It’s time once again to look at the most recent vice presidential odds for each party. Both Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are vetting and meeting with potential vice presidential picks in advance of their parties’ conventions later this month and choices will be forthcoming soon. Who are the likely choices to be on their parties’ ballots come November?
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DEMOCRATS
Tim Kaine +125
Kaine is the favorite to be Hillary Clinton’s vice presidential pick at this point after Julian Castro had been the favorite for a month prior. He is seen as the safest option available for Clinton and many believe choosing him is needed to not upset the apple cart. Kaine is from a swing state, Virginia, and has served as both a governor and senator. He has a wealth of experience, but there is a major issue with choosing him.
Selecting Kaine does nothing to energize any of the Democratic base. Clinton is seen by many as very bland and aren’t excited to vote for the former First Lady. Instead, they see her as merely the better of two choices. Kaine doesn’t help invigorate this section of the populace and highlights fears that low voter turnout is the biggest threat to Clinton’s campaign.
The Verdict: Kaine is the safe choice, but not the smart choice. Don’t back him at this price.
Elizabeth Warren +200
Warren is the complete opposite of Kaine. She is held as one of the darlings of the Democratic Party and selecting her would show support for Bernie Sanders’ ideas by proxy. She has excellent media savvy and has shown a willingness to eschew political correctness when the need arises. Picking her would be welcomed by many Democratic voters and would excite the left-wing of the party that so enthusiastically backed Sanders.
The big question with picking Warren is whether or not America is ready for not only a female president, but an all-female ticket. There would be plenty of grumbling in the southern states and in Republican strongholds, but these critics will overwhelmingly support Trump in any case. The real question should be whether or not Warren’s selection hurt her among independents and that’s unlikely to be the case.
The Verdict: Warren is a decent bet at this point. She should make the final list and would help breathe some life into Clinton’s campaign if chosen.
REPUBLICANS
Newt Gingrich +235
Gingrich has been the favorite to win the Republican vice presidential nomination for some time now, but he has stayed out of the spotlight recently. He has somewhat openly courted Trump to be the nominee and would be an interesting pick. Gingrich is a lot of the things that Trump isn’t; experienced, religious, and intelligent. He would bring some legitimacy to Trump’s campaign, but how good of a choice is he?
Selecting the former Speaker of the House doesn’t make Trump any more electorally viable. The votes that Trump will receive if Gingrich is his running mate were votes that Trump already had. If Trump has any shot of beating Clinton and becoming the POTUS, he needs to choose someone that can appeal to undecided voters.
The Verdict: At 5-1 or higher, Gingrich would be worth a shot, but he shouldn’t be the favorite.
Joni Ernst +800
Critics will say that picking Ernst isn’t wise because she isn’t very experienced. She has only spent two years as a senator from Iowa and is most known for giving the Republican response to Barack Obama’s State of the Union address. However, her potential benefits outweigh the risks of her selection.
Ernst is seen as one of the rising stars of the Republican Party and helps Trump’s case in a lot of ways. She helps him appeal to female voters by willing to run with him and can possibly soften some of the disparaging remarks he has made towards women. Her experience as an Iraq War veteran can also help Trump appeal to voters that have been critical of Barack Obama’s foreign policy positions.
The Verdict: This is a solid bet at these odds. Ernst should be one of the favorites to win and could help Trump flip the dynamic of this race.
Political Odds at BookMaker.eu
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