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NCAA men's basketball tournament Betting Online: Everyone knows just how dangerous the #12 seeds are against #5 seeds, but sometimes the #4 seeds are in just as much trouble as their #5 brethren. The #13s are typically teams who were the best of the teams to get into the field by winning their conference tournaments, and that makes them some of the most dangerous teams of them all, particularly in that first weekend of play in the dance.
The first round of the 2018 NCAA Tournament will be played at eight different venues across the country. The 64 teams in the field will play on Thursday, March 15, 2018 and Friday, March 16, 2018. Games will tip off starting at just after noon and will run through the entire day. All of the action will be shown on CBS, TNT, TBS and truTV.
History of #4 Seeds vs. #13 Seeds in NCAA Tournament
Winning team in bold; ATS records date back to 1996; Total records date back to 1998
Year | #4 Seed | Score | #13 Seed | Score | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
2017 |
Florida |
80 |
E. Tennessee St. |
65 |
-10 |
4 |
148 |
U |
2017 |
West Virginia |
86 |
Bucknell |
80 |
-13 |
13 |
148.5 |
O |
2017 |
Purdue |
80 |
Vermont |
70 |
-8.5 |
4 |
134.5 |
O |
2017 |
Butler |
76 |
Winthrop |
64 |
-11 |
4 |
145.5 |
U |
2016 |
California |
66 |
Hawaii |
77 |
-5.5 |
13 |
140 |
O |
2016 |
Duke |
93 |
UNC Wilmington |
85 |
-10 |
13 |
154 |
O |
2016 |
Iowa State |
94 |
Iona |
81 |
-7 |
4 |
165.5 |
O |
2016 |
Kentucky |
85 |
Stony Brook |
57 |
-13.5 |
4 |
143 |
U |
2015 |
Georgetown |
84 |
Eastern Washington |
74 |
-8.5 |
4 |
149 |
O |
2015 |
Louisville |
57 |
UC Irvine |
55 |
-8.5 |
13 |
123 |
U |
2015 |
Maryland |
65 |
Valparaiso |
62 |
-5 |
13 |
124 |
O |
2015 |
North Carolina |
67 |
Harvard |
65 |
-10 |
13 |
139 |
U |
2014 |
Louisville |
71 |
Manhattan |
64 |
-16 |
13 |
141.5 |
U |
2014 |
Michigan State |
93 |
Delaware |
78 |
-14 |
4 |
154 |
O |
2014 |
San Diego State |
73 |
New Mexico State |
69 |
-8 |
13 |
124 |
O |
2014 |
UCLA |
76 |
Tulsa |
59 |
-8 |
4 |
147 |
U |
2013 |
Kansas State |
61 |
La Salle |
63 |
-6 |
13 |
133.5 |
U |
2013 |
Michigan |
71 |
San Diego State |
56 |
-11.5 |
4 |
139.5 |
U |
2013 |
Saint Louis |
64 |
New Mexico State |
44 |
-9.5 |
4 |
125 |
U |
2013 |
Syracuse |
81 |
Montana |
34 |
-13 |
4 |
126 |
U |
2012 |
Indiana |
79 |
New Mexico State |
66 |
-6 |
4 |
155.5 |
U |
2012 |
Louisville |
69 |
Davidson |
62 |
-5.5 |
4 |
139.5 |
U |
2012 |
Michigan |
60 |
Ohio |
65 |
-5.5 |
13 |
125.5 |
U |
2012 |
Wisconsin |
73 |
Montana |
49 |
-8.5 |
4 |
117 |
O |
2011 |
Kentucky |
59 |
Princeton |
57 |
-13 |
13 |
132.5 |
U |
2011 |
Louisville |
61 |
Morehead State |
62 |
-9.5 |
13 |
132 |
U |
2011 |
Texas |
85 |
Oakland |
81 |
-10 |
13 |
157 |
O |
2011 |
Wisconsin |
72 |
Belmont |
58 |
-4 |
4 |
128 |
O |
2010 |
Maryland |
89 |
Houston |
77 |
-9.5 |
4 |
157.5 |
O |
2010 |
Purdue |
72 |
Siena |
64 |
-4.5 |
4 |
132 |
O |
2010 |
Vanderbilt |
65 |
Murray State |
66 |
-2.5 |
13 |
141 |
U |
2010 |
Wisconsin |
53 |
Wofford |
49 |
-10 |
13 |
114.5 |
U |
2009 |
Gonzaga |
77 |
Akron |
64 |
-13.5 |
13 |
133.5 |
O |
2009 |
Wake Forest |
69 |
Cleveland State |
84 |
-7.5 |
13 |
138.5 |
O |
2009 |
Washington |
71 |
Mississippi State |
58 |
-8 |
4 |
148.5 |
U |
2009 |
Xavier |
77 |
