BTC Bitcoin Cryptocurrency Betting
Bitcoin is the cryptocurrency that started it all. There are dozens of other cryptocurrencies you can use to deposit at BookMaker and hundreds more on the periphery, but Bitcoin is the most well-known of the bunch, and the only one your aunt Ethel and uncle Fred know. The coin that dominates the crypto space surged past $60,000 in March 2021 and might be poised for an even bigger run ahead of the holidays.
Monday, April 22, 2024, News Update
After completing its fourth "halving" on Friday, the price of the biggest cryptocurrency in the world remained largely constant over the course of the weekend. Prior to the halving that took place at 8 p.m. ET on Friday, bitcoin prices were roughly $64,036. The cryptocurrency recently reached an all-time high of $73,803 in mid-March. Following the halving, prices dropped by 0.47% to $63,747, although they later increased over the weekend to almost $65,000 on Sunday.
The halving was incorporated into the bitcoin code at the beginning by the cryptocurrency's anonymous creator, Satoshi Nakamoto, who limited the total quantity of bitcoin to 21 million tokens. It alters the rate at which new bitcoins are created. The rewards cryptocurrency miners receive for creating new tokens are halved when the halving happens, making it more costly for them to release new bitcoins into circulation.
Halvings occur approximately every four years; the most recent ones took place in 2020, 2016, and 2012. Although analysts are dubious, some cryptocurrency enthusiasts cite price increases that followed the halvings as evidence that the market will like the most recent halving.
Analysts at JP Morgan stated this week, "We do not expect bitcoin price increases post-halving as it has already been priced in." They stated that because the price of bitcoin has been "overbought" and venture capital investment in the cryptocurrency space has been "subdued" this year, they expect a decline in price following the halving.
The bankruptcy of Sam Bankman-Fried's FTX cryptocurrency exchange in 2022 sent cryptocurrency markets into a tailspin, and Bitcoin had to spend much of 2023 recuperating before reaching its all-time high last month. In November 2022, Bitcoin hit a record high of $67,802, but then fell below $17,000 for the majority of November and December of the next year in 2022.
Despite the fact that more regulatory bodies have authorized trading instruments tied to bitcoin, financial regulators have long cautioned that bitcoin is a high-risk asset with few practical applications.
A handful of spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) were approved by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) in January, allowing investors to access the cryptocurrency without having to purchase tokens through a cryptocurrency exchange.
By purchasing ETFs through their brokerage account, investors can invest in the asset and effectively watch the price of bitcoin with spot bitcoin ETFs.
The following bitcoin ETFs have been approved: Bitwise (BITB), Fidelity (FBTC), Franklin Templeton (EZBC), Grayscale (GBTC), Invesco/Galaxy Digital (BTCO), Valkyrie (BRRR), VanEck (HODL), WisdomTree (BTCW), and ARK/21Shares (ticker symbol ARKB).
Since rising to a new all-time high in March due to increased geopolitical tensions and anticipation that central banks will maintain higher interest rates longer due to ongoing inflation, bitcoin prices have been largely stable in the last few weeks.
Bitcoin Weekly Price Per CoinMarketCap
| WEEK |
BITCOIN PRICE IN USD |
| April 22, 2024 |
66,391.01 |
| April 15, 2024 |
64,465.15 |
| April 9, 2024 |
71,912.80 |
| April 2, 2024 |
68,641.42 |
| March 26, 2024 |
70,121.49 |
| March 19, 2024 |
67,287.32 |
| March 12, 2024 |
72,295.01 |
| March 5, 2024 |
66,548.57 |
| February 27, 2024 |
53,419.20 |
| February 20, 2024 |
52,057.41 |
| February 13, 2024 |
49,546.53 |
| February 6, 2024 |
42,541.37 |
| January 30, 2024 |
43,061.49 |
| January 23, 2024 |
40,406.51 |
| January 16, 2024 |
42,433.84 |
| January 9, 2024 |
45,009.74 |
| January 2, 2024 |
42,728.28 |
| December 26, 2023 |
43,396.24 |
| December 19, 2023 |
41,366.73 |
| December 12, 2023 |
41,752.77 |
| December 5, 2023 |
41,720.85 |
Monday, April 15, 2024, News Update
Approximately every four years, a technological event known as "digital gold" occurs on the bitcoin network, halving the cryptocurrency's supply and producing a scarcity effect that elevates it above other digital currencies. Usually, it heralds the beginning of a fresh cycle and bull run, but this one is a little unique.
