Two wins in the first three events of the season still weren’t enough to get Joaquin Niemann ahead of Jon Rahm on the odds board for this week’s LIV Golf Hong Kong. With his dominant 4-shot win in Saudi Arabia, Niemann became the sixth player with multiple career victories surging to the top of the individual season standings, though there’s plenty of golf left. Nearly half of this week’s field has taken at least one twirl around the Hong Kong Golf Club with Ian Poulter winning the Hong Kong Open in 2010. Rahm has never played the course but opened as the betting favorite, as he’s done in each of the previous three LIV Golf events placing among the top 8 in every one. Rahm and Niemann are the only players with shorter than 10/1 odds on the opening line. Visit BookMaker.eu for a complete list of betting odds when you’re ready to place a wager.
LIV Golf Hong Kong Betting Odds
Jon Rahm +525
Joaquin Niemann +750
Tyrrell Hatton +1300
Bryson Dechambeau +1300
Talor Gooch +1400
Dustin Johnson +1400
Brooks Koepka +1600
Cameron Smith +1800
Louis Oosthuizen +1800
Sergio Garcia +2000
Adrian Meronk +2000
Jason Kokrak +3500
Charles Howell III +3500
Anirban Lahiri +3500
Abraham Ancer +3500
Dean Burmester +3500
David Puig +4000
Carlos Ortiz +4000
Paul Casey +4000
Patrick Reed +4500
Mito Pereira +5000
Cameron Tringale +5500
Henrik Stenson +5500
Richard Bland +5500
Sebastian Munoz +5500
Lucas Herbert +6000
Peter Uihlein +6000
Harold Varner III +6500
Matthew Wolff +6500
Branden Grace +6500
Kevin Na +6500
Odds Analysis
Sergio Garcia +2000
It’s hard not to back Niemann since he’s been the hottest player in the world for a few months. But you know I don’t like backing favorites and instead search for value. I think I found it in Garcia, who enters with a run of decent form and plenty of experience in Hong Kong. Garcia fell in a playoff at Mayakoba to open the season and was undone by a few bad holes in Jeddah that dropped him into a share of 15th. Looking for his first LIV win, Garcia returns to a layout that’s yielded him three top 20s in three starts.
David Puig +4000
A few years into his pro career, Puig has shown signs recently of the form that made him the top amateur in the world. He struggled through the middle of last season before finally turning a corner with a pair of top 10s in his final six starts. He’s been unable to match that this season, but the overall results have been stronger finishing in the upper half of the leaderboard in his last two starts. We’ve also witnessed improved accuracy and putting, which will help on this layout.
Patrick Reed +4500
A player who has gobbled up shorter courses in his career, Reed is also looking for his maiden LIV victory. He’s played the host layout four times over his career, most recently in 2023 when he logged a T15 at the HKO. It’s been a struggle lately for Reed finishing outside the top 40 in his last two starts, but as he once said, “I don’t think about negative shots.” So hopefully the positive vibes carryover to a better result this week and at his price the reward outweighs the risk.
Cameron Smith +1800
Smith is another of the big names having a hard time this season. He had the worst finish of his LIV career last week with a T41, but we all know what he’s capable of and going back to Hong Kong could be the elixir for his ills. Smith had a monstrous 2023 HKO carding an 18-under to finish solo second one shot off the lead. And the tidy layout requires less driver usage, which has plagued the Aussie so far this season. I expect better things from him and even betting on it.
Peter Uihlein +6000
Based on the results of the first three tournaments, Uihlein is in for a good showing. He opened with a clunker at Mayakoba and placed outside the top 30 last week. In between he earned a podium finish in Las Vegas so the even-numbered events appear to be his thing. That’s all mumbo jumbo but if you’re into that, well. I’d rather look at his past performances on shorter courses, including Hong Kong where he’s collected three top 15s in as many starts with a best of T8 last year.
Course: Hong Kong Golf Club – 6,710 yards, Par 70
I had to do a double take when I saw the yardage for the Hong Kong Golf Club. At just over 6,700 yards it’s a short par 70 with narrow passage ways putting a premium on accuracy while adding a level of difficulty. Current LIV golfer Danny Lee said, “It’s a very tight golf course. You’ve got to hit it very straight.” The property has hosted the Hong Kong Open, sanctioned by the Asian Tour and co-sanctioned by the European Tour until a few years ago. Around 12 current LIV golfers competed in the 2023 HKO with Cameron Smith finishing as runner-up one-shot off the lead at 18-under. Just two holes check in over 500 yards with the 493-yards par-4 ninth hole widely considered the most difficult. Those who played here last year won’t see much of a difference with the layout for this event the same used by the HKO.
TV Coverage: CW Network
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