There are some nice odds available on the Rocco Forte Open, which begins on Thursday in Sicily, Italy. It is one of the weakest fields in recent memory on the European Tour with no top players competing. The favorite to win this tournament is actually a rookie, with Jordan Smith the favorite at odds of +1850. The Rocco Forte Open is a new event so we don’t have much data to go on, but the Verdura Golf Club did host a European Tour event five years ago.
Rocco Forte Open Odds
Jordan Smith +1850
Haotong Li +2050
James Morrison +2250
Phachara Khongwatmai +2650
Bradley Dredge +2950
David Horsey +3050
Matteo Manassero +3250
Trevor Fisher Jr. +3250
Richard Bland +3250
Thomas Detry +3250
Nicolas Colsaerts +3250
Chris Hanson +3250
Scott Jamieson +3450
Julien Quesne +3550
Rikard Karlberg +3550
Matt Wallace +3550
Renato Paratore +4050
Max Orrin +4050
Alexander Bjork +4350
Raphael Jacquelin +4550
Anthony Wall +5050
Ryan Fox +5050
Mark Foster +5050
Romain Langasque +5250
Matthew Southgate +5450
Oliver Fisher +5500
Mikko Korhonen +5500
Romain Wattel +5500
Marcus Fraser +5500
Wade Ormsby +6550
Eduardo Molinari +6650
Odds Analysis
Jordan Smith +1850
Smith is having a very good rookie season, as he is 32nd in the Race to Dubai but he missed cuts in Australia and China. I think he is overvalued at these odds and I will look elsewhere.
Haotong Li +2050
Li has three top 25 starts in his last five European Tour starts. He tied for 38th last year in the Italian Open. I don’t think there is enough value on Li at these odds so I will look elsewhere.
James Morrison +2250
Morrison is playing well with five top 15 finishes and he has played this course before. I think you can make a case for him being the favorite this week and I like him at these odds.
Bradley Dredge +2950
Dredge has played well in Italy in the past with a pair of second place finishes in the Italian Open. He could be in the mix for the win this week.
Matteo Manassero +3250
You never know what you are going to get with Manassero but he is very capable of winning in his home country. He did finish in the top three in India and he played well in the GolfSixes. He is worth a flyer.
Scott Jamieson +3450
Jamieson played on this course five years ago and had a closing 66 to finish tied for 19th. He tied for 7th in the Italian Open last year and he has top 25 finishes in three of his last four starts overall.
Rikard Karlberg +3550
Karlberg won the Italian Open in 2015 and he tied for 7th in a Challenge Tour event in Italy in 2012. He could be a definite threat at longshot odds this week.
Eduardo Molinari +6650
My big longshot this week is Molinari who won the Trophee Hassan II last month and he is playing at home. He won two Challenge Tour events in Italy in 2009.
Course: The Verdura Golf Club is 7,352 yards and it hosted the Sicilian Open in 2012. It is really a links-style course and the last six holes all feature the Mediterranean Sea in the background. The hardest hole five years ago was the 18th which features a tee shot that is picturesque, with cliffs in the background.
TV Coverage: Golf Channel
Notes: This event is definitely not in a good spot on the European schedule, as THE PLAYERS was last week and next week the BMW PGA Championship takes place. All of the best players in the world are bypassing this event. When the Sicilian Open was held at Verdura five years ago it was Thorbjorn Olesen winning, with Chris Wood finishing second. Nicolas Colsaerts and Soren Kjeldsen tied for third.
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