Portland State |
59 |
-10.5 |
4 |
136.5 |
U |
2008 |
Connecticut |
69 |
San Diego |
70 |
-12 |
13 |
133 |
O |
2008 |
Pittsburgh |
82 |
Oral Roberts |
63 |
-8 |
4 |
129 |
O |
2008 |
Vanderbilt |
62 |
Siena |
83 |
-7 |
13 |
153 |
U |
2008 |
Washington State |
71 |
Winthrop |
40 |
-9.5 |
4 |
113 |
U |
2007 |
Maryland |
82 |
Davidson |
70 |
-6.5 |
4 |
154 |
U |
2007 |
Southern Illinois |
61 |
Holy Cross |
51 |
-7.5 |
4 |
110 |
O |
2007 |
Texas |
79 |
New Mexico State |
67 |
-8 |
4 |
154.5 |
U |
2007 |
Virginia |
84 |
Albany |
57 |
-8.5 |
4 |
135.5 |
O |
2006 |
Boston College |
88 |
Pacific |
76 |
-8 |
4 |
133.5 |
O |
2006 |
Illinois |
78 |
Air Force |
69 |
-8 |
4 |
112 |
O |
2006 |
Kansas |
73 |
Bradley |
77 |
-7 |
13 |
135.5 |
O |
2006 |
LSU |
80 |
Iona |
64 |
-7.5 |
4 |
148 |
U |
2005 |
Boston College |
85 |
Pennsylvania |
65 |
-6.5 |
4 |
127.5 |
O |
2005 |
Florida |
67 |
Ohio |
62 |
-11.5 |
13 |
137.5 |
U |
2005 |
Louisville |
68 |
Louisiana Lafayette |
62 |
-11 |
13 |
149 |
U |
2005 |
Syracuse |
57 |
Vermont |
60 |
-9 |
13 |
137.5 |
U |
2004 |
Cincinnati |
80 |
East Tennessee State |
77 |
-8.5 |
13 |
147 |
O |
2004 |
Kansas |
78 |
Illinois Chicago |
53 |
-8.5 |
4 |
138 |
U |
2004 |
Maryland |
86 |
UTEP |
83 |
-6.5 |
13 |
149.5 |
O |
2004 |
Wake Forest |
79 |
VCU |
78 |
-12.5 |
13 |
150.5 |
O |
2003 |
Dayton |
71 |
Tulsa |
84 |
-2.5 |
13 |
138 |
O |
2003 |
Illinois |
65 |
Western Kentucky |
60 |
-9.5 |
13 |
140.5 |
U |
2003 |
Louisville |
86 |
Austin Peay |
64 |
-15.5 |
4 |
141.5 |
O |
2003 |
Stanford |
77 |
San Diego |
69 |
-6.5 |
4 |
141.5 |
O |
2002 |
Illinois |
93 |
San Diego State |
64 |
-11.5 |
4 |
143 |
O |
2002 |
Kentucky |
83 |
Valparaiso |
68 |
-7.5 |
4 |
142 |
O |
2002 |
Ohio State |
69 |
Davidson |
64 |
-13 |
13 |
134.5 |
U |
2002 |
USC |
89 |
UNC Wilmington |
93 |
-11 |
13 |
131.5 |
O |
2001 |
Indiana |
73 |
Kent State |
77 |
-6.5 |
13 |
126.5 |
O |
2001 |
Kansas |
99 |
Cal State Northridge |
75 |
-12 |
4 |
153.5 |
O |
2001 |
Oklahoma |
68 |
Indiana State |
70 |
-6.5 |
13 |
130 |
O |
2001 |
UCLA |
61 |
Hofstra |
48 |
-7 |
4 |
146.5 |
U |
2000 |
Illinois |
68 |
Pennsylvania |
58 |
-8 |
4 |
130 |
U |
2000 |
LSU |
64 |
Southeast Missouri State |
61 |
-13 |
13 |
128.5 |
U |
2000 |
Syracuse |
79 |
Samford |
65 |
-12.5 |
4 |
133 |
O |
2000 |
Tennessee |
63 |
Louisiana Lafayette |
58 |
-12 |
13 |
143 |
U |
1999 |
Arizona |
60 |
Oklahoma |
61 |
-5 |
13 |
146.5 |
U |
1999 |
Arkansas |
94 |
Siena |
80 |
-7 |
4 |
166 |
O |
1999 |
Ohio State |
72 |
Murray State |
58 |
-8.5 |
4 |
148 |
U |
1999 |
Tennessee |
62 |
Delaware |
52 |
-10 |
P |
143 |
U |
1998 |
Maryland |
82 |
Utah State |
68 |
-10.5 |
4 |
139 |
O |
1998 |
Michigan State |
83 |
Eastern Michigan |
71 |
-5.5 |
4 |
151 |
O |
1998 |
New Mexico |
79 |
Butler |
62 |
-5 |
4 |
126 |
O |
1998 |
Ole Miss |
69 |
Valparaiso |
70 |
-12 |
13 |
140.5 |
U |
1997 |
Arizona |
65 |
South Alabama |
57 |
-10 |
13 |
--- |
--- |
1997 |
Clemson |
68 |
Miami Ohio |
56 |
-4.5 |
4 |
--- |
--- |
1997 |
St. Joseph's |
75 |
Pacific |
65 |
-3.5 |
4 |
--- |
--- |
1997 |
Villanova |
101 |
Long Island |
91 |
-13.5 |
13 |
--- |
--- |
1996 |
Marquette |
68 |
Monmouth |
44 |
-14 |
4 |
--- |
--- |
1996 |
Syracuse |
88 |
Montana State |
55 |
-9.5 |
4 |
--- |
--- |
1996 |
UCLA |
41 |
Princeton |
43 |
-10 |
13 |
--- |
--- |
1996 |