“The halving is the ultimate geek event for bitcoiners, but the 2024 iteration takes it up a notch because reduced supply combined with fresh ETF demand creates an explosive cocktail,” said Nexo co-founder Antoni Trenchev, “What makes this halving unique is bitcoin has already surpassed the last cycle’s high — something it’s never done ahead of the quadrennial event — which makes trying to forecast the length and ferocity of this cycle much trickier.” Bitcoin (BTC), will enter the fourth halving period next week. The price of Bitcoin went up dramatically after the previous halvings, but that may not happen this time. Let’s look at the halving and its possible effects on the market. Whether your goal is to have a deeper understanding of bitcoin as a novel, deflationary asset or you just want to speculate on the price of bitcoin in the upcoming weeks, it is good to know a little bit about what is coming.
The Halving
The bitcoin blockchain's architecture requires that incentives for miners be reduced by half, which is when the halving happens. It is planned to occur every 210,000 blocks, or approximately every four years.
To refresh your memory, miners operate the computers that record new blocks of bitcoin transactions and add them to the blockchain, which is the global ledger. This process effectively involves solving a very difficult arithmetic problem.
Transaction fees that senders voluntarily pay (for quicker settlement) and mining rewards provide miners with two reasons to mine. Between April 18 and April 21, there will be a decrease in mining incentives to 3.125 bitcoins. In 2020, the incentive of 50 bitcoins was lowered to 6.25 bitcoins.
The perception that bitcoin is a form of digital gold, the value of which is determined by its limited quantity, is maintained by the reduction in block rewards, which slows the rate at which new coins are minted. According to the bitcoin code, there will eventually be a 21 million limit on the total quantity of bitcoins in use.
The halving doesn't operate like a time-sensitive on/off switch. It makes sense to believe that there won't be much movement in the market on this particular day. Naturally, there is a chance that traders who are speculating on the event will cause volatility.
Because of the consistent upward trend in price of Bitcoin in the months after its halving, devotees greatly rejoice on this day. But the returns from the halving day to the cycle top have decreased every time the mining incentive and bitcoin supply have decreased.
Tuesday, April 9, 2024, News Update
The price of Bitcoin has risen again with the next Bitcoin halving approaching. The next Bitcoin halving is expected to take place on April 20, 2024 and that will reduce the block reward from 6.25 to 3.125 BTC. What does that mean for the price of Bitcoin? Because halving events have regularly followed notable price gains for bitcoin, market experts have focused their attention on them. Previous instances of bitcoin's price halving have seen notable price spikes because of the interaction between less supply and higher demand. These occurrences have a significant impact on bitcoin's total supply, which in turn affects its price. However, it is important to recognize that halving occurrences are not the only factors influencing price dynamics.
Following the 2012 halving, the price of bitcoin increased by about 9,000% to $1,162.
Following the 2016 halving, the price of bitcoin increased by about 4,200% to $19,800.
Following the 2020 halving, the price of bitcoin increased by almost 683% to $69,000.
For miners, halving events might be problematic because they result in a 50% reduction in block rewards. Miners need to work efficiently in order to stay competitive, which could lead to the creation and use of more energy-efficient mining gear. Miners frequently file for bankruptcy, which has an effect on the hash rate of the network, the amount of bitcoin that is available for purchase, and eventually the price of bitcoin. After some instability, the difficulty adjustment brings the system back to balance, allowing the Bitcoin network and ecosystem to keep growing.
Following a halving occurrence, Bitcoin's historical performance has demonstrated an impressive upward tendency. There's usually more interest and demand after this event. It's important to proceed cautiously, though, and avoid seeing the halvings as surefire ways to make quick money. Instead of trying to time the market by buying and selling, it would be wiser to comprehend the long-term potential of bitcoin and treat it as a store of money.
