The Fight of the Century is on: Boxing superstar Floyd Mayweather Jr. (49-0) will meet UFC lightweight champion Conor McGregor (21-3 MMA) on Saturday, August 26, 2017 at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. The fight card will air live on pay-per-view starting 10 p.m. ET. Bet on the latest odds and get insider betting tips now.
While there are literally over a hundred bets you can make on the Mayweather-McGregor superfight, there are two prop bets that best illustrate just how lopsided of a matchup this appears to be: Punch Accuracy Percentage and Punches Landed. Let’s take a look at the boxing odds at BookMaker.eu and take a serious statistics dive to reach the best betting values.
Opening boxing odds at BookMaker.eu
Total Punches Landed by Conor McGregor
Over/under 20
Over -193
Under +159
Total Punches Landed by Floyd Mayweather
Over/under 100
Over -150
Under +120
Conor McGregor Punch Accuracy Percentage
Over/under 15
Over -115
Under -115
Floyd Mayweather Punch Accuracy Percenter
Over/under 35
Over -285
Under +205
Numbers to Note
First, oddsmakers set the Total Punches Landed by McGregor at 20 - an average of 1.66 per round. With the over as the chalk, bettors are more likely to believe that the Irishman eclipses this number, but it’s still an eye-opening total to begin with. In contrast, Total Punches Landed by Mayweather is set at 100, with the over again as the chalk.
Note that the total of McGregor’s Punch Accuracy Percentage total is 16. That’s not a high number, especially compared to Mayweather total of 35.
By Compubox statistics, Mayweather’s opponents have landed punches on him at a rate of 16 percent, which only gets more impressive when you take into account he’s been facing the world’s best boxers for over a decade. That makes under on McGregor’s Punch Accuracy Percentage seems like a very good value at -115.
Compubox numbers also make a very good argument for the over on Mayweather’s accuracy. Historically, he’s landed at a 46 percent clip, 11 points higher than the total for this particular prop bet. Considering that he’s facing a complete boxing rookie, it’s highly likely that he meets or exceeds his historical average. At -285, it’s an expensive bet but a solid one.
What do these numbers tell you? Nothing you don’t already know. Conor McGregor isn’t just making his debut, he’s doing it against the best boxer of the generation. Expecting him to consistently hit Mayweather with clean shots isn’t something you should be betting on.
Bet on boxing odds at BookMaker.eu now
With the boxing odds at BookMaker Sportsbook, you can bet on boxing all year, from smaller cards to pay-per-view events. Access live betting lines from your mobile device at BookMaker Sportsbook. Mayweather vs. McGregor takes place on Saturday, August 26, 2017 at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. The fight card will air live on pay-per-view at 10 p.m. ET.
