2019 LEC Summer Split Week 5 Betting Preview

By  Jonathan Willis

Friday, July 19th, 2019

2019 LEC Summer Split Week 5

Only three teams are over .500 in Europe midway through the LEC Summer Split. The first two are no surprise. G2 and Fnatic are both 7-1, and they have waltzed over their competition. G2 are treating matches like a speed run with an average game time of 27 minutes and 19 seconds per Games of Legends, while Fnatic are just looking solid in general after a lackluster effort in the Spring Split.

The third team might come as a surprise. While Origen were seen as the second- or third-best team coming into the Summer Split, it’s Splyce that are 6-2. That probably isn’t sustainable given their style of play and how out of place it is in this meta, but they’ve made it work so far, and they were able to knock off Fnatic last weekend.

2019 LEC Summer Split Week 5 Betting Odds

FC Schalke 04 -315
Excel Esports +238

Excel finally picked up a win last week, but this team just isn’t that good. No one on the team has a KDA higher than 3, but at least they seem to have found a solid support in Mystiques. He has helped Jeskla find success in the bottom lane as a duo, and that has given Excel at least one win condition.

In their first meeting against Schalke this season, they were able to keep the gold close, but UpseT took over in the end. He posted six kills and eight assists without a death on Vayne, and I think he’ll do something similar here.

Rogue -135
Misfits Gaming +105

This line tells you how far Misfits Gaming have fallen. They just haven’t been able to find any success with a strategy other than Sona-Tahm Kench, but that strategy has since been figured out.

I never thought that Rogue would be favored in a game like this, but mid laner Larssen has played very well this season and boasts a 6.6 KDA. Rogue knocked off Origen last week, and some are riding high on them for that reason, but Misfits still have a better overall understanding of the game and won the first meeting between these teams. I’ll take Misfits as an underdog.

Origen -190
Team Vitality +150

Origen’s falloff is somewhat puzzling. It may have had to do with Rift Rivals since we’ve seen teams struggle after the tournament in the past, but they had their share of problems before the competition too. They weren’t able to beat G2, Fnatic, or Splyce, and a loss to Rogue last weekend is a head scratcher.

I believe Origen will get back to their winning ways here though. Vitality have won three of their last four games, but they have had a hard time beating the top teams. They are far too desperate to try to make things happen and end up snowballing games against themselves.

Fnatic -275
SK Gaming +211

SK’s reputation as Fnatic killers is a thing of the past. This SK team could not stand up to Fnatic earlier in the Summer Split, and as long as Fnatic can keep Selfmade in check, they should have no problem winning this match. Look for Fnatic to find a way to mitigate Selfmade’s presence from the jungle to pick up a win here.

G2 Esports -295
Splyce +225

I’m not buying into Splyce. They did well to beat Fnatic, but this team just isn’t strong enough in the early game or the mid game, and that’s where G2 are at their best. G2 are the most creative, proactive team in the region, and they will either ban Qiyana away from Humanoid or come up with a counter for the overpowered champion. I love G2 at this price.

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