The Toronto Maple Leafs have staked their claim atop the Atlantic Division standings with six wins in their first nine games. With the arrival of John Tavares from the New York Islanders this past off season it stood to figure that the Leafs would be among the top offensive teams in the NHL. Of major concern is a back end that is loose and goaltending that is unreliable. As expected the Winnipeg Jets are one of the top teams in the Central Division and are in quite a battle with the Colorado Avalanche and Nashville Predators in what could be the best division in the NHL.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Winnipeg Jets
Date and Time: Wednesday, October 24, 2018, 7 p.m. ET
Location: Bell MTS Place, Winnipeg, Manitoba
NHL Odds at Bookmaker.eu: Check Back Later
Maple Leafs vs. Jets Coverage: NBCSN
Odds Analysis
The Jets will be a slight favorite based on their strong home ice advantage that is among the most valuable in the league. There may also be some action on the over based on both teams ability to score goals and the Maple Leafs subpar defense.
Current Form
Winnipeg is 5-2-1 to start the season with just two of their games going over the total. The Jets have won three of their last four games overall. At Bell MTS Place the Jets are 4-0-1. Three of the Jets five home games have gone under the total.
Toronto opened the season with a record of 6-3 with five of their games going under the total. The Maple Leafs are 4-0 in road games this year with three of their four away tilts going over the total. The Leafs were embarrassed at home last week in a key showdown vs. the Pittsburgh Penguins 3-0 and then lost at home to the St. Louis Blues 4-1 in what seemed to have a hangover affect. Winnipeg is coming off a 5-3 home payout over the Arizona Coyotes.
Team Metrics
The Jets rank 20th in the NHL for goal scoring but third for the power play. They figure to improve on that goal scoring rank as the season progresses. Winnipeg ranks seventh for goals against but 23rd for shots allowed.
Toronto ranks fourth in the NHL for goal scoring and second for the power play as one of the most entertaining teams in the NHL. Offsetting that is a ranking of 21st for goals against.
Top Players
Maple Leafs center Auston Matthews is on fire with 10 goals and six assists. Winnipeg left wing Kyle Connor leads with four goals and three assists.
ATS Trends
Toronto has been a good road betting value as of late with five payouts in their last six games on enemy ice. Six of the Maple Leafs last seven away games have gone over the total.
Meanwhile there are fewer venues as tough as the Bell MTS Place for enemy teams. Indeed, the Jets have won 15 of their last 20 home games with just two of their last 10 home games going over the total.
Head to Head
Winnipeg has had the upper hand in their head to head series with the Toronto Maple Leafs with nine payouts in their last 12 games against the Maple Leafs. Additionally, 11 out of those 12 games also soared over the total. Toronto has really struggled on the road against the Jets as evidenced by their record of eight losses in their last 10 away matchups with Winnipeg. The last six meetings between these teams at Bell MTS Place have gone over the total.
Free NHL Betting Odds Pick
Toronto could be a dangerous visitor at the Bell MTS Center with their stellar road record and offensive numbers. The Jets offense has disappointed so far but the Leafs figure to leave opportunities available. The Jets have the proven betting value at home and against Toronto.
NHL Score Prediction: Winnipeg Jets 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 2
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