MAD Lions await the winner of Saturday’s semifinal between G2 Esports and Rogue. It’s only fair that the 2021 LEC Spring Split will be one of these three teams since they have been the top European teams throughout the season. However, while G2 Esports and Rogue finished the regular season at 14-4, MAD Lions was well behind and only caught fire on Patch 11.6.
2021 LEC Spring Split Semifinals Odds
G2 Esports -237
Rogue +181
The team that loses this series will finish in a disappointing third place for the 2021 LEC Spring Split. That’s a shame considering how well both G2 Esports and Rogue played during the regular season. G2 knocked off Rogue in both of their previous meetings in 2021.
G2 Esports are still favored to win the split as they are eight-time champions and have won four straight LEC titles. However, their odds have dropped after they were -300 to win it all in the preseason. They have not looked sharp on this patch with a 3-2 win over FC Schalke in their first series before losing 3-1 to MAD Lions.
Rogue fell to MAD Lions 3-1 in the first round of the Winners Bracket, but they had no trouble against Schalke in their 3-1 win over the German side last weekend.
Match Preview
You can make the case that Rogue have an advantage in the top lane. Wunder has not looked good on either tanks or carry champions in the playoffs, posting a 2.3 KDA per Games of Legends. This is not the advantage that G2 had over Rogue last year as Wunder has regressed and Odoamne has fared better than Finn. Although Odoamne has an even worse KDA than Wunder during the playoffs, he is a veteran that can avoid getting steamrolled by Wunder.
Rogue has a definite advantage over G2 in the jungle. Inspired is the best or second-best jungler in the league, while Jankos has really struggled throughout the Spring Split. We have seen Inspired play well on new meta champions like Udyr and Hecarim, but Jankos has not looked as comfortable. He might play a lot of Volibear in this series as he has looked better on that pick and it has increased in popularity.
The mid lane matchup is relatively even. Caps has been the best mid laner in Europe for the last few years, but Larssen is right on his heels. Larssen doesn’t have the same depth in his champion pool, yet he has shown us all around great play on control mages. It is almost a given we will see something new this time around though given their budding rivalry.
For G2 to win this game, they need to have a strong performance from their bottom lane. Rekkles has lived up to expectations, and he has a 6.9 KDA in the playoffs. However, he is only dealing 23.5% of his team’s damage. Mikyx has not looked great in support, while Trymbi is growing into the role as a rookie for Rogue. Hans sama has continually come up short against Rekkles in his career though.
Prediction
Oh, how the mighty have fallen. G2 are not the inevitable juggernauts everyone thought they would be this split. They added Rekkles with the aim of finally winning Worlds, yet G2 might not even be able to make it to the Mid-Season Invitational.
This is a good line from the oddsmakers. Rogue is the pick at these odds, but G2 has proven it can run the gauntlet after a poor performance.
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