Without a doubt, the halving of Bitcoin is a bullish development since it changes the dynamics of supply in a way that favors price growth. Even while the halving is typically viewed as an optimistic development, it's important to keep in mind that a number of factors affect the price of bitcoin.
Based on an analysis of the last three halving occurrences, a notable increase in price often starts a few months after the halves event. Additionally, the price of bitcoin tends to increase prior to a halves event because speculators anticipate a price rally following the halving. The price often takes more than a year to peak after the halving.
Tuesday, April 2, 2024, News Update
In comparison to other digital assets, Bitcoin (BTC), the most valuable cryptocurrency in terms of market capitalization and trading volume, is meant to be comparatively stable, shielding a trader's portfolio from erratic fluctuations in the wider market. But lately, ether (ETH) has not been as volatile as bitcoin.
By around ten percentage points, ether's 30-day realized volatility was surpassed by Bitcoin's annualized 30-day historical or realized volatility, which reached about 60% late last week. That's the biggest margin in a year or more, based on statistics that Paris-based Kaiko monitors. Historical volatility is a measure of the level of price volatility that has been seen over a given time period.
Weeks after the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) approved around a dozen spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), enabling investors to gain exposure to the cryptocurrency without holding any, the bitcoin-ether volatility spread turned positive.
Since then, net inflows have been fueling upside volatility in bitcoin and the larger cryptocurrency market, and traders have been entirely focused on the action in the spot ETFs. Meanwhile, it appears that traders of ether have become less motivated due to the decreasing likelihood that the SEC would approve an ETH ETF by May.
The forthcoming reward halving on the Bitcoin blockchain, a quadrennial event that will cut the rate at which BTC is emitted every block by 50%, may also be contributing to the cryptocurrency's comparatively higher volatility.
The built-in algorithm will cut the per-block reward that miners receive from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC on April 21. This would result in a halving of the miner earnings, which is currently estimated by ByteTree to be $26 billion annually.
Late last week, the difference in the 30-day historical volatility indices of BTC and ETH grew to around 10 percentage points. (Kaiko) Late last week, the difference between the 30-day historical volatility indices of ETH and BTC increased to around 10 percentage points. (Kaiko) (Kaiko)
Most people agree that halving is bullish because it slows down supply growth and, if demand stays stable or grows, creates an imbalance between supply and demand that drives up prices. After the previous halvings in November 2012, July 2016, and May 2020, Bitcoin put on incredible rallies and broke new records over the course of 12 to 18 months.
This time is different because, weeks before the halving, bitcoin exceeded the last bull market peak of over $69,000, which gives traders even more reason to be excited about the impending event.
Greg Magadini, director of derivatives at Amberdata, believes that a "sell-the-news" pullback following the event is possible due to the optimistic stance prior to the halving. In his weekly newsletter, Magadini stated, “The current positioning being so extended is setting the market up for a VERY interesting 'sell-the-news’ halving cycle play. Should there be a real pullback, we stand to see excessive ?1 [futures] OI become liquidated, volatility RR-skew to favor puts and a collapsing basis.”
The market's estimate of future realized volatility is known as the implied volatility, or IV. Plotting IVs for various expiries or durations typically results in an upward-sloping curve known as a contango. The market is anticipating further Bitcoin volatility leading up to the halving because of a severe contango that exists before the April 26 deadline. That's what the forward volatility indicates.
Tuesday, March 26, 2024, News Update
The week began with cryptocurrencies rising strongly, overcoming their recent correction phase, with bitcoin once again trading close to its 2021 peak values. During U.S. trading hours on Monday, Bitcoin (BTC) broke beyond $70,000 for the first time in ten days and gained more than 7%. During the same time frame, ether (ETH) increased by 4% as well, while the tokens of two significant layer 1 networks, Solana (SOL) and Avalanche (AVAX), increasing by almost 10%. Almost all digital assets were involved in the rise; the broad-market CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20) was up 6.1% on the day and all of its components were in the green.
