Some gamblers may have short memories when it comes to the Kentucky Derby. While Tiz the Law is getting all of the headlines and public betting love the fact remains that longshots winning the Run for the Roses is not at all uncommon. Consider last year as a prime example. After a long video review history was made at the 2019 Kentucky Derby. Apparent winner Maximum Security was disqualified making 65/1 longshot Country House the winner of the Blanket of Roses. A closer look reveals that longshot winners at Churchill Downs are not at all uncommon. Mine that Bird was a 50/1 winner in 2009, Giacomo was also a 50/1 victor in 2005, while Charismatic paid at 31/1 in 1999. As crazy as 2020 has been, a longshot Derby winner would only make sense in a year that makes no sense at all.
146th Running of the Kentucky Derby
Date and Time: Saturday, September 5, 2020, Post Time Approximately 7:01 p.m. ET
Venue: Churchill Downs, Louisville, Kentucky
Television Coverage: NBC
Race Length: 1 1/4 miles (10 furlongs) dirt track
2020 Kentucky Derby Odds
Tiz the Law 6/5
Art Collector 7/1
Honor AP 8/1
Authentic 10/1
Max Player 45/1
Thousand Words 22/1
Ny Traffic 35/1
King Guillermo 28/1
Sole Volante 53/1
Attachment Rate 53/1
Enforceable 53/1
Finnick the Fierce 150/1
Storm the Court 90/1
Necker Island 175/1
Major Fed 80/1
146th Running of the Kentucky Derby Longshot Wagering Analysis
King Guillermo 28/1
Making his name with a win at the Grade 2 Tampa Bay Derby on March 7, 2020 was King Guillermo. His last race was on May 2 with a second-place finish at the Grade 1 Arkansas Derby. King Guillermo has plenty of rest and an encouraging graded stakes record.
Ny Traffic 35/1
Unlike King Guillermo, Ny Traffic has plenty of recent experience and the record of a horse that has the potential to bring exceptional value. Last time out on July 18, 2020 at the prestigious Haskell Stakes Ny Traffic finished second to Authentic. Before that on May 23, 2020 Ny Traffic finished second at Grade 3 Matt Winn. On March 21, 2020 Ny Traffic also finished second at the Grade 2 Louisiana Derby. And then there was a third-place finish at the Grade 2 Risen Star on February 15, 2020. Four graded races in the money is indicative of a horse knocking on the door.
Sole Volante 53/1
Another horse with ability at a huge price is Sole Volante. It began at the Grade 3 Sam F Davis on February 8, 2020, when Sole Volante was the winner. At the Grade 2 Tampa Bay Derby on March 7, 2020 Sole Volante finished second to King Guillermo. However Sole Volante’s most recent run at the Grade 1 Belmont Stakes on June 20 was a sixth-place finish. Tiz the Law was the winner of that race.
Attachment Rate 53/1
Another live longshot dog with potential bite is Attachment Rate. Last time out for Attachment Rate was on August 9 when he finished second at the Ellis Park Derby. Attachment Rate has two Graded stakes races on his resume. Both were Grade 3 runs. On May 23 at the Matt Winn Attachment Rate finished in fourth place. And at the Grade 3 Gotham on March 7, 2020 Attachment Rate finished in third position.
Enforceable 53/1
Furthering the cause of long shots is Enforceable, who was the winner of the Grade 3 Lecomte on January 18. Enforceable was also the second-place horse at the Grade 2 Risen Star on February 15. This colt first caught attention at the Grade 1 Breeders’ Cup Futurity on October 5, 2019 when he finished third behind Maxfield and Gouverneur Morris.
2020 Kentucky Derby Longshot Pick: Ny Traffic
Horse Racing Betting Lines
BookMaker offers play-by-play betting odds for live sporting events every day! The user-friendly wagering interface on your smartphone provides an easy way to place bets on the go. Mobile betting lines are updated by the minute, start gambling on thrilling live action at BookMaker Sportsbook!
