The Duke Blue Devils have hit a rough patch with the oddsmakers after a strong start at the cashier’s cage this season.
Duke is a Mount Rushmore legacy brand in college hoops. As a result, they draw too much casual sector money too often.
Duke's public popularity is causing a steep drop in its value due to the price increase it drives.
On Saturday, Duke will again be a popular choice for its road game against the Florida State Seminoles.
Florida State is going through a tough coaching transition with rookie head coach Luke Loucks taking over for the legendary Leonard Hamilton, who limped into retirement after four straight seasons without a Big Dance invite.
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Duke at Florida State Betting at Bookmaker
The Donald Tucker Center in Tallahassee, FL, will host the matchup between the Duke Blue Devils and the Florida State Seminoles on Saturday, January 3, 2026. Tipoff time is at 3:45 p.m. ET with television coverage on CBS.
Duke is one of the biggest brands on the board and will draw massive amounts of casual sector betting action.
Wise Guys will still consider Duke because they will get a road team discount.
Florida State is a tough sell against a powerful Duke team that has significantly better metrics than the Seminoles.
Duke Blue Devils
The Duke Blue Devils are 11-1 straight up, 7-5 against the spread, and 3-9 over/under the total.
Duke has covered one out of their last six games. The Blue Devils have gone under the total in seven of their previous nine matchups.
Duke has NCAABB metrics of 75th for scoring offense, 26th for field goal percentage, 111th for 3-point field goal percentage, 227th for free throw percentage, and 29th for offensive rebounding.
The Blue Devils have NCAABB metrics of 8th for scoring defense, 4th for field-goal percentage allowed, 12th for 3-point field-goal percentage allowed, and 78th for defensive rebounding.
Florida State Seminoles
The Florida State Seminoles are 7-7 straight up, 6-7-1 against the spread, and 5-9 over/under the total.
Florida State has covered one out of its last eight games. The Seminoles have gone under the total in three of their previous three matchups.
Florida State has NCAABB metrics of 118th in scoring offense, 325th in field goal percentage, 283rd in 3-point field goal percentage, 207th in free throw percentage, and 157th in offensive rebounding.
The Seminoles have NCAABB metrics of 245th in scoring defense, 221st in field goal percentage permitted, 126th in 3-point field goal percentage allowed, and 328th in defensive rebounding.
Duke at Florida State Betting Trends
Duke has shown its best value on the road, printing money along the way. The Blue Devils have failed to cover in only four of their last 20 road tilts. The Blue Devils went over the total in four of their most recent six away games.
Florida State has shown surprisingly good value at home with six payouts in its last nine home games. The Seminoles went under the total in six of their last seven home tilts.
Duke has covered four consecutive games against Florida State. The Blue Devils and Seminoles went over the total in four of their last five games.
Duke covered its most recent visit to Florida State. Only two of the last six games in this series at Florida State went over the total.
Duke at Florida State Bookmaker Best Bets
As mentioned earlier, Duke plays its best basketball and flashes its most impressive value on the road.
Florida State is not on Duke’s level and has a long buildout ahead.
Duke will have the best player on the court with Cameron Boozer.
Main Pick: Duke Blue Devils
Over/Under Pick: Under the Total
Player Prop Picks: Cameron Boozer over the Total Points and Total Rebounds Totals
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