According to CoinGlass statistics, the abrupt rebound liquidated $195 million in leveraged derivatives bets across all crypto assets, of which $129 million were short positions aimed at taking advantage of falling prices. The amount of bitcoin that was shorted hit $53 million, which is less than the daily average for the last few months. The quantity of short liquidations was less than typical, indicating that few market players were placing leveraged bets on the continuation of the decline.
The price of bitcoin (BTC) just reached all-time highs exceeding $70,000. Nevertheless, rather than running, the actual economic activity on the Bitcoin network is stumbling along. One research organization claims that the disparity partially reflects the strong holding mood in the market. Transfer volume is the total amount of BTC transmitted on-chain expressed in US dollars, according to data tracking company Glassnode. The metric takes only successful transfers into account. The mean transfer volume's dollar value is still much lower than its 2021 highs according to Glassnode.
Based on statistics recorded by Glassnode, the average mean transfer volume across seven and fourteen days was less than $200,000. This is a significant decrease from the $1 million and higher average mean transfer volume during the 2021 bull market. The main driver of the most recent surge in bitcoin has been Wall Street's acceptance of the Nasdaq-listed spot ETFs. Stated differently, the low on-chain traffic can also be explained by the fact that the spot activity has been concentrated in ETFs. However, further indicators also suggest that investors who made it through the bear market of 2022 are hoarding their cryptocurrency holdings in expectation of a sustained price increase.
For example, the proportion of the bitcoin supply that was in circulation three to five years ago is still rising. In the upcoming months, a number of analysts predict that the price of bitcoin will rise into the six figures. "On-chain volume will increase as soon as we witness the price begin to move significantly. Older coins will be sent to exchanges for sale. Low on-chain activity, up until that point, indicates supply-side illiquidity,” according to Blockware researchers.
Tuesday, March 19, 2024, News Update
Bitcoin has come back down to earth a bit after a big surge that took the price to a new record high past $72,000 last week. The price had dropped down to just over $67,000 on Tuesday. The dip in price may not last, as it won't be long until Bitcoin's fourth halving. It has been anticipated by investors as a turning point in the supply dynamics of cryptocurrencies. However, the event itself has been scheduled for more than ten years, just as previous halvings.
There is a consistent halving of bitcoin every four years, which reduces the quantity of tokens awarded to miners by fifty percent. This time, however, supply will peak in a matter of months due to an unparalleled spike in demand, driven by the acceptance of eleven spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) by major asset managers including as Fidelity and BlackRock. Experts in the cryptocurrency market suggest that, considering the ongoing modifications to the fundamental structure of bitcoin, this year's halving is a historic occasion.
It's difficult to understand how a half could have no effect on the price. According to Sandy Kaul, head of digital asset and industry advisory services at Franklin Templeton, "it's hard to imagine any 'sell the news' reaction would last," as reported by Business Insider.
Bitcoin has alternated over time between being a foolish investment and the trendiest asset on the market. It has been firmly in the latter group ahead of the 2024 halving, up more than 60% so far this year.
"Halving is likely not a huge deal, outside of this reflexive effect," Director of derivatives at Amberdata Greg Magadini told Business Insider. "Halving is a very well-documented event and nothing of surprise has actually changed. We knew about April 2024 halving over a decade ago. Typically, new information drives the markets."
Additionally, this year's surge in demand for bitcoin ETFs is new. BitMex data indicates that in recent weeks, one-day inflows over $1 billion have been made into spot bitcoin ETFs. That is separate from the reality that in the past, bitcoin halvings have been like rocket fuel. The price of bitcoin surged a great deal in the 12 months following the last three halvings, which occurred in 2012, 2016, and 2020, respectively.
Of course, it's possible that the price of bitcoin isn't affected by halving as much as it has in the past. The other events happened during an era of extremely low interest rates and rapidly inflating speculative bubbles caused by investors seeking rewards. One further factor that may influence the price of bitcoin is the enormous demand for the asset and the new ETFs.
While the supply of bitcoin is eventually predictable, predicting the demand is very difficult. Hashdex's chief investment officer, Samir Kerbage, stated that he does not anticipate a "sell the news" moment in April and that the price halving will have a cumulative rather than an instant impact.
