Winning a single NFL wager is hard enough let alone a multi-team parlay when you bet on the NFL with bitcoin. Overall it’s been a good season with three NFL parlay winners and success on 58 percent of my individual picks entering last week’s games. The percentage came down after losing all three wagers. And the final weekend of the regular season being like an exhibition game for some teams, breaking out of my slump will be hard. But that won’t stop me from trying. Besides, I have to make up for last week’s disaster. The top seeds in each conference have been determined so you wonder how motivated Baltimore and San Francisco are going to be. The Ravens are actually a 3.5-point home underdog to the Steelers for their Saturday tilt. In addition, 12 teams enter Week 18 having already been eliminated from playoff contention.
NFL Betting Lines
I hit three NFL parlay winners but I was proud of the fact that I hadn’t produced an ohfer the entire season. Welp, that changed last week in a big way with none of my picks coming close. I thought the Ravens would have a letdown after thoroughly spanking the Niners in a Week 16 matchup of the two best teams. Instead it was the Dolphins who had the letdown giving up 42 of the game’s final 48 points. I backed the Fins at +3.5 and though they trailed by a point with less than three minutes left in the first half, they lost 56-19. The Rams not only failed to cover the 6-point spread they nearly gave the game away. Fortunately for them New York didn’t want it. I still lost backing LA -6. Lastly I had UNDER 38 in the Bears-Falcons game, which was another calculated error on my part. Chicago nearly hit the number in its 37-17 victory. There’s one last chance to get it right so on to Week 18.
Week 18 NFL Parlay Card Wagers
Eagles -5.5
Bears ML
Patriots -2
Chiefs / Chargers OVER 35.5
$100 bet to win $1269
We’ll send out the season with a bang hopefully on a four-team parlay. It’s a bold move after last week’s debacle but I’m confident. Some teams that have qualified for the playoffs are likely to take their foot off the gas in the finale. The Eagles aren’t one of them because they can’t afford to be. A Super Bowl favorite not long ago they have little time to figure things out since they’ve stumbled down the stretch with just one win in their last five games. Plus, they still have a chance to win the NFC East, so there’s that. Philly’s only win over the last five weeks was against the Giants, 33-25, on Christmas, their fifth straight in the series. The line has come down enough for me to back the Eagles.
The Bears have lost nine in a row to the Packers, including a 38-20 verdict in the season opener. I think it’s safe to say they are a different group now having won four of their last five games behind a defense that has been outstanding. The Bears haven’t allowed more than 20 points over their last five outings and Justin Fields is making the decision to NOT draft a quarterback an easy one. Besides, Chicago would like nothing better than to end the playoff hopes of their fiercest rival.
With just 10 wins between them the Jets-Patriots game is one that could be ugly. I don’t care as long as the Pats win by at least a field goal, and they’ve done that the last 15 times the teams played. That’s right, the Pats have won 15 in a row in the series all by at least a field, including a 15-10 victory in the Meadowlands in Week 3. That streak will end sometime, but I don’t see it happening on Sunday so I’m backing Belichick’s bunch minus the points.
I was going to back the Chiefs +3 for their matchup with the Chargers but a glance at the total changed my mind. There’s a good chance Patrick Mahomes doesn’t play with everything he dealt with this season and the Chiefs have a wild card game on tap so getting him and others a breather is a likely scenario, which is why the spread and total are where they are. Still, against a weak LA defense the Chiefs should score points and with some defensive players resting I can see the Bolts doing the same so backing OVER 35.5 is a smart play.
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