NFL Offensive Player of the Year Betting
We have seen the unwritten definition of NFL Offensive Player of the Year shift over the last several years. It now takes a truly elite season for a quarterback to win this award, as quarterbacks essentially compete for NFL MVP honors. That’s why the shortest odds for a quarterback on the board are 22-1. Running backs have won this award more often than any other position since the inception of NFL OPOY in 1972, and while a wide receiver has only won this award five times, three of the last four winners of this award have been wide receivers.
NFL Betting Lines
NFL Offensive Player of the Year Odds
| PLAYER |
ODDS |
| Ja’Marr Chase |
+1200 |
| Justin Jefferson |
+1400 |
| Cooper Kupp |
+2000 |
| Tyreek Hill |
+2000 |
| Jonathan Taylor |
+2000 |
| Christian McCaffrey |
+2000 |
| Lamar Jackson |
+2200 |
| Justin Fields |
+2200 |
| Patrick Mahomes |
+2500 |
| Jalen Hurts |
+2500 |
| Nick Chubb |
+2500 |
| Garrett Wilson |
+2500 |
Two LSU wide receivers lead the list of favorites to win the NFL Offensive Player of the Year award. Justin Jefferson claimed the honor last year, and Ja’Marr Chase is favored by the NFL futures odds this time. Chase is the star receiver for the Cincinnati Bengals, and he is expected to have a big year with Joe Burrow throwing him the ball. He missed five games last season, but he still caught 87 passes for 1,046 yards and nine touchdowns.
There are three running backs on the list to watch too. Jonathan Taylor could run for big yardage if Indianapolis’ offensive line bounces back after a poor performance in 2022 given the lack of good teams in the AFC South, and Christian McCaffrey could flourish in his first full season with the San Francisco 49ers. Nick Chubb must be seen as a serious threat too after his fifth straight season averaging at least 5.0 YPC.
Offensive Player of the Year Winners (2000)
| YEAR |
WINNER |
TEAM |
| 2022 |
Justin Jefferson |
Minnesota Vikings |
| 2021 |
Cooper Kupp |
Los Angeles Rams |
| 2020 |
Derrick Henry |
Tennessee Titans |
| 2019 |
Michael Thomas |
New Orleans Saints |
| 2018 |
Patrick Mahomes |
Kansas City Chiefs |
| 2017 |
Todd Gurley |
Los Angeles Rams |
| 2016 |
Matt Ryan |
Atlanta Falcons |
| 2015 |
Cam Newton |
Carolina Panthers |
| 2014 |
DeMarco Murray |
Dallas Cowboys |
| 2013 |
Peyton Manning |
Denver Broncos |
| 2012 |
Adrian Peterson |
Minnesota Vikings |
| 2011 |
Drew Brees |
New Orleans Saints |
| 2010 |
Tom Brady |
New England Patriots |
| 2009 |
Chris Johnson |
Tennessee Titans |
| 2008 |
Drew Brees |
New Orleans Saints |
| 2007 |
Tom Brady |
New England Patriots |
| 2006 |
LaDainian Tomlinson |
San Diego Chargers |
| 2005 |
Shaun Alexander |
Seattle Seahawks |
| 2004 |
Peyton Manning |
Indianapolis Colts |
| 2003 |
Jamal Lewis |
Baltimore Ravens |
| 2002 |
Priest Holmes |
Kansas City Chiefs |
| 2001 |
Marshall Faulk |
St. Louis Rams |
| 2000 |
Marshall Faulk |
St. Louis Rams |
A lot of running backs have their careers cut short due to injury, so this list of recent Offensive Player of the Year winners is like a trip down memory lane. Priest Holmes and Chris Johnson were excellent for brief periods, and DeMarco Murray had one superb season in Dallas. It’s a shame that LaDainian Tomlinson only won this award one time, as he was exceptional in nine seasons with the San Diego Chargers, running for 12,490 yards and 138 touchdowns.
Most NFL Offensive Player of the Year Awards
| PLAYERS |
AWARDS WON |
| Marshall Faulk |
3 |
| Earl Campbell |
3 |
| Tom Brady |
2 |
| Barry Sanders |
2 |
| Terrell Davis |
2 |
| Jerry Rice |
2 |
| Drew Brees |
2 |
| Peyton Manning |
2 |
The only two players to be named NFL Offensive Player of the Year three times did it in three consecutive seasons. Marshall Faulk was the most dangerous offensive weapon in the league with the Greatest Show on Turf and was named NFL OPOY in 1999, 2000, and 2001. The St. Louis Rams brought offenses into the current era, and Faulk was a big part of that as a running back that ran for over 1,300 yards with at least 80 receptions in four straight seasons.
Earl Campbell only spent eight seasons in the NFL before his body broke down, but he was a dominant running back. The Tyler Rose led the NFL in rushing for each of his first three seasons, and he was named NFL Offensive Player of the Year in each of those years. Campbell was so dominant that he was named to the All-1970s Team even though he played just two seasons in the decade.
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