"I don't believe that future events can be 'priced in' with bitcoin, since the major variable determining the price of bitcoin is demand," Kerbage stated to Business Insider. "This recent rally has been driven by a demand shock caused by the inception of bitcoin ETFs in the US, which is a trigger for institutions and [investment advisors], representing more than 80% of the US capital markets, to start taking bitcoin seriously."
According to Kerbage, for the next two years, bitcoin will rise into the $200,00–$300,000 range before leveling down into a "new equilibrium range" of $100,000–$150,000.
Senior strategist at GSR, Brian Rudick, had a similar expectation that bitcoin is entering a bullish phase, regardless of whether the halving has an immediate effect on price.
"We expect future inflows to continue to outperform expectations given the sheer size of the US ETF markets, the advantages that a spot ETF vehicle provides, and upcoming inflow catalysts like greater issuer sales efforts, the addition of spot products to wealth manager product offerings, and normalizing GBTC outflows," Rudick stated.
Tuesday, March 12, 2024, News Update
Bitcoin surged to a new record high on Monday, topping $72,000. The biggest news that spurred the latest rise was that the British financial authority announced that it will permit exchanges to market cryptocurrency-linked exchange-traded products for the first time. In a notice published on Monday, the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) stated that it would not oppose requests from accredited investment exchanges to establish a market segment for cryptocurrency-backed exchange-traded notes, or ETNs, on a U.K. listing.
Exchanges must make sure they have enough rules in place to guarantee orderly trade and enough protection for experienced investors. They have to adhere to all listing regulations in the United Kingdom, including providing prospectuses and continuing disclosures. The price of Bitcoin surged more than 3% on Monday, topping $72,000. Ether surged past $4,000, up more than 2%.
In a separate statement, the London Stock Exchange said that it will accept applications for the entrance of ether ETNs and bitcoin starting in the second quarter of this year, in response to the FCA's declaration on Monday. The FCA made it clear that ETNs could only be purchased by qualified investors. Because it believes they are too dangerous for consumers, the U.K. now prohibits individual investors from purchasing futures or ETNs related to cryptocurrencies. Crypto ETNs, or cETNs, and crypto derivatives, according to the FCA, are still "ill-suited for retail consumers due to the harm they pose." The statement added that the FCA “continues to remind people that cryptoassets are high risk and largely unregulated. Those who invest should be prepared to lose all their money.”
The news from Britain comes on the heels of the first-ever spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds approved by US regulators. ETFs from BlackRock, Fidelity, Grayscale, and other significant companies have received approval from the Securities and Exchange Commission and are currently available for trading.
An ETN is an unsecured debt security that is issued by a bank, as opposed to an ETF, which is a fund that holds assets. Usually, it is connected to a benchmark, such as an index of the market. An exchange-traded note (ETN) guarantees to payout the entire index value at maturity, less management costs.
Bulls in bitcoin predict that this will boost institutional investment in the digital currency. They claim that as more substantial capital pours into the market, this will have a beneficial knock-on effect on the price.
Following resistance from the regulator, the FCA decided to permit bitcoin ETNs with a cryptocurrency component. The FCA prohibited the selling of cryptocurrency-linked ETNs and derivatives to consumers in 2020, citing their unsuitability for regular investors.
The FCA stated at the time that consumers "may suffer harm from sudden and unexpected losses" and that financial criminality in the secondary market and the excessive price volatility of cryptocurrencies were contributing causes.
Tuesday, March 5, 2024, News Update
After the bitcoin surge took a break over the weekend, the price of bitcoin increased to start the week, moving even closer to its all-time high. According to CoinMarketCap, the flagship cryptocurrency was recently up over 6% at $66,548.57. Ether increased by 1.5% to $3,525.21. Following their strongest week in nearly a year (bitcoin gained roughly 21% and ether gained 16%), both coins' gains were halted over the weekend as the market processed two days of sharp withdrawals from the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC), which were partially offset by inflows into other "newborn" bitcoin ETFs.
Cofounder of cryptocurrency exchange Nexo, Antoni Trenchev stated, “With the birth of these nine new ETFs the big moves now tend to take place during the normal trading week rather than the weekends,” “What we’re seeing today ... might well be a rerun of early last week when bitcoin surged $10,000 in the space of a couple of days. We’re in that sort of environment when a day or two of sideways consolidation can precede explosive price action thanks to the voracious demand of these new spot ETFs.”
