The Indianapolis Colts visit the Tennessee Titans on Thursday Night Football in a game that can be seen on FOX and NFL Network. This is a battle for first place in the AFC South, as the Titans are 6-2, while the Colts are 5-3. The Colts are coming off a loss to Baltimore, while the Titans are coming off a win against Chicago. There has been some early line movement on this game, as the Titans opened up a 2.5-point favorite and that number is down to one, while the total opened at 50 and has been bet down to 48.5. Let’s look at the Thursday night matchup and NFL picks.
Watch this regular season NFL Week 10 matchup on Thursday, November 12, at 8:20 p.m. ET from Nissan Stadium. Catch the game live on FOX and NFL Network and bet on NFL odds at BookMaker.eu every day of the season.
NFL Odds at Bookmaker.eu
Indianapolis Colts +1
Tennessee Titans -1
Total 48.5
Odds Analysis
It is somewhat surprising that the line has moved toward Indianapolis, but that is what has happened. The line has moved more than a point toward the Colts, as Tennessee opened as a 2.5-point favorite and the number has come down to one. There has also been movement on the total, as it opened at 50 and is down more than a point to 48.5. Both of these line moves seem a little strange, as the Titans look to be the better team and high scoring games are the norm in the NFL this season.
Injury Report
We’ll look at just key injuries for both teams heading into Thursday. The Colts have two key offensive players who are questionable. T.Y. Hilton has a groin injury and he didn’t play last week against Baltimore. His status for Thursday is questionable. Tight end Jack Doyle is also listed as questionable for Thursday with a concussion.
On the other side, the Titans are listing defensive end Jadeveon Clowney with a knee injury and he is questionable, while wide receiver Adam Humphries has a head injury and he is questionable.
Key Matchup
This game on Thursday pits strength against strength. The Titans feature Derrick Henry and a strong running game, while Indianapolis is excellent against the run, allowing 79.4 rushing yards per game. The Colts are 5th-best in the NFL in fewest points allowed. If the Titans can run the ball effectively, they can open things up for Ryan Tannehill and their play action game.
Game Trends
The Colts have owned this series of late, winning 14 of the last 17 meetings. The Colts are 14-6-1 ATS in their last 21 games in November. The Colts are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 vs. the AFC South. The Colts are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog. The Titans are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite. The Over is 4-1 in the Colts last 5 road games. The Over is 8-2-1 in the Titans last 11 home games. The Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Tennessee.
Free ATS Pick
Last week I said I didn’t understand the line on the Thursday game and I was proven correct as the Packers routed the 49ers. I am not sold on this line either. I don’t agree with the line move on the side or the total. I think the Titans are the better team and they are playing at home, so I will take Tennessee. I also can’t understand the line move on the total. I know the Colts have a decent defense, but the Colts have been a team to bet over the total on the road and the Titans have been a good team to bet over at home. It also helps that four of the last five meetings have gone over in Tennessee. I will also take this game over the total.
NFL Pick:Titans 30, Colts 24
BookMaker offers play-by-play betting odds for live sporting events every day! The user-friendly wagering interface on your smartphone provides an easy way to place bets on the go. Mobile betting lines are updated by the minute, so click here to start gambling on thrilling live action at BookMaker Sportsbook!
