Horse Racing Odds - Kentucky Derby Prop Picks


Prop bets are an exciting part of Kentucky Derby betting, especially since you don't necessarily need to pick out the winner of the race to cash your ticket. Below is a list of some of the props you'll find on the board at before the Run for the Roses goes to post.

You can find horse racing odds at at the online racebook.

Will the winning horse be wearing an odd or even number?

Conventional wisdom here says that the odd saddlecloths are going to be the big favorites here. Some of the featured horses on the odd side include Creator, Gun Runner, Destin, Exaggerator, Outwork, Mor Spirit, Brody's Cause, and perhaps most importantly, the favorite, Nyquist.

The even saddlecloths have a lot of slick, underrated colts, though.

Suddenbreakingnews, and Shagaf have been training incredibly well at Churchill Downs, and My Man Sam and Mohaymen might be the two most underrated horses in this field. At a price of probably at least 2 to 1, we'll take our chances on the even numbered ponies.

Will the winning time be over or under 2:02.5?

The last three Kentucky Derbies have all gone past this 2:02.5 mark. We shouldn't forget that American Pharoah and California Chrome were both really rock solid ponies, and they had tremendous Beyer Speed Ratings leading into the Run for the Roses.

We just don't see it this year.

Not a single horse in this field has posted a 105 Beyer Speed Rating in any race run to date. Not only is this going to end up being a Derby which goes beyond this 2:02.5, but it might go beyond 2:04 as well, a number which has only been crossed twice by a winning horse since 1988.

Will a horse win wire-to-wire?

No chance. Absolutely no chance whatsoever. The most likely horse to do that was Danzing Candy, and he drew the No. 20 post, giving him the least likely path to the head of the pack around the first turn. Nyquist and Mohaymen are both going to try to run just off the pace, and the rest of the serious contenders to win the Derby are big trailers.

The fractions are going to be really slow at the Kentucky Derby in all likelihood, and we just don't see any jockey having the guts to try to take his horse the distance in front of the pack.

Will the margin of victory be over or under 1.5 lengths?

Tough one this is. Most races of this caliber end up decided by somewhere between one and two lengths. Only 23 of the Kentucky Derbies have been decided by four lengths or more, the best recent being when Mine That Bird won by 6 3/4 lengths in 2009. Only Derby in the 2000s has been decided by less than a length, though. Giacomo won by a half of a length in 2005.

We're erring on the side of the over, as the biggest margins of victory often come when colts come out of nowhere to put the field away, though if multiple ponies get up to the wire in time, something that is entirely possible in a field this big with so many closers, that's when you get epic showdowns.

Kentucky Derby odds at

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