With likely contenders Viktor Hovland and Xander Schauffele withdrawing earlier in the week, the path to a third straight WM Phoenix Open championship for Scottie Scheffler got a little wider. It also didn’t hurt that nemesis Jon Rahm defected to LIV Golf. Winning the same tournament in three successive playings is difficult and hasn’t been done in over a decade. And Scheffler has the chance to join a short list of players to win this tournament three times in the nine decades of its existence. With his success in the Arizona desert it isn’t surprising to see Scheffler as a big favorite in the outright market over a number of great golfers including Justin Thomas, Jordan Spieth and Max Homa. With Scheffler chasing history you can expect the gallery at the legendary 16th hole at TPC Scottsdale to be more raucous than it typically is. Visit BookMaker.eu for a complete list of matchup betting odds when you’re ready to place a wager.
WM Phoenix Open Matchup Odds
Scottie Scheffler -200 vs. Justin Thomas +165
Max Homa -120 vs. Jordan Spieth +100
Max Homa -138 vs. Sam Burns +115
Jordan Spieth -120 vs. Sam Burns +100
Matthew Fitzpatrick -110 vs. J.T. Poston -110
Matthew Fitzpatrick +100 vs. Sungjae Im -120
J.T. Poston +100 vs. Sungjae Im -120
Tom Kim +106 vs. Byeong Hun An -127
Tom Kim -115 vs. Min Woo Lee -105
Byeong Hun An -132 vs. Min Woo Lee +110
Cameron Young +100 vs. Wyndham Clark -120
Sahith Theegala -110 vs. Adam Scott -110
Eric Cole -110 vs. Beau Hossler -110
Hideki Matsuyama -110 vs. Brian Harman -110
Adam Hadwin -110 vs. Corey Conners -110
Rickie Fowler -110 vs. Shane Lowry -110
Si Woo Kim -120 vs. Alex Noren +100
Akshay Bhatia -105 vs. Emiliano Grillo -115
Thomas Detry +100 vs. Denny McCarthy -120
Harris English -138 vs. Keith Mitchell +115
Christiaan Bezuidenhout -120 vs. Brendon Todd +100
Tom Hoge -125 vs. Taylor Montgomery +105
Billy Horschel +106 vs. Kurt Kitayama -127
Luke List -110 vs. Erik Van Rooyen -110
Adam Schenk +100 vs. Aaron Rai -120
Michael Kim -105 vs. Matt Kuchar -115
Scott Stallings -110 vs. Chesson Hadley -110
Grayson Murray -115 vs. Victor Perez -105
Need to Know
Tournament host since 1987, the Stadium Course at TPC Scottsdale is one of the most popular stops on Tour. Outside of the stadium setting at No. 16, though, the layout is straightforward and bland. Stretched out to nearly 7,300 yards, the course plays to heavy hitters and we should see plenty of drivers allowing most to attack the greens with precision iron shots. Along with altitude in the desert we’ve seen some generous scoring in the past with winners typically in the 14- to 18-under range. Weather is always something to consider in the desert. Morning frost makes for a slower track for those starting early. Surrounded by stands and with a party-like atmosphere in the gallery, the main attraction is the par-3 16th, which is a complete outlier when you think of golf.
WM Phoenix Open Matchup Picks
J.T. Poston +100 vs. Sungjae Im
A lengthy run of solid form along with a mild amount of success at TPC Scottsdale makes Poston my pick. It also doesn’t hurt that he’s at even-money. A T20 at Pebble Beach was his worst finish in four starts this season. He’s played the weekend in his last 13 Tour starts with seven top 10s among his nine top 20s in that span. He’s also 4 for 5 in this tournament with two top 25 finishes.
Erik Van Rooyen -110 vs. Luke List
Another player on an extended run of solid form is van Rooyen, who’s coming off a top 20 at Pebble Beach. He turned a corner last summer and he should bottle whatever he did. Following a stretch with nine MCs in 11 starts, van Rooyen has eight straight paydays capped with a win at the World Wide Technology Championship in November. I’ll ride the hot hand until it cools off.
Christiaan Bezuidenhout -120 vs. Brendon Todd
As long as the golfers who are hot remain hot I should be rolling in the green, and not that flat surface you see on a golf course. It appears as though Bezuidenhout is getting used to the transition from the European Tour and success has followed. A strong fall that included a T6 at the Sanderson Farms Championship carried over with a solo second at the AMX. And I haven’t mentioned that he went 3-T17-T9 in his last three Euro circuit starts.
Hideki Matsuyama -110 vs. Brian Harman
If Matsuyama is getting out a slide that’s seen him exit the OWGR top 50 for the first time in a decade, this is the tournament and course that’ll do it. A fixture at the WMPO Matsuyama finished within the top 4 with back to back wins in 2016 and 2017 in his first four tournament starts. That success is nearly impossible to replicate, but he hasn’t been far off. Matsuyama was forced to WD in his three-peat attempt, the only time he failed to fully complete the tournament.
Sahith Theegala -110 vs. Adam Scott
We saw Theegala break out of a mini slump with a T20 at Pebble Beach sandwiching that result and a solo second at The Sentry around a MC-T64. Now it’s back to a venue that kinda kickstarted his career. It was here in 2022 that Theegala threatened before settling for a T3. He went on to collect eight more top 25s that season and was a victor on Tour for the first time last fall in Napa.
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