Utah |
72 |
Canisius |
43 |
-16 |
4 |
--- |
--- |
1995 |
Oklahoma State |
73 |
Drexel |
49 |
--- |
--- |
--- |
--- |
1995 |
Utah |
76 |
Long Beach State |
64 |
--- |
--- |
--- |
--- |
1995 |
Oklahoma |
67 |
Manhattan |
77 |
--- |
--- |
--- |
--- |
1995 |
Virginia |
96 |
Nicholls State |
72 |
--- |
--- |
--- |
--- |
1994 |
Temple |
61 |
Drexel |
39 |
--- |
--- |
--- |
--- |
1994 |
Kansas |
102 |
Chattanooga |
73 |
--- |
--- |
--- |
--- |
1994 |
Oklahoma State |
65 |
New Mexico State |
55 |
--- |
--- |
--- |
--- |
1994 |
Syracuse |
92 |
Hawaii |
78 |
--- |
--- |
--- |
--- |
1993 |
Arkansas |
94 |
Holy Cross |
64 |
--- |
--- |
--- |
--- |
1993 |
Louisville |
76 |
Delaware |
70 |
--- |
--- |
--- |
--- |
1993 |
Iowa |
82 |
Louisiana Monroe |
69 |
--- |
--- |
--- |
--- |
1993 |
Georgia Tech |
78 |
Southern |
93 |
--- |
--- |
--- |
--- |
1992 |
Seton Hall |
78 |
La Salle |
76 |
--- |
--- |
--- |
--- |
1992 |
Oklahoma |
83 |
Louisiana Lafayette |
87 |
--- |
--- |
--- |
--- |
1992 |
North Carolina |
68 |
Miami Ohio |
63 |
--- |
--- |
--- |
--- |
1992 |
Cincinnati |
85 |
Delaware |
47 |
--- |
--- |
--- |
--- |
1991 |
UCLA |
69 |
Penn State |
74 |
--- |
--- |
--- |
--- |
1991 |
Alabama |
89 |
Murray State |
79 |
--- |
--- |
--- |
--- |
1991 |
St. John's |
75 |
Northern Illinois |
68 |
--- |
--- |
--- |
--- |
1991 |
Utah |
82 |
South Alabama |
72 |
--- |
--- |
--- |
--- |
1990 |
La Salle |
79 |
Southern Mississippi |
63 |
--- |
--- |
--- |
--- |
1990 |
Arkansas |
68 |
Princeton |
64 |
--- |
--- |
--- |
--- |
1990 |
Georgia Tech |
99 |
East Tennessee State |
83 |
--- |
--- |
--- |
--- |
1990 |
Louisville |
78 |
Idaho |
59 |
--- |
--- |
--- |
--- |
1989 |
Iowa |
87 |
Rutgers |
73 |
--- |
--- |
--- |
--- |
1989 |
UNLV |
68 |
Idaho |
56 |
--- |
--- |
--- |
--- |
1989 |
Florida State |
83 |
Middle Tennessee |
97 |
--- |
--- |
--- |
--- |
1989 |
Louisville |
76 |
Arkansas Little Rock |
71 |
--- |
--- |
--- |
--- |
1988 |
Indiana |
69 |
Richmond |
72 |
--- |
--- |
--- |
--- |
1988 |
Kansas State |
66 |
La Salle |
53 |
--- |
--- |
--- |
--- |
1988 |
BYU |
98 |
Charlotte |
92 |
--- |
--- |
--- |
--- |
1988 |
UNLV |
54 |
Missouri State |
50 |
--- |
--- |
--- |
--- |
1987 |
TCU |
76 |
Marshall |
60 |
--- |
--- |
--- |
--- |
1987 |
Clemson |
60 |
Missouri State |
65 |
--- |
--- |
--- |
--- |
1987 |
Missouri |
69 |
Xavier |
70 |
--- |
--- |
--- |
--- |
1987 |
UCLA |
92 |
Central Michigan |
73 |
--- |
--- |
--- |
--- |
1986 |
Oklahoma |
80 |
Northeastern |
74 |
--- |
--- |
--- |
--- |
1986 |
Georgetown |
70 |
Texas Tech |
64 |
--- |
--- |
--- |
--- |
1986 |
Illinois |
75 |
Fairfield |
51 |
--- |
--- |
--- |
--- |
1986 |
UNLV |
74 |
Louisiana Monroe |
51 |
--- |
--- |
--- |
--- |
1985 |
Loyola Illinois |
59 |
Iona |
58 |
--- |
--- |
--- |
--- |
1985 |
UNLV |
85 |
San Diego State |
80 |
--- |
--- |
--- |
--- |
1985 |
LSU |
55 |
Navy |
78 |
--- |
--- |
--- |
--- |
1985 |
Ohio State |
75 |
Iowa State |
64 |
--- |
--- |
--- |
--- |
A total of 26 teams have pulled off upsets in the 4/13 games all-time in the NCAA Tournament, and rare is the year that there isn't at least one team on the #13 line get into the second round of the dance. The #4s have swept the board eight times out of a possible 32 years, and that fact remains rather stunning when you consider the fact that the average #4 seed is favored by 9-points. #13 seeds have reached the Sweet 16 a total of six times in the past, so the precedent is there for teams coming from this low in the bracket getting through the whole first weekend.