Investors have been especially excited as bitcoin gets closer to its peak. At $66,000, it was approximately 4% below its intraday record of $68,982.20 set in November 2021. As unrealized profit margins get closer to absurd levels, some analysts predict that although bitcoin may continue to rise in the near future, it may settle down in the coming weeks. Approximately $42,700 is the current realized price of bitcoin, according to CryptoQuant.
However, long-term investors are optimistic that the new U.S. exchange-traded funds will increase demand for bitcoin, and a tighter supply following the April halving event would drive the price of bitcoin to a new all-time high. The stock market has also been making a small bid for cryptocurrencies. On Friday, the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite set an all-time high and became the final major stock index to conclude at a record this year. Although March may be a month of sideways grinding for bitcoin, according to David Duong, head of institutional research at Coinbase, the cryptocurrency is gaining from an AI- and blockchain-driven productivity explosion that he believes is here to stay.
Other crypto tokens, especially meme currencies, were elevated by Bitcoin. Shiba Inu currency increased by 18%, while Dogecoin increased by 8%. Their success, according to analysts, shows that regular investors—who have been out of the market for the most of the recent cryptocurrency rally—are beginning to enter the market again.
The bitcoin boom was borne out by crypto stocks. Microstrategy increased by 20% and Coinbase by 8%, respectively. Riot Platforms added 3 percent, while CleanSpark and Marathon Digital both saw their share of the mining group trade almost 6 percent higher.
Earlier this year, US authorities legalized spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds. Their introduction provided access for new major investors and has sparked renewed energy and enthusiasm similar to the surge to all-time highs in 2021.
The cryptocurrency community is also placing its money on a price surge that follows an April technical occurrence known as a "halving" As a result, the rate at which new bitcoin are being created decreases. As a result, prices increase if demand stays the same or even increases.
History
In January 2009, Bitcoin was created by Satoshi Nakamoto. The identity of Nakamoto remains hotly debated to this day, but that person or group changed the world with this invention. Like many major breakthroughs, it took a while for people to grasp why Bitcoin was special. Bitcoin was created in the midst of the banking crisis, and one of its major goals was to give people another option to buy and sell products outside of a heavily regulated and centralized banking system.
The first entities to fully embrace Bitcoin were black market enterprises like Silk Road. For a while, Bitcoin became synonymous with the notorious website, but its use became more and more widespread starting in 2013.
That led to the price of Bitcoin skyrocketing and reaching incredible heights in 2017. On January 1, 2017 a single Bitcoin was worth $998, but that price rose by nearly 20-fold near the end of the year, hitting an all-time high of $19,666 on December 17, 2017. Bitcoin has left those prices in the dust in 2021, as the price of Bitcoin is approaching $50,000.
Stability
One of the major criticisms of Bitcoin is that the currency wildly fluctuates and that has proven to be true in 2021. As Bitcoin has become more accepted and understood, investors are getting a better understanding of what leads to price changes, and that has led to the Bitcoin market looking a lot like the stock market.
Security
There have been fears over how secure Bitcoin is over the years, but transactions are even more secure as they are in the traditional marketplace thanks to blockchain technology.
Whereas we are constantly hearing stories of companies having their databases hacked and identities being stolen, the nature of blockchain presents this from happening with Bitcoin.
For a transaction to occur, the sender must know their private key and digitally sign the transaction, and the signature must be verified by the network using the public key. The number of private keys makes it nearly impossible to hack into another person’s account, but there is one thing to keep in mind. You MUST keep your private key backed up somewhere or else you will lose access to your Bitcoin. Don’t make the mistake of not backing up your private key and risk losing your hard earned money.
How do I buy Bitcoin?
You can buy Bitcoin by using one of the major currency exchanges such as Coinbase or Gemini. These exchanges allow you to use a credit or debit card or bank transfer to buy Bitcoin. You can then send Bitcoin to your sportsbook account and you can withdraw Bitcoin from your sportsbook account to your digital wallet.
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