Either the Kansas City Chiefs or Tampa Bay Buccaneers will fall to 2-2 following this week’s showdown after both Kansas City and Tampa Bay were knocked off last week. This game is scheduled to be played in Tampa, but the effects of Hurricane Ian may lead to this Sunday Night Football clash being played in Minneapolis. Tampa has been spared most of the brunt of the hurricane, but the surrounding area has suffered billions of dollars of damage, and the relief logistics could make it impossible for the Buccaneers to play this game at home.
We will see a rematch of Super Bowl LV on Sunday Night Football as the Tampa Bay Buccaneers host the Kansas City Chiefs. This game will be played on Sunday, October 2, 2022, at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Florida at 8:20 p.m. ET on NBC.
NFL Week 4 Betting Odds
Kansas City Chiefs PK
Tampa Bay Buccaneers PK
Total 45.5
Odds Analysis
We have seen action on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers prior to this game even though the site of this tilt may be moved. Kansas City was originally a 2.5 to 3-point favorite by the NFL betting odds, but the spread is close to a pick ‘em as of early Thursday morning. There has been even more movement with the total as that has dropped from 47.5 points to 45 points.
Kansas City Chiefs
Patrick Mahomes may not have two of his top receivers available for this game. Mecole Hardman and Marquez Valdes-Scantling are both listed as questionable for Sunday night because of injury, so that would lead to a lot of looks for Travis Kelce and JuJu Smith-Schuster.
Unsurprisingly, Kelce is the leading receiver for the Chiefs with 17 receptions for 230 yards and two touchdowns. Smith-Schuster isn’t that far behind with 14 catches for 178 yards, but MVS and Hardman are the third and fourth leading receivers. Justin Watson and rookie Skyy Moore could see more looks than they have in the past too, as Mahomes does like to spread the ball out.
The Chiefs haven’t run the ball too much this season. Kansas City has just 68 carries as a team, and they are averaging just 4.1 YPC collectively this year. Clyde Edwards-Helaire isn’t as much of a difference maker as KC hoped he would be as a first-round pick, so rookie Isiah Pacheco is seeing more action.
Kansas City has a pretty solid defense. The Chiefs are allowing 4.6 yards per play, and they are giving up just 3.6 YPC and 5.5 YPA. They are pretty healthy, and the addition of players like Carlos Dunlap and George Karlaftis has given this team depth.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tom Brady is happy to have top target Mike Evans back after a one-game suspension. The Buccaneers have dealt with a ton of injuries to their receiving corps, and their top four receivers aside from Evans are all carrying injury designations into this game. Chris Godwin, Julio Jones, Russell Gage, and Breshad Perriman are all listed as questionable, so we don’t quite know who TB12 will have available on Sunday.
Tampa Bay is also dealing with some key injuries on its offensive line. Center Ryan Jensen has no timetable for return from a knee injury, and the Buccaneers were forced to start third string left tackle Brandon Walton last week. Starting left tackle Donovan Smith has missed the last two games due to injury, and he is questionable again this week.
Fortunately for the Buccaneers, they have one of the best defenses in football. Tampa Bay leads the league in scoring defense (9.0 PPG) and this team ranks fourth in total defense (289.0 YPG). Both the front seven and the secondary have been very good, and the only injury concern coming into this game is Akiem Hicks. That will test what Mahomes can do, as we saw a lot of this front seven flummox him in the Super Bowl two years ago.
Chiefs at Buccaneers Free Pick
The Under still has value even though the number has dropped by 2.5 points. Both of these defenses are rock solid, and there are plenty of concerns about the big play ability for both Tampa Bay and Kansas City given the injuries in the receiving corps.
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