I said following my Week 9 near win that if you’re going to lose a NFL parlay it might be better to have several picks that fail. Well, it happened to me last week. I felt confident with my four-team play but the unpredictable nature of the NFL has a way of messing things up. As it turns out the entire card was shot with more losses for the first time in over a month. Three of my four picks failed to connect and it’s been three weeks now since my last parlay win. At least the Cleveland Browns prevented me from having a worse week at my crypto sportsbook. The Browns upset Baltimore as a 6-point dog for their third straight payout and fourth in five games. And like I said last week I’ll put this one behind me and forge ahead to Week 11 of the NFL season looking for a winning parlay card.
NFL Betting Lines
Week 11 NFL Parlay Card Wagers
I had a nice heater going on my individual picks over the last few months winning over 60 percent and two parlays. The house has to get its share, though, and things have a way of evening out in the long run. The key is to not let one bad week morph into several, and last week was a bad one. It started early when the Saints lost outright as a 2.5-point favorite. I backed New Orleans but didn’t anticipate Josh Dobbs doing it all for the Vikings and Derek Carr getting shelved with an injury. Things snowballed in the Tennessee/Tampa Bay game with both teams struggling offensively. They never came close to reaching the 38.5 total sending me to another setback. And the Bills capped the week with another poor performance losing to Denver as a 7.5-point home favorite.
Cardinals +4
Steelers / Browns UNDER 36.5
Vikings +112 ML
$100 bet to win $667
I hit a four-team parlay a few weeks ago but the odds of losing increase with more bets. The flip side is a much higher payout and I’m still enjoying the windfall from that victory. With some key games and notable lines in Week 11, there are some contests I’m going to avoid leaving me back at the three-team level. A whopping five games on the slate have an early double-digit line with the Dolphins favored by 13-points over the Raiders. Even a two-game Vegas winning streak didn’t sway oddsmakers. That’s one game I’m staying away from.
The Week 11 parlay starts with the Cardinals, who are getting 4-points for their matchup with Houston. The return of Kyler Murray invigorated the Cards, who beat Atlanta 25-23 last week for their second win of the season. Murray was 19 of 32 for 249 yards with a pick and he showed his knee is in good shape running the ball six times for 33 yards and a score. More importantly the surgically-repaired knee was fine after the game, meaning Murray will do more against a surprising Texans squad.
The Browns supplied me with my only win last week and I’m going back to them in their AFC North clash with Pittsburgh. I was tempted to back them against the spread but instead I’ll take the UNDER on a total of 36.5. Sure they gave up 31 points to the Ravens last week but Kenny Pickett is not Lamar Jackson and the Pittsburgh offense has plenty of issues. Besides, the Browns are looking to avenge an earlier 26-22 loss to Pittsburgh with Cleveland’s No. 1 ranked total defense holding opponents to an average of 10.2 points with the UNDER 4-0-1 in five home games.
At +112 on the moneyline I’m backing Minnesota in the Sunday Night Football game against Denver. The Vikings are beat up on offense but they’re playing inspired football behind Josh Dobbs winning five in a row to become a playoff contender in the NFC. In Arizona Dobbs was keeping the seat warm for Kyler Murray. With Minnesota rumored to be moving on from Kirk Cousins he’s auditioning for a permanent role and the results have been positive.
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