Both meetings between the Kansas City Chiefs and Las Vegas Raiders in 2021 resulted in embarrassing losses for the Raiders. They were throttled 41-14 at home by the Chiefs in mid-November, and they were crushed 48-9 by the Chiefs in Arrowhead Stadium last December. Derek Carr is just 3-13 against the Chiefs in his career, so he will be fighting history when he leads his team into Kansas City on Monday Night Football.
The Kansas City Chiefs will look to take a commanding lead in the AFC West with a win over the Las Vegas Raiders on Monday Night Football. This game will be played on Monday, October 10, 2022, at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium with kickoff slated for 8:15 p.m. ET on ESPN.
NFL Week 5 Betting Odds
Las Vegas Raiders +7
Kansas City Chiefs -7
Total 51.5
Money Line: Raiders +289, Chiefs -360
Odds Analysis
The Kansas City Chiefs are a moderate home favorite by the NFL betting odds. They have been favored by either seven or seven-and-a-half points in the run-up to their clash with the Las Vegas Raiders on MNF. We have seen the total drop from 52.5 points to 51 points over the last few days.
Las Vegas Raiders
Derek Carr was supposed to be unleashed with the addition of Davante Adams, but he has not had his best season through the first month of the 2022 campaign. Carr is completing just 61% of his passes for 6.7 YPA with six touchdowns and four interceptions, so the Raiders didn’t win their first game of the season until last week. Adams has been targeted 47 times, yet he has just 26 receptions for 290 yards and three touchdowns. Mack Hollins has been almost as effective as the No. 2 receiver, as Hunter Renfrow has been banged up.
The Raiders have had success running the ball though. Josh Jacobs is one of the top running backs in the NFL through the first four games of the season, running for 336 yards and two touchdowns. He is averaging 4.8 YPC, and Carr has had success scrambling too. This isn’t a great offensive line, but the Raiders have done a good job up front.
Las Vegas was expected to be significantly better on defense after acquiring Chandler Jones, Jayon Brown, Rock Ya-Sin, and others this offseason. However, the Raiders are allowing 25.0 PPG and 357.0 YPG, ranking outside the top 20 in both categories. The front seven has done a solid job stopping the run, but the pass defense has struggled. Maxx Crosby has four of Las Vegas’ five sacks on the year, and others need to help out to assist this secondary.
Kansas City Chiefs
Patrick Mahomes has the third-lowest odds to win the NFL MVP after Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson. Mahomes has been great even with the loss of Tyreek Hill, as the former league MVP is completing 66.4% of his passes for 1,106 yards with 11 touchdowns and two interceptions. Tight end Travis Kelce has been Mahomes’ top target, and he is developing a rapport with free agent acquisitions JuJu Smith-Schuster and Marquez Valdes-Scantling.
Kansas City is averaging 4.5 YPC as rookie Isiah Pacheco is challenging Clyde Edwards-Helaire for the starting job. Edwards-Helaire has been a bit of a disappointment since the franchise used a first-round pick on him in 2020, and Pacheco has received more carries as the year has gone along. He is still the go-to receiver out of the backfield though and is the fourth leading receiver on the Chiefs.
The Chiefs do a great job of stopping the run, allowing 3.3 YPC and 65.8 YPG on the ground. Rookie George Karlaftis has made an impression up front, and Derrick Nnadi and Chris Jones are doing a good job swallowing up blockers. This secondary is still dicey though, and top cornerback L’Jarius Sneed is questionable to play on MNF with an ankle injury.
Raiders at Chiefs Free Pick
We have seen Kansas City blast Las Vegas in recent years, so seven points isn’t enough for the visitors. Look for the Chiefs to roll by double digits to move to 4-1.
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