The field for the Kentucky Derby was essentially set a few weeks ago with the conclusion of the Arkansas Derby, and since then, bettors have been jockeying for position and changing the odds on some of their favorite horses to win the Fastest Two Minutes in Sports.
Updated Kentucky Derby Odds at BookMaker.eu
Nyquist +400
Exaggerator +710
Mohaymen +715
Mor Spirit +1086
Brody's Cause +1137
Destin +1178
My Man Sam +1276
Creator +1415
Gun Runner +1415
Mo Tom +1835
Outwork +1915
Suddenbreakingnews +2169
Whitmore +2351
Lani +2670
Danzing Candy +2850
Shagaf +3173
Majesto +3782
Trojan Nation +5250
Tom's Ready +5636
Fellowship +6050
Oscar Nominated +6050
Adventist +8550
Cherry Wine +9568
Laoban +12550
Dazzling Gem +15250
Nyquist has been relatively consistent as the favorite to win this race, and his price really hasn't changed all that much. He's been as low as +285 to win the Derby and as high as where he sits as of the publication of this article at +400, and we figure that his price will end up sitting relatively firm the rest of the way until post time on Saturday.
The real changes have come in the pack right behind the only undefeated three-year old in the field.
The big mover in the right direction has been Exaggerator. The winner of the Santa Anita Derby has really steaming in recent weeks. He was set at +1214 after the biggest win of his career, and at the time, he was the fourth choice to win the Run for the Roses. Now though, he's the second favorite at +710, one of the biggest moves in the right direction we've seen of the top three-year olds in the world.
With Exaggerator on the rise, someone had to fall, and that someone is Mor Spirit. It's not that his price has changed all that much. Mor Spirit was +825 a few weeks ago after second at the San Anita Derby. At the time, this horse was the second favorite, but now, he's dipped to the fourth choice on the board, and both Brody's Cause and Destin are right on his back, both of which have risen from around 14 to 1 to +1137 and +1178 respectively.
Normally, the sign of a sharp horse is one which has gone from a big underdog to a significantly lesser underdog in a hurry. We've seen that with Outwork for sure. He's a lightly raced horse with only four rides under his belt, but he won the Wood Memorial and has picked up steam from +2550 a few weeks ago to +1915 as we sit six days before the race.
Of course, for every gainer, there has to be a horse or two that’s fallen backwards. Lani was +2050 after winning the UAE Derby, and we had a feeling that price was a bit overstated. He's since dropped to +2670.
Another big faller has been Tom's Ready. It's easy to see why bettors have cooled on him considering the fact that he's never won anything but a maiden race and was a 30 to 1 longshot to win the Louisiana Derby. Sure, he finished second that day, but even finishing second here at the Derby wouldn't justify his price which has gone from +4050 to +5636 in a span of just a few weeks.
Kentucky Derby odds at BookMaker.eu
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