Texas Longhorns head coach Sean Miller is many things to many people. In his first stint at Xavier, Miller made a name for himself by taking the Musketeers to four consecutive NCAA Tournament bids with an Elite Eight and a Sweet Sixteen.
With that body of work, Miller advanced to the Arizona Wildcats and one of the most prestigious programs in college hoops. Miller produced seven Big Dance bids in his first eight years, with three Elite Eights and two Sweet Sixteen runs.
However, Miller coached at Arizona when the NCAA still had rules. Miller was slapped down for multiple violations and eventually forced out. He landed back at Xavier and produced two NCAA Tournament bids in three seasons, enough to get an invite to take over the Texas Longhorns.
Texas has the resources to compete for national championships, but rarely delivers. On Saturday, the Longhorns will face a football factory school that has become a basketball powerhouse. The Alabama Crimson Tide is the blueprint for what Texas wants to become.
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Texas at Alabama Betting at Bookmaker
Coleman Coliseum in Tuscaloosa, AL, will host the SEC matchup between the Alabama Crimson Tide and the Kentucky Wildcats on Saturday, January 10, 2026. Tipoff time is at 8 p.m. ET with television coverage on ESPN.
Oddsmakers opened with Alabama as the understandable home favorite. The Crimson Tide has the more impressive body of work and benefits from recency bias as the proven program that has made deep NCAA Tournament runs.
Texas will draw interest from bargain hunters to respect the new head coach, Sean Miller.
The Longhorns are a capable team that has shown decent betting value at times this season.
Alabama has been in the red lately and has a leaky defense that leaves the back door wide open far too often.
Texas Longhorns
The Texas Longhorns are 9-6 straight up, 7-7 against the spread, and 9-5 over/under the total. Late on Texas has covered two out of their last five games. While the Longhorns have gone over the total in six of its previous seven matchups.
Texas ranks 59th in scoring offense, 45th in field goal percentage, 179th in 3-point field goal percentage, 163rd in free throw percentage, and 54th in offensive rebounding.
Defensively, the Longhorns rank 148th in scoring defense, 130th in field goal percentage allowed, 261st in 3-point field goal percentage allowed, and 18th in defensive rebounding.
Alabama Crimson Tide
The Alabama Crimson Tide is 11-3 straight up, 7-7 against the spread, and 7-7 over/under the total. Late on, Alabama has covered two out of its last five games. The Crimson Tide has gone under the total in four of its previous six matchups.
Alabama has NCAABB metrics of 14th for scoring offense, 112th for field goal percentage, 80th for 3-point field goal percentage, 52nd for free throw percentage, and x for offensive rebounding.
Defensively, the Alabama Crimson Tide ranks 276th in scoring defense, 96th in field goal percentage allowed, 110th in 3-point field goal percentage allowed, and 318th in defensive rebounding.
Texas at Alabama Betting Trends
Texas covered the spread in four of its last seven away games.
The Longhorns went over the total in five of their last six road games.
Alabama covered the spread in only two of its last seven home games.
The Crimson Tide went over the total in three of its last four home games.
Texas covered two of its last three games against Alabama.
Two of those three games between the Crimson Tide and Longhorns went over the total.
Texas covered its only previous trip to Alabama, and the game went under the total.
Texas at Alabama Bookmaker Best Bets
Alabama’s leading scorer, Labaron Philon Jr, has been battling a thigh issue and is a game-time decision. Texas has four players averaging double digits for scoring. Alabama’s putrid defense will allow Texas to stay within the numbers.
Main Pick: Texas Longhorns
Over/Under Pick: Over the Total
Player Prop Picks: Matas Vokietaitis Over the Scoring Total
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