the District or the Edward Jones Capital Showcase, this neutral-site game at Capital One Arena in Washington, D.C., is widely viewed as a potential Final Four preview.
Gambling interest is expected to be the highest so far for any college hoops game this season.
Get the latest College Basketball news, check out the current betting lines for the games, and don’t miss the basketball action, all with the best odds at BookMaker!
Michigan Wolverines at Duke Blue Devils Odds at Bookmaker
Capital One Arena in Washington, DC, will host the matchup between the Duke Blue Devils and the Michigan Wolverines on Saturday, February 21, 2026. Tipoff time is at 6:30 p.m. ET with television coverage on ESPN.
No major active injuries reported for key Michigan players in recent February updates. The roster appears healthy for this stretch, with depth contributing. Earlier minor issues (such as Yaxel Lendeborg's calf in January) appear to have been resolved, as the team has rolled without setbacks.
For Duke, there are no major injuries reported for the core rotation. Patrick Ngongba II returned from a wrist issue earlier and is playing well. Starters like Cameron Boozer, Isaiah Evans, and others are healthy and rolling.
Duke has a proven track record of elevating their performance against #1 opponents. Their most recent encounter with a top-ranked team resulted in an 84-81 victory over then-No. 1 Gonzaga. Additionally, Duke holds a dominant 21–7 all-time series lead over Michigan, including a 3-game winning streak.
Michigan Wolverines
The Michigan Wolverines are 25-1 straight up, 14-12 against the spread, and 11-15 over/under the total. Michigan has covered five of its last ten games. The Wolverines have gone over the total in four of their previous six matchups.
Michigan has NCAABB metrics of 10th for scoring offense, 7th for field goal percentage, 97th for 3-point field goal percentage, 155th for free throw percentage, and 15th for offensive rebounding.
The Wolverines have NCAABB metrics of 36th in scoring defense, 2nd in field goal percentage allowed, 12th in 3-point field goal percentage allowed, and 11th in defensive rebounding.
Duke Blue Devils
The Duke Blue Devils are 24-2 straight up, 14-12 against the spread, and 8-18 over/under the total. Late on, Duke has covered six out of their last ten games. The Blue Devils have gone under the total in eight of their previous ten matchups.
Duke has NCAABB metrics of 38th in scoring offense, 22nd in field goal percentage, 178th in 3-point field goal percentage, 207th in free throw percentage, and 13th in offensive rebounding.
The Blue Devils have NCAABB metrics of 10th for scoring defense, 10th for field goal percentage permitted, 43rd for 3-point field goal percentage allowed, and 17th for defensive rebounding.
Michigan at Duke Betting Trends
Michigan is 4-6 against the spread in road and neutral site games. In comparison, Duke is 6-3 against the spread in road and neutral site games.
These teams have not met since 2013.
Michigan at Duke Bookmaker Best Bets
Cameron Boozer (23.3 PPG, 9.9 RPG) provides Duke with star power. He is the most dominant individual force in the matchup. He leads the Blue Devils in points, rebounds, assists, and steals.
Duke's defense (63.1 PPG allowed) is statistically stingier than Michigan's (68.3 PPG), which may be the deciding factor in a neutral-site environment.
Finally, Duke is solid on neutral/road-like spots (6-3 ATS in recent road/neutral trends).
Main Pick: Duke Blue Devils
Over/Under Pick: Under the Total
Player Prop Picks: Cameron Boozer Over the Points, Assists, and Rebounds Combined Total
Make your bets now at BookMaker and get fast Bitcoin payouts, the best odds available anywhere, and don’t forget about live betting at BookMaker Sportsbook!
