NFL Comeback Player of the Year Odds

A quarterback has taken home the NFL Comeback Player of the Year Award each of the last three seasons. Alex Smith won it last season with Ryan Tannehill and Andrew Luck before him. That made it 13 of 19 seasons that a field general took home the distinguished award. A quick glance of the 2021-22 CBOY Award odds finds a quadrant of field generals sitting atop the heap led by none other than Dak Prescott who was on the verge of smashing Dallas Cowboys record books before a gruesome ankle injury ended his 2020 campaign prematurely. Following him is Joe Burrow who was also on the precipice of breaking Cincinnati Bengals club records as a rookie before a knee injury put a halt to his fabulous campaign in Week 11 against the Washington Football Team. The trend for the recent award winners mostly have one thing in common; it went to a quarterback on a winning team. That bodes terribly for a number of big name running backs on this list with the position last securing bragging rights way back in 2001. Streaks are meant to be broken however, so let’s dig into the returns and target a favorite, underdog and longshot to see if we can’t bag the winner of this year’s award!

NFL Comeback Player of the Year Odds

Favorite to Bet: Carson Wentz +770

While Dak winning the award would hardly come as a shock evidenced by linemakers tabbing him the odds on favorite to pull off the feat, the return simply just isn’t too my liking. As for Burrow, I’m thinking he continues to run for his life behind a still very flawed offensive line. Why they took Ja’Marr Chase instead of Penei Sewell at No. 5 is beyond me! I’ll continue to get on my soap box about it all season long so get used to it! If Jameis Winston runs with the QB1 job in New Orleans and ultimately leads the Saints to the playoffs, he could win it. I’d offer a hat tip in his general direction if so, but you know the kids gonna throw an overabundance of costly interceptions. That’s just what he does. This brings us to Wentz. Only four years removed from being considered an MVP candidate and being reunited with Frank Reich, I’m expecting him to play like the No. 2 draft pick the Philadelphia Eagles thought they initially drafted. The best offensive line he’s ever played behind is now in front of him, and he’s got some real nice offensive pieces to help aid his success. Provided he’s situated under center Week 1, there isn’t a better value bet at the top of this list.

Underdog to Bet: Christian McCaffrey +1272

I get that Garrison Hearst is the only running back to win this award since the turn of the century, and that it occurred two decades ago. However, Hearst is no RUN CMC. Since getting the fulltime RB1 gig in Carolina, all No. 22 has gone on to do is combine for over 4,700 rushing and receiving yards and score 38 touchdowns. When healthy, there isn’t a more explosive or dependable running back in the game. There’s a reason why he’s been the first player taken off the board in fantasy football drafts each of the last two seasons. He scores tons of fantasy points. Fantasy points equate to tons of yardage both on the ground and through the air as well as touchdowns. I’ve got Carolina pegged as a team that opens some eyes in the second full season under Matt Rhule. Should the Panthers give the Bucs a run for their money and punch a ticket to the playoffs, award voters will have no choice but to give his resume a hard look.

Longshot to Bet: Jimmy Garoppolo +2193

Though much of the value has already been squeezed from the +5000 opener, there’s still some meat left on the bone when it comes to Jimmy G. Now I get that the 49ers invested a ton of draft capital to secure Trey Lance, but is it really a given that he takes over the Niners offense fulltime if Garoppolo remains healthy? Call me skeptical. San Francisco is currently the odds on favorite to win the NFC West and sits only behind three teams to win the NFC; surprisingly one of those teams is the division rival Los Angeles Rams. Regardless, the 49ers offense figures to be one the more potent in the league provided the injury bug stays away unlike last season. With a loaded backfield, an athletic wide receiver corps and arguably one of the best tight ends in the game in George Kittle, the supporting cast is there to help Garoppolo win this award provided he’s the QB1 all the way through. At a near 22-1 return, it’s worth the pizza money investment.

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