There are still plenty of big point spreads in the 4/13 games. Right at 25 percent of the games feature double-digit spreads, and just four of those teams who were double-digit dogs ultimately went on to pull off upsets, the most recent of which was San Diego over Connecticut in the 2008 NCAA Tournament. That said, there are also a lot of spreads that are awfully close, too. In 2003 and 2010, we had a #13 seed that was only set at +2.5 against a #4. In both cases, first with Tulsa over Dayton in 2003, then with Murray State over Vandy in 2010, the underdog team pulled off the upset.
With all of these upsets in mind though, it's still worth remembering that the top seeds are Top 4 seeds for a reason. Though the advent of the First Four has closed the gap just a bit between say, the #15 and #2 seeds or the #14 and #3 seeds, the teams that were the #1 seeds in their conference tournaments who come into this field as #13s haven't changed a heck of a lot, while the rules now allow the Selection Committee to give preferential treatment to the seeds on the Top 4 lines, allowing for a bit of home court advantage to come into play. As a result, #4 seeds are a healthy 45-38-1 ATS all-time. At least one #4 seed has covered in the opening round of every NCAA Tournament since betting lines were made readily available in 1996.
Though many of these 4/13 games end up being relatively close, there have been some big blowouts, too. Syracuse has one of the biggest blowouts in tourney history as a #4 seed, as it crushed Montana by 47 points in 2013. The biggest win for a #13 over a #4 actually belongs to Navy from the very first 64-team NCAA Tournament in 1985. The Middies took care of the Tigers by a whopping 23 points.
The spreads in totals is also a bit interesting. The lowest total in an NCAA Tournament game in any round came in the opening round in 2007 when Southern Illinois and Holy Cross had a total of just 110. The game "flew" past the total with 122 total points scored. That said, the second highest total in a first round game in NCAA Tournament history was also on the 4/13 line. Arkansas and Siena cruised past a total of 166.
Totals have been almost perfectly split in 4/13 games at 39-37 towards the over.
Since 2014, #4 seeds are a near-perfect 11-1 SU, but they're just 5-7 ATS in those same 12 games.
Louisville has been a #4 seed more than any other team in the history of the 64-team NCAA Tournament. The Cardinals are 8-1 in those nine games, the one loss coming by a single point to Morehead State in 2011. Oklahoma has been on the #4 line four times since 1986, and it has gone just 1-3 SU in those games. New Mexico State was a #13 seed in three straight NCAA Tournaments from 2012 through 2014 and has been a #13 five times overall. The Aggies have yet to pull off an upset from this line and are just 1-3 ATS to show for their work in their four lined games as #13 seeds. Xavier is also an interesting team in that, it's the only one to win a game in the NCAA Tournament both as a #4 and as a #13 seed.
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