Odds to Win Billboard Music Awards on ABC Sunday; Banking on the Chart-busters

By  Vinnie Penn

Thursday, May 14th, 2015

billboard-awards-2015

You'd think the Billboard Music Awards were the easiest awards to bet on. After all, you have Billboard itself to refer to, as far as how a certain song performed on the charts, the artist, the album, etc. (does anyone know what I mean by the word "album?").

So, you just do your homework, and place your bets accordingly. But there are certain mitigating circumstances that can affect the outcome. Units moved versus weeks on chart and so on.

That said, let's take a look at some of the categories.

TOP ARTIST

Ariana Grande

One Direction

Katy Perry

Sam Smith

Taylor Swift

This one is really a toss-up between Swift and Smith. The former is a Billboard darling and the latter the critics latest wunderkind. So, who walks away with it? I'd say Smith, but I wouldn't rule Grande out for a possible upset.

TOP NEW ARTIST

5 Seconds of Summer

Iggy Azalea

Hozier

Sam Smith

Meghan Trainor

Smith is a front-runner here, too, but Trainor also had two of the biggest hits of the year, plus they were uptempo...and upbeat. "All About That Bass" could seal this for her.

TOP MALE ARTIST

Drake

Pharrell Williams

Ed Sheeran

Sam Smith

Justin Timberlake

Again I am compelled to single Smith out, but Sheeran could make a mad dash for the finish line.

TOP FEMALE ARTIST

Iggy Azalea

Ariana Grande

Katy Perry

Taylor Swift

Meghan Trainor

Trainor's got the songs, but Grande has the pipes. And a ferocious, voracious fan base that not only worships her, but misses her hit TV series "Sam & Cat."

TOP RAP ARTIST

Iggy Azalea

J. Cole

Drake

Nicki Minaj

Rae Sremmurd

Azalea should be easy money here.

TOP COUNTRY ARTIST

Jason Aldean

Luke Bryan

Florida Georgia Line

Brantley Gilbert

Blake Shelton

Bryan will gallop away with this one.

TOP ROCK ARTIST

Bastille

Coldplay

Fall Out Boy

Hozier

Lorde

Lorde even being in the running is curious to me, and further proof Billboard does not know how to categorize well, even while they keep adding new ones. I'd say Fall Out Boy.

OP RAP ALBUM

J. Cole, 2014 Forest Hills Drive

Drake, If You're Reading This It's Too Late

Nicki Minaj, The Pinkprint

Iggy Azalea, The New Classic

Eminem, The Marshall Mathers LP 2

Azalea here, with an eye (and an ear) out for Drake.

TOP COUNTRY ALBUM

Jason Aldean, Old Boots, New Dirt

Garth Brooks, Man Against Machine

Luke Bryan, Crash My Party

Brantley Gilbert, Just As I Am

Miranda Lambert, Platinum

Comes down to Aldean versus Bryan - a far better bout that Pacquaio/Mayweather.

TOP ROCK ALBUM

AC/DC, Rock or Bust

The Black Keys, Turn Blue

Coldplay, Ghost Stories

Hozier, Hozier

Lorde, Pure Heroine

It should go to AC/DC (Angus must be aghast at being in the same category as Lorde), but that doesn't mean it will.

TOP HOT 100 SONG

Iggy Azalea feat. Charli XCX, "Fancy"

John Legend, "All of Me"

Sam Smith, "Stay With Me"

Taylor Swift, "Shake It Off"

Meghan Trainor, "All About That Bass"

"Bass," with "Fancy" a close runner-up.

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