American Pharoah +750 favorite to become first Triple Crown winner in nearly four decades


Back in 1978, Affirmed won the Triple Crown, and he was the third horse in six years to pull off horse racing's greatest prize. Little did we know that the Triple Crown would go unclaimed for another nearly four decades. Could that all come to an end this year? The horse racing odds suggest that this will once again be a year without a Triple Crown winner, but there are definitely some intriguing prices out there if you're looking to gamble.


American Pharoah +750
Dortmund +1700
Carpe Diem +3500
Mubtahhij +5000
Materiality +7500
Firing Line +6500
Frosted +10000
Upstart +20000
International Star +20000
El Kabeir +20000
Far Right +35000
Bolo +60000
Danzig Moon +30000
War Story +65000
Stanford +65000
Ocho Ocho Ocho +60000
Itsaknockout +65000
Tencendur +80000
Mr. Z +85000
Keen Ice +70000

The fact of the matter is that reality suggests there are only two colts in the end field who legitimately could win all three legs of the Triple Crown. We think that bets on both American Pharoah at +750 and Dortmund at +1700 are justifiable in just about every respect, especially knowing that both colts are trained by the same man, Bob Baffert.

Odds have it, if one of these two wins the Kentucky Derby this year, the other isn't going to run against him for the rest of the Triple Crown, which really takes the best possible contender out of the field.

What we love about both of these horses is that they are just so imposing on the track. American Pharoah isn't the biggest horse in the world, but there is no colt who can take one whip to the side and get on the move in a hurry like he can. Dortmund meanwhile, is one of the biggest three-year olds you'll see, and a lot of that is thanks to his sire, Big Brown, who won the first two legs of the Triple Crown and was a 1 to 5 choice at the Belmont Stakes as well.

For the money, the price on these two horses is quite good.

Dortmund is very likely going to end up being around +300 to win the Kentucky Derby, and if he wins, he will likely be odds-on to win both the Preakness Stakes and the Belmont Stakes if he was to get that far. The fair price is probably around 10 to 1 if that's the case on him to win all three races if you were to parlay together the results of all three.

American Pharoah might be even better. He opened at 5 to 2 to win the Derby, but we bet that he'll ultimately end up around 2 to 1. If that's the case, he'll be a 1 to 5 favorite at both the Preakness Stakes and the Belmont Stakes if he wins each of the first two legs. The true parlay odds would leave him at basically +450, making this +750 price tag a good one.

But of course, you can also take the easy way out and just bet on any horse to win the Triple Crown at +500 as well.

The good news by betting this is that you know you'll have just two races to win. If any of the big favorites at the Kentucky Derby, including Carpe Diem, Frosted, or Upstart wins the Run for the Roses, we know that they will be no worse than probably 3 to 1 or so to win the Preakness Stakes. If that race is won, it'll be off to the Belmont, where no winner of the first two legs of the Triple Crown has ever been less than an odds on favorite.

Though history is clearly working against any horse to win the Triple Crown, mathematics suggests that there is a great opportunity for someone to ultimately get the job done, and you should probably take advantage of it.

The horse racing odds for the Kentucky Derby are available at BookMaker Sportsbook right now! All of your regular pari-mutuel betting will be available with BookMaker's racebook on the day of the race. With daily rebates of up to 8% and the ability to parlay wagers online, BookMaker has more options and benefits for you to enjoy than any other online shop. Enjoy the thrill of betting on every major track in North America without ever leaving your couch!

Load your betting bankroll from your smartphone or tablet with BookMaker's new cashier feature! Depositing and withdrawing funds from your account has never been easier. BookMaker's live betting platform means you always have access to odds and lines to every sporting event. Click here, and start wagering right now! The Kentucky Derby will go to post at 6:24 p.m. ET on Saturday, May 2 at Churchill Downs in Louisville, KY. The Derby will be televised live on NBC.